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A model-based approach to forecasting chaotic dynamical systems utilizes knowledge of the physical processes governing the dynamics to build an approximate mathematical model of the system. In contrast, machine learning techniques have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-09 Jaideep Pathak , Alexander Wikner , Rebeckah Fussell , Sarthak Chandra , Brian Hunt , Michelle Girvan , Edward Ott

Complex systems are naturally hybrid: their dynamic behavior is both continuous and discrete. For these systems, maintenance and repair are an increasing part of the total cost of final product. Efficient diagnosis and prognosis techniques…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-08-27 Elodie Chanthery , Pauline Ribot

Accurate quantification of model uncertainty has long been recognized as a fundamental requirement for trusted AI. In regression tasks, uncertainty is typically quantified using prediction intervals calibrated to an ad-hoc operating point,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-06 Jiri Navratil , Benjamin Elder , Matthew Arnold , Soumya Ghosh , Prasanna Sattigeri

Machine learning can significantly improve performance for decision-making under uncertainty across a wide range of domains. However, ensuring robustness guarantees requires well-calibrated uncertainty estimates, which can be difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Christopher Yeh , Nicolas Christianson , Alan Wu , Adam Wierman , Yisong Yue

This paper introduces a multi-timescale stochastic programming framework designed to address decision-making challenges in power systems, particularly those with high renewable energy penetration. The framework models interactions across…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Yihang Zhang , Suvrajeet Sen

Reliable uncertainty quantification in trajectory prediction is crucial for safety-critical autonomous driving systems, yet existing deep learning predictors lack uncertainty-aware frameworks adaptable to heterogeneous real-world scenarios.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-08 Yiming Shu , Jiahui Xu , Linghuan Kong , Fangni Zhang , Guodong Yin , Chen Sun

A time series represents a set of observations collected over time. Typically, these observations are captured with a uniform sampling frequency (e.g. daily). When data points are observed in uneven time intervals the time series is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Pedro Costa , Vitor Cerqueira , João Vinagre

Maintenance decisions range from the simple detection of faults to ultimately predicting future failures and solving the problem. These traditionally human decisions are nowadays increasingly supported by data and the ultimate aim is to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-30 Chris Rijsdijk , Mike van de Wijnckel , Tiedo Tinga

We present a novel data-driven distributionally robust Model Predictive Control formulation for unknown discrete-time linear time-invariant systems affected by unknown and possibly unbounded additive uncertainties. We use off-line collected…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Francesco Micheli , Tyler Summers , John Lygeros

This paper presents expression of mutual information that defines the information gain in planning of sensing resources, when the goal is to reduce the forecast uncertainty of some quantities of interest and the system dynamics is described…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-08-02 Han-Lim Choi

Motion prediction of surrounding vehicles is one of the most important tasks handled by a self-driving vehicle, and represents a critical step in the autonomous system necessary to ensure safety for all the involved traffic actors. Recently…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Sai Yalamanchi , Tzu-Kuo Huang , Galen Clark Haynes , Nemanja Djuric

Planning and control for autonomous vehicles usually are hierarchical separated. However, increasing performance demands and operating in highly dynamic environments requires an frequent re-evaluation of the planning and tight integration…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-29 Markus Koegel , Mohamed Ibrahim , Christian Kallies , Rolf Findeisen

In this paper, we introduce a framework for solving finite-horizon multistage optimization problems under uncertainty in the presence of auxiliary data. We assume the joint distribution of the uncertain quantities is unknown, but noisy…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-29 Dimitris Bertsimas , Christopher McCord

Prediction of dynamic environmental variables in unmonitored sites remains a long-standing challenge for water resources science. The majority of the world's freshwater resources have inadequate monitoring of critical environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Jared D. Willard , Charuleka Varadharajan , Xiaowei Jia , Vipin Kumar

Automated Planning is one of the main research field of Artificial Intelligence since its beginnings. Research in Automated Planning aims at developing general reasoners (i.e., planners) capable of automatically solve complex problems.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Alessandro Umbrico

Adverse weather conditions and occlusions in urban environments result in impaired perception. The uncertainties are handled in different modules of an automated vehicle, ranging from sensor level over situation prediction until motion…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-11-01 Omer Sahin Tas , Christoph Stiller

The real-time joint optimization of inventory replenishment and vehicle routing is essential for cost-efficiently operating one-warehouse, multiple-retailer systems. This is complex, as future demand predictions should capture correlation…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-30 Menglei Jia , Albert H. Schrotenboer , Feng Chen

In the current work we introduce a novel estimation of distribution algorithm to tackle a hard combinatorial optimization problem, namely the single-machine scheduling problem, with uncertain delivery times. The majority of the existing…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-12-05 Boris Mitavskiy , Jun He

Due to limited budgets allocated for road maintenance projects in various countries, road management departments face difficulties in making scientific maintenance decisions. This paper aims to provide road management departments with more…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Haoyu Sun , Yan Yan

In this research, computerized maintenance management will be investigated. The rise of maintenance cost forced the research community to look for more effective ways to schedule maintenance operations. Using computerized models to come up…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-01-18 Mostafa Sayyed