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In this work, the aim is to study the spread of a contagious disease and information on a multilayer social system. The main idea is to find a criterion under which the adoption of the spreading information blocks or suppresses the epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-16 Semra Gunduc

Transmission models for infectious diseases are typically formulated in terms of dynamics between individuals or groups with processes such as disease progression or recovery for each individual captured phenomenologically, without…

The study proposes a modeling framework for investigating the disease dynamics with adaptive human behavior during a disease outbreak, considering the impacts of both local observations and global information. One important application…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-26 Xinwu Qian , Jiawei Xue , Satish V. Ukkusuri

Infectious diseases are a significant threat to human society which was over sighted before the incidence of COVID-19, although according to the report of the World Health Organisation (WHO) about 4.2 million people die annually due to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-05 Md Shahzamal , Saeed Khan

The prediction of the behavior of the disease, the level of affectation in a population and the ways to control it are the most important aspects studied by epidemiology using tools such as historical data and mathematical models. So, our…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-04-04 Jorge Andrés Ibáñez Huertas , Carlos Isaac Zainea Maya

Network medicine is an emerging area of research dealing with molecular and genetic interactions, network biomarkers of disease, and therapeutic target discovery. Large-scale biomedical data generation offers a unique opportunity to assess…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-14 Abhijeet R. Sonawane , Scott T. Weiss , Kimberly Glass , Amitabh Sharma

In the present paper, our goal is to establish a framework for the mathematical modelling and the analysis of the spread of an epidemic in a large population commuting regularly, typically along a time-periodic pattern, as is roughly…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-29 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Boureima Sangaré , Assane Savadogo

Traditional disease transmission models assume that the infectious period is exponentially distributed with a recovery rate fixed in time and across individuals. This assumption provides analytical and computational advantages, however it…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-30 Laura Di Domenico , Eugenio Valdano , Vittoria Colizza

Many datasets describing contacts in a population suffer from incompleteness due to population sampling and underreporting of contacts. Data-driven simulations of spreading processes using such incomplete data lead to an underestimation of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-07 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat

We develop Graph-Coupled Hidden Markov Models (GCHMMs) for modeling the spread of infectious disease locally within a social network. Unlike most previous research in epidemiology, which typically models the spread of infection at the level…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2012-10-19 Wen Dong , Alex Pentland , Katherine A. Heller

Consider stochastic models for the spread of an infection in a structured community, where this structured community is itself described by a random network model. Some common network models and transmission models are defined and large…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-16 Tom Britton

Contact tracing via digital tracking applications installed on mobile phones is an important tool for controlling epidemic spreading. Its effectivity can be quantified by modifying the standard methodology for analyzing percolation and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-14 Abbas K. Rizi , Ali Faqeeh , Arash Badie-Modiri , Mikko Kivelä

Early outbreak detection is a key aspect in the containment of infectious diseases, as it enables the identification and isolation of infected individuals before the disease can spread to a larger population. Instead of detecting unexpected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Michael Rapp , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Johannes Fürnkranz

Whenever possible, the efficacy of a new treatment, such as a drug or behavioral intervention, is investigated by randomly assigning some individuals to a treatment condition and others to a control condition, and comparing the outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-04 Patrick C. Staples , Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

The spread of disease through a physical-contact network and the spread of information about the disease on a communication network are two intimately related dynamical processes. We investigate the asymmetrical interplay between the two…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-05-09 Wei Wang , Ming Tang , Hui Yang , Younghae Do , Ying-Cheng Lai , GyuWon Lee

Social contact patterns are a key input to many infectious disease models. Contact surveys, where participants are asked to provide information on their recent close and casual contacts with others, are one of the standard methods to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-07 Thomas J. Harris , Prescott C. Alexander , Anh B. D. Pham , Joseph Tuccillo , Nicholas Geard , Cameron Zachreson

The extracellular matrix (ECM) is a highly complex structure through which biochemical and mechanical signals are transmitted. In processes of cell migration, the ECM also acts as a scaffold, providing structural support to cells as well as…

The ability to directly record human face-to-face interactions increasingly enables the development of detailed data-driven models for the spread of directly transmitted infectious diseases at the scale of individuals. Complete coverage of…

In this paper, we propose a realistic mathematical model taking into account the mutual interference among the interacting populations. This model attempts to describe the control (vaccination) function as a function of the number of…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-11-18 V. Sree Hari Rao , M. Naresh Kumar

When estimating causal effects using observational data, it is desirable to replicate a randomized experiment as closely as possible by obtaining treated and control groups with similar covariate distributions. This goal can often be…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-10-28 Elizabeth A. Stuart