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We consider a financial network represented at any time instance by a random liability graph which evolves over time. The agents connect through credit instruments borrowed from each other or through direct lending, and these create the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-23 Indrajit Saha , Veeraruna Kavitha

Models with Conditional Moment Restrictions (CMRs) are popular in economics. These models involve finite and infinite dimensional parameters. The infinite dimensional components include conditional expectations, conditional choice…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-11-01 Facundo Argañaraz , Juan Carlos Escanciano

Learning interpretable models has become a major focus of machine learning research, given the increasing prominence of machine learning in socially important decision-making. Among interpretable models, rule lists are among the best-known…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Leonardo Pellegrina , Fabio Vandin

The risk estimator called "Direct Eigenvalue Estimator" (DEE) is studied. DEE was developed for small sample regression. In contrast to many existing model selection criteria, derivation of DEE requires neither any asymptotic assumption nor…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-14 Masanori Kawakita , Jun'ichi Takeuchi

Emerging reasoning models hold promise for automating scientific discovery. However, their training is hindered by a critical supervision gap: experimental outcomes are abundant, whereas intermediate reasoning steps are rarely documented at…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-24 Zequn Liu , Kehan Wu , Shufang Xie , Zekun Guo , Wei Zhang , Tao Qin , Renhe Liu , Yingce Xia

Forecasting corporate financial distress increasingly requires capturing firms' adoption of transformative technologies such as artificial intelligence, yet model performance remains vulnerable to temporal distribution shifts as these…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-07 Frederik Rech , Hussam Musa , Martin Šebeňa , Siele Jean Tuo

We study the impacts of business cycles on machine learning (ML) predictions. Using the S&P 500 index, we find that ML models perform worse during most recessions, and the inclusion of recession history or the risk-free rate does not…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-21 Li Rong Wang , Hsuan Fu , Xiuyi Fan

This paper proposes a new challenge problem for software analytics. In the process we shall call "software review", a panel of SMEs (subject matter experts) review examples of software behavior to recommend how to improve that's software's…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Tim Menzies , Andre Lustosa

Since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), the use of stress tests as a tool for assessing the resilience of financial institutions to adverse financial and economic developments has increased significantly. One key part in such exercises is…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 Martin Guth

Differential evolution (DE) algorithm is recognized as one of the most effective evolutionary algorithms, demonstrating remarkable efficacy in black-box optimization due to its derivative-free nature. Numerous enhancements to the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Xu Yang , Rui Wang , Kaiwen Li , Ling Wang

Data science projects often involve various machine learning (ML) methods that depend on data, code, and models. One of the key activities in these projects is the selection of a model or algorithm that is appropriate for the data analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Cristina Tavares , Nathalia Nascimento , Paulo Alencar , Donald Cowan

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) has become a dominant architecture for scaling Large Language Models (LLMs) efficiently by decoupling total parameters from computational cost. However, this decoupling creates a critical challenge: predicting the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Changxin Tian , Kunlong Chen , Jia Liu , Ziqi Liu , Zhiqiang Zhang , Jun Zhou

In the field of Natural Language Processing (NLP), Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown great potential in document-level event extraction tasks, but existing methods face challenges in the design of prompts. To address this issue, we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Zhuoyuan Liu , Yilin Luo

The increasing advancements in the field of machine learning have led to the development of numerous applications that effectively address a wide range of problems with accurate predictions. However, in certain cases, accuracy alone may not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Antônio Carlos Souza Ferreira Júnior , Thiago Alves Rocha

This paper presents a convenient framework for modeling default process and pricing derivative securities involving credit risk. The framework provides an integrated view of credit valuation adjustment by linking distance-to-default,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-08 David Xiao

Iterative preference optimization has recently become one of the de-facto training paradigms for large language models (LLMs), but the performance is still underwhelming due to too much noisy preference data yielded in the loop. To combat…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Jianing Wang , Yang Zhou , Xiaocheng Zhang , Mengjiao Bao , Peng Yan

In addition to signature-based and heuristics-based detection techniques, machine learning (ML) is widely used to generalize to new, never-before-seen malicious software (malware). However, it has been demonstrated that ML models can be…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-03-31 Tony Quertier , Benjamin Marais , Stéphane Morucci , Bertrand Fournel

Extracting structured procedural knowledge from unstructured business documents is a critical yet unresolved bottleneck in process automation. While prior work has focused on extracting linear action flows from instructional texts, such as…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Chen Yang , Ruping Xu , Ruizhe Li , Bin Cao , Jing Fan

In recent years, large language models (LLMs) have made significant progress in code intelligence, yet systematically evaluating their code understanding and reasoning abilities remains challenging. Mainstream benchmarks such as HumanEval…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-08-08 Kaiwen Yan , Yuhang Chang , Zirui Guo , Yaling Mou , Jiang Ming , Jingwei Sun

By integrating dynamics models into model-free reinforcement learning (RL) methods, model-based value expansion (MVE) algorithms have shown a significant advantage in sample efficiency as well as value estimation. However, these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-12 Bo Zhou , Hongsheng Zeng , Fan Wang , Yunxiang Li , Hao Tian