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Computing the exact likelihood of data in large Bayesian networks consisting of thousands of vertices is often a difficult task. When these models contain many deterministic conditional probability tables and when the observed values are…

Computation · Statistics 2012-06-26 Ydo Wexler , Dan Geiger

In this article the issues are discussed with the Bayesian approach, least-square fits, and most-likely fits. Trying to counter these issues, a method, based on weighted confidence, is proposed for estimating probabilities and other…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Fetze Pijlman

In Bayesian optimization, accounting for the importance of the output relative to the input is a crucial yet challenging exercise, as it can considerably improve the final result but often involves inaccurate and cumbersome entropy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-30 Antoine Blanchard , Themistoklis Sapsis

An inequality of Large Sieve type, efficacious in the analytic treatment of Euler products, is obtained.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-06 P. D. T. A. Elliott , Jonathan Kish

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtain robust estimates. The weight, attached to each score contribution, is evaluated by comparing the statistical data depth at the model…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Claudio Agostinelli

We improve the large sieve inequality with $k$th-power moduli, for all $k\ge 4$. Our method relates these inequalities to a restricted variant of Waring's problem. Firstly, we input a classical divisor bound on the number of representations…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Stephan Baier , Sean B. Lynch

Bayesian approaches are one of the primary methodologies to tackle an inverse problem in high dimensions. Such an inverse problem arises in hydrology to infer the permeability field given flow data in a porous media. It is common practice…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-02 Navid Shervani-Tabar

We establish a general large sieve inequality with sparse sets $\mathcal{S}$ of moduli in the Gaussian integers which are in a sense well-distributed in arithmetic progressions. This extends earlier work of S. Baier on the large sieve with…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Stephan Baier , Arpit Bansal

The (relevance) weighted likelihood was introduced to formally embrace a variety of statistical procedures that trade bias for precision. Unlike its classical counterpart, the weighted likelihood combines all relevant information while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Xiaogang Wang , James V. Zidek

Wavelet (Besov) priors are a promising way of reconstructing indirectly measured fields in a regularized manner. We demonstrate how wavelets can be used as a localized basis for reconstructing permeability fields with sharp interfaces from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-09 Philipp Wacker , Peter Knabner

Simple inequalities are established for some integrals involving the modified Bessel functions of the first and second kind. In most cases, we show that we obtain the best possible constant or that our bounds are tight in certain limits. We…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Robert E. Gaunt

The power of multiple testing procedures can be increased by using weighted p-values (Genovese, Roeder and Wasserman 2005). We derive the optimal weights and we show that the power is remarkably robust to misspecification of these weights.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Larry Wasserman , Kathryn Roeder

Recent work used importance sampling ideas for better variational bounds on likelihoods. We clarify the applicability of these ideas to pure probabilistic inference, by showing the resulting Importance Weighted Variational Inference (IWVI)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Justin Domke , Daniel Sheldon

We formulate and prove a large sieve inequality for quadratic characters over a number field. To do this, we introduce the notion of an n-th order Hecke family. We develop the basic theory of these Hecke families, including versions of the…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-01 Leo Goldmakher , Benoit Louvel

Simple inequalities are established for some integrals involving the modified Bessel functions of the first and second kind. In most cases these inequalities are tight in certain limits. As a consequence, we deduce a tight double…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2019-04-23 Robert E. Gaunt

Weighted Updating generalizes Bayesian updating, allowing for biased beliefs by weighting the likelihood function and prior distribution with positive real exponents. I provide a rigorous foundation for the model by showing that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Jesse Aaron Zinn

We prove variational forms of the Barban-Davenport-Halberstam Theorem and the large sieve inequality. We apply our result to prove an estimate for the sum of the squares of prime differences, averaged over arithmetic progressions.

Number Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-07 Allison Lewko , Mark Lewko

Improvements of the Large Sieve for Special Sequences

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-10-01 John Friedlander , Henryk Iwaniec

Approximate Bayesian computation performs approximate inference for models where likelihood computations are expensive or impossible. Instead simulations from the model are performed for various parameter values and accepted if they are…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-16 Dennis Prangle

We propose a new approach to Bayesian prediction that caters for models with a large number of parameters and is robust to model misspecification. Given a class of high-dimensional (but parametric) predictive models, this new approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-13 David T. Frazier , Ruben Loaiza-Maya , Gael M. Martin , Bonsoo Koo