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Kernel Regularized Least Squares (KRLS) is a popular method for flexibly estimating models that may have complex relationships between variables. However, its usefulness to many researchers is limited for two reasons. First, existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-12 Qing Chang , Max Goplerud

We revisit the development of grid based recursive approximate filtering of general Markov processes in discrete time, partially observed in conditionally Gaussian noise. The grid based filters considered rely on two types of state…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-24 Dionysios S. Kalogerias , Athina P. Petropulu

Kernel-based models such as kernel ridge regression and Gaussian processes are ubiquitous in machine learning applications for regression and optimization. It is well known that a major downside for kernel-based models is the high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Sattar Vakili , Jonathan Scarlett , Da-shan Shiu , Alberto Bernacchia

Recent advances in deep learning have shown that uncertainty estimation is becoming increasingly important in applications such as medical imaging, natural language processing, and autonomous systems. However, accurately quantifying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Uddeshya Upadhyay , Jae Myung Kim , Cordelia Schmidt , Bernhard Schölkopf , Zeynep Akata

Stochastic optimization lies at the core of most statistical learning models. The recent great development of stochastic algorithmic tools focused significantly onto proximal gradient iterations, in order to find an efficient approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Andrei Patrascu , Ciprian Paduraru , Paul Irofti

We develop a fast variational approximation scheme for Gaussian process (GP) regression, where the spectrum of the covariance function is subjected to a sparse approximation. Our approach enables uncertainty in covariance function…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-24 Linda S. L. Tan , Victor M. H. Ong , David J. Nott , Ajay Jasra

Merging satellite and gauge data with machine learning produces high-resolution precipitation datasets, but uncertainty estimates are often missing. We addressed the gap of how to optimally provide such estimates by benchmarking six…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-23 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

Gaussian process (GP) predictors are an important component of many Bayesian approaches to machine learning. However, even a straightforward implementation of Gaussian process regression (GPR) requires O(n^2) space and O(n^3) time for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-06 Krzysztof Chalupka , Christopher K. I. Williams , Iain Murray

Many problems encountered in science and engineering can be formulated as estimating a low-rank object (e.g., matrices and tensors) from incomplete, and possibly corrupted, linear measurements. Through the lens of matrix and tensor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Cong Ma , Xingyu Xu , Tian Tong , Yuejie Chi

We propose an advancement in cardinality estimation by augmenting autoregressive models with a traditional grid structure. The novel hybrid estimator addresses the limitations of autoregressive models by creating a smaller representation of…

Databases · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Damjan Gjurovski , Angjela Davitkova , Sebastian Michel

Forecasting the evolution of complex systems is one of the grand challenges of modern data science. The fundamental difficulty lies in understanding the structure of the observed stochastic process. In this paper, we show that every…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Coarse grid projection (CGP) is a multiresolution technique for accelerating numerical calculations associated with a set of nonlinear evolutionary equations along with the stiff Poisson equations. In this article we use CGP for the first…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-03-03 Ali Kashefi

In the context of self-driving vehicles there is strong competition between approaches based on visual localisation and LiDAR. While LiDAR provides important depth information, it is sparse in resolution and expensive. On the other hand,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Oscar Mendez , Simon Hadfield , Richard Bowden

This paper proves joint convergence of the approximation error for several stochastic integrals with respect to local Brownian semimartingales, for nonequidistant and random grids. The conditions needed for convergence are that the Lebesgue…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-24 Carl Lindberg , Holger Rootzén

We present a new algorithm for finding a near optimal low-rank approximation of a matrix $A$ in $O(nnz(A))$ time. Our method is based on a recursive sampling scheme for computing a representative subset of $A$'s columns, which is then used…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Michael B. Cohen , Cameron Musco , Christopher Musco

We propose a generic spatiotemporal event forecasting method, which we developed for the National Institute of Justice's (NIJ) Real-Time Crime Forecasting Challenge. Our method is a spatiotemporal forecasting model combining scalable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-25 Seth Flaxman , Michael Chirico , Pau Pereira , Charles Loeffler

Monitoring daily weather fields is critical for climate science, agriculture, and environmental planning, yet fully probabilistic spatio-temporal models become computationally prohibitive at continental scale. We present a case study on…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-12 Tim Gyger , Reinhard Furrer , Fabio Sigrist

In geostatistical problems with massive sample size, Gaussian processes can be approximated using sparse directed acyclic graphs to achieve scalable $O(n)$ computational complexity. In these models, data at each location are typically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-24 Yichen Zhu , Michele Peruzzi , Cheng Li , David B. Dunson

We initiate a systematic study of utilizing predictions to improve over approximation guarantees of classic algorithms, without increasing the running time. We propose a systematic method for a wide class of optimization problems that ask…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Antonios Antoniadis , Marek Eliáš , Adam Polak , Moritz Venzin

The uncertainty quantification of prediction models (e.g., neural networks) is crucial for their adoption in many robotics applications. This is arguably as important as making accurate predictions, especially for safety-critical…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Junan Chen , Josephine Monica , Wei-Lun Chao , Mark Campbell
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