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We consider a data-driven newsvendor problem, where one has access to past demand data and the associated feature information. We solve the problem by estimating the target quantile function using a deep neural network (DNN). The remarkable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Jinhui Han , Ming Hu , Guohao Shen

Nonprobability samples have rapidly emerged to address time-sensitive priority topics in a variety of fields. While these data are timely, they are prone to selection bias. To mitigate selection bias, a large number of survey research…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Kangrui Liu , Lingxiao Wang , Yan Li

Neural networks capable of accurate, input-conditional uncertainty representation are essential for real-world AI systems. Deep ensembles of Gaussian networks have proven highly effective for continuous regression due to their ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Spencer Young , Porter Jenkins , Longchao Da , Jeff Dotson , Hua Wei

The problem of automatic and accurate forecasting of time-series data has always been an interesting challenge for the machine learning and forecasting community. A majority of the real-world time-series problems have non-stationary…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Rohit Kaushik , Shikhar Jain , Siddhant Jain , Tirtharaj Dash

This article proposes doubly robust estimators for the average treatment effect on the treated (ATT) in difference-in-differences (DID) research designs. In contrast to alternative DID estimators, the proposed estimators are consistent if…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-07 Pedro H. C. Sant'Anna , Jun B. Zhao

The nudging data assimilation algorithm is a powerful tool used to forecast phenomena of interest given incomplete and noisy observations. Machine learning is becoming increasingly popular in data assimilation given its ease of computation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-11-24 Harbir Antil , Rainald Löhner , Randy Price

Multiple heterogeneous data sources are becoming increasingly available for statistical analyses in the era of big data. As an important example in finite-population inference, we develop a unified framework of the test-and-pool approach to…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-30 Chenyin Gao , Shu Yang

For prediction of clustered time-to-event data, we propose a new deep neural network based gamma frailty model (DNN-FM). An advantage of the proposed model is that the joint maximization of the new h-likelihood provides maximum likelihood…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-14 Hangbin Lee , IL DO HA , Youngjo Lee

Estimating statistical models within sensor networks requires distributed algorithms, in which both data and computation are distributed across the nodes of the network. We propose a general approach for distributed learning based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-03 Qiang Liu , Alexander Ihler

Energy efficient sampling with probabilistic neurons or p-bits has been demonstrated in the context of Boltzmann machines and it is natural to ask if these approaches can be extended to the field of generative AI where energy costs have…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-04-28 Lakshmi A. Ghantasala , Ming-Che Li , Risi Jaiswal , Behtash Behin-Aein , Joseph Makin , Shreyas Sen , Supriyo Datta

Uncertainty estimation for machine learning models is of high importance in many scenarios such as constructing the confidence intervals for model predictions and detection of out-of-distribution or adversarially generated points. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Kirill Fedyanin , Evgenii Tsymbalov , Maxim Panov

We propose a fast, non-Bayesian method for producing uncertainty scores in the output of pre-trained deep neural networks (DNNs) using a data-driven interval propagating network. This interval neural network (INN) has interval valued…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-27 Luis Oala , Cosmas Heiß , Jan Macdonald , Maximilian März , Wojciech Samek , Gitta Kutyniok

Deep neural networks has been increasingly applied in fault diagnostics, where it uses historical data to capture systems behavior, bypassing the need for high-fidelity physical models. However, despite their competence in prediction tasks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Arman Mohammadi , Mattias Krysander , Daniel Jung , Erik Frisk

Polygenic risk scores (PRS) estimate the genetic risk of an individual for a complex disease based on many genetic variants across the whole genome. In this study, we compared a series of computational models for estimation of breast cancer…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-26 Adrien Badré , Li Zhang , Wellington Muchero , Justin C. Reynolds , Chongle Pan

Deep neural networks (DNNs) excel on clean images but struggle with corrupted ones. Incorporating specific corruptions into the data augmentation pipeline can improve robustness to those corruptions but may harm performance on clean images…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Trung Trinh , Markus Heinonen , Luigi Acerbi , Samuel Kaski

Many epidemiologic studies forgo probability sampling and turn to nonprobability volunteer-based samples because of cost, response burden, and invasiveness of biological samples. However, finite population inference is difficult to make…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-01 Lingxiao Wang , Richard Valliant , Yan Li

Big Data often presents as massive non-probability samples. Not only is the selection mechanism often unknown, but larger data volume amplifies the relative contribution of selection bias to total error. Existing bias adjustment approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Carol A. C. Flannagan , Brady T. West , Michael R. Elliott

A model-assisted semiparametric method of estimating finite population totals is investigated to improve the precision of survey estimators by incorporating multivariate auxiliary information. The proposed superpopulation model is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Lily Wang

Merging the two cultures of deep and statistical learning provides insights into structured high-dimensional data. Traditional statistical modeling is still a dominant strategy for structured tabular data. Deep learning can be viewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Anindya Bhadra , Jyotishka Datta , Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov , Jianeng Xu

Propensity score matching has been a long-standing tradition for handling confounding in causal inference, however requiring stringent model assumptions. In this article, we propose double score matching(DSM) for general causal estimands…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-07 Shu Yang , Yunshu Zhang