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Managing unemployment is one of the key issues in social policies. Unemployment insurance schemes are designed to cushion the financial and morale blow of loss of job but also to encourage the unemployed to seek new jobs more pro-actively…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-09-05 Jason S. Anquandah , Leonid V. Bogachev

Economic models assume that payroll tax burdens fall fully on workers, but where does tax incidence fall when taxes are firm-specific and time-varying? Unemployment insurance in the United States has the key feature of varying both across…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-13 Audrey Guo

Unemployment insurance provides temporary cash benefits to eligible unemployed workers. Benefits are sometimes extended by discretion during economic slumps. In a model that features temporary benefits and sequential job opportunities, a…

General Economics · Economics 2023-12-22 Rich Ryan

This paper develops a new model of business cycles. The model is economical in that it is solved with an aggregate demand-aggregate supply diagram, and the effects of shocks and policies are obtained by comparative statics. The model builds…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-03-22 Pascal Michaillat , Emmanuel Saez

In this paper we deal with the optimal bankruptcy problem for an agent who can optimally allocate her consumption rate, the amount of capital invested in the risky asset as well as her leisure time. In our framework, the agent is endowed by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-30 Guodong Ding , Daniele Marazzina

In this paper we apply a time series based Vector Auto Regressive (VAR) approach to the problem of predicting unemployment insurance claims in different census regions of the United States. Unemployment insurance claims data, reported…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-20 Avleen S. Bijral , Richard Johnston , Juan Lavista Ferres

This paper introduces a novel framework for designing fair and sustainable unemployment benefits, grounded in cooperative game theory and real-time fiscal policy. The labor market is modeled as a coalitional game, where a random subset of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-15 Xingwei Hu

When a firm hires a worker, adding the new hire to payroll is costly. These costs reduce the amount of resources that can go to recruiting workers and amplify how unemployment responds to changes in productivity. Workers also incur up-front…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-28 Rich Ryan

This paper presents a simple agent-based model of an economic system, populated by agents playing different games according to their different view about social cohesion and tax payment. After a first set of simulations, correctly…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-24 L. S. Di Mauro , A. Pluchino , A. E. Biondo

We empirically investigate the distributional effects of inflation on workers' unemployment tail risks using instrumental variable quantile regression. We find that supply-driven inflation disproportionately raises unemployment tail risks…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-12 Hie Joo Ahn , Lam Nguyen

We analyze inequality aspects of the agent-based model of capitalist economy named it Social Architecture of Capitalism that has been introduced by Ian Wright. The model contemplates two main types of agents, workers and capitalists, which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-03-12 Jhordan Silveira Borba , Sebastian Gonçalves , Celia Anteneodo

We study dynamic mechanism design in a pure-exchange economy with privately observed idiosyncratic income. In the standard infinitely lived hidden-income benchmark of Green (1987) and Thomas-Worrall (1990), constrained-efficient allocations…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-18 Michiko Ogaku

Cooperation between individuals is emergent in all parts of society, yet mechanistic reasons for this emergence is ill understood in the literature. A specific example of this is insurance. Recent work has, though, shown that assuming the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-20 Tobias Wand , Oliver Kamps , Benjamin Skjold

We study the design of an optimal insurance contract in which the insured maximizes her expected utility and the insurer limits the variance of his risk exposure while maintaining the principle of indemnity and charging the premium…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-18 Yichun Chi , Xun Yu Zhou , Sheng Chao Zhuang

A variable annuity is an equity-linked financial product typically offered by insurance companies. The policyholder makes an upfront payment to the insurance company and, in return, the insurer is required to make a series of payments…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-25 Riley Jones , Adriana Ocejo

We consider the problem of optimal annuitization with labour income, where an agent aims to maximize utility from consumption and labour income under age-dependent force of mortality. Using a dynamic programming approach, we derive…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Criscent Birungi , Cody Hyndman

An employer contracts with a worker to incentivize efforts whose productivity depends on ability; the worker then enters a market that pays him contingent on ability evaluation. With non-additive monitoring technology, the interdependence…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-07-31 Tan Gan , Hongcheng Li

In day labor markets, workers are particularly vulnerable to wage theft. This paper introduces a principal-agent model to analyze the conditions required to mitigate wage theft through fines and establishes the necessary and sufficient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-15 James P. Bailey , Bahar Cavdar , Yanling Chang

Unemployment benefits in the US were extended by up to 73 weeks during the Great Recession. Equilibrium labor market theory indicates that extensions of benefit duration impact not only search decisions by job seekers but also job vacancy…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-27 Aiwei Huang

This paper studies a dynamic screening model in which a principal hires an agent with limited liability. The agent's private cost of working is an i.i.d. draw from a continuous distribution. His working status is publicly observable. The…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-26 Yijun Liu
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