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Tabular foundation models such as TabPFN and TabICL already produce full predictive distributions, yet the benchmarks used to evaluate them (TabArena, TALENT, and others) still rely almost exclusively on point-estimate metrics (RMSE,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Jonas Landsgesell , Pascal Knoll

Tabular data is one of the most commonly used types of data in machine learning. Despite recent advances in neural nets (NNs) for tabular data, there is still an active discussion on whether or not NNs generally outperform gradient-boosted…

In recent years, deep neural networks have showcased their predictive power across a variety of tasks. Beyond natural language processing, the transformer architecture has proven efficient in addressing tabular data problems and challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-14 Anton Thielmann , Arik Reuter , Benjamin Saefken

Heterogeneous tabular data poses unique challenges in generative modelling due to its fundamentally different underlying data structure compared to homogeneous modalities, such as images and text. Although previous research has sought to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Xiangjian Jiang , Nikola Simidjievski , Mateja Jamnik

Academic tabular benchmarks often contain small sets of curated features. In contrast, data scientists typically collect as many features as possible into their datasets, and even engineer new features from existing ones. To prevent…

Tabular foundation models are pre-trained on one of three classes of corpus: curated datasets drawn from benchmark repositories, tables harvested at scale from the web, or synthetic tables sampled from a parametric generative prior. Despite…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Alex O. Davies , Telmo de Menezes e Silva Filho , Nirav Ajmeri

Despite their dominance in vision and language, deep neural networks often underperform relative to tree-based models on tabular data. To bridge this gap, we incorporate five key inductive biases into deep learning: robustness to irrelevant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Kry Yik Chau Lui , Cheng Chi , Kishore Basu , Yanshuai Cao

Standard tabular benchmarks mainly focus on the evaluation of a model's capability to interpolate values inside a data manifold, where models good at performing local statistical smoothing are rewarded. However, there exists a very large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Zerui Cheng , Jiashuo Liu , Jianzhu Yao , Pramod Viswanath , Ge Zhang , Wenhao Huang

Generative modelling is a demanding test of foundation models, because it requires robust, holistic representation learning for a given data modality, rather than optimisation for a supervised prediction target alone. While recent work on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Xiangjian Jiang , Mingxuan Liu , Nikola Simidjievski , Tassilo Klein , Mateja Jamnik

Recent advances in image-based saliency prediction are approaching gold standard performance levels on existing benchmarks. Despite this success, we show that predicting fixations across multiple saliency datasets remains challenging due to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Matthias Kümmerer , Harneet Singh Khanuja , Matthias Bethge

Deep learning methods have demonstrated outstanding performances on classification and regression tasks on homogeneous data types (e.g., image, audio, and text data). However, tabular data still pose a challenge, with classic machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Antonio Briola , Yuanrong Wang , Silvia Bartolucci , Tomaso Aste

While tabular foundation models have achieved remarkable success in classification and regression, adapting them to model time-to-event outcomes for survival analysis is non-trivial due to right-censoring, where data observations may end…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Da In Kim , Wei Siang Lai , Kelly W. Zhang

Tabular data, owing to its ubiquitous presence in real-world domains, has garnered significant attention in machine learning research. While tree-based models have long dominated tabular machine learning tasks, the recently proposed deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Zi-Jian Cheng , Zi-Yi Jia , Zhi Zhou , Yu-Feng Li , Lan-Zhe Guo

Transformer-based tabular foundation models (TFMs) dominate small to medium tabular predictive benchmark tasks, yet their inference mechanisms remain largely unexplored. We present the first large-scale mechanistic study of layerwise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Amir Rezaei Balef , Mykhailo Koshil , Katharina Eggensperger

The first tabular foundation model, TabPFN, and its successor TabPFNv2 have impacted tabular AI substantially, with dozens of methods building on it and hundreds of applications across different use cases. This report introduces TabPFN-2.5,…

Tabular Foundation Models (TFMs) achieve state-of-the-art zero-shot accuracy on small tabular datasets by meta-learning over synthetic data-generating processes -- making them highly attractive for practitioners who cannot afford large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Laure Berti-Equille

Explainability of a classification model is crucial when deployed in real-world decision support systems. Explanations make predictions actionable to the user and should inform about the capabilities and limitations of the system. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-13 Erwin Walraven , Ajaya Adhikari , Cor J. Veenman

Credit default risk arises from complex interactions among borrowers, financial institutions, and transaction-level behaviors. While strong tabular models remain highly competitive in credit scoring, they may fail to explicitly capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Yvonne Yang , Eranki Vasistha

Tabular foundational models are pre-trained models designed for a wide range of tabular data tasks. They have shown strong performance across domains, yet their internal representations and learned concepts remain poorly understood. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-14 Aviral Gupta , Armaan Sethi , Dhruv Kumar

Predictive models play a pivotal role in credit risk management, guiding critical decisions through accurate estimation of default probabilities and losses. Extensive research has introduced new modeling techniques, complemented by…