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Explainability in AI is crucial for model development, compliance with regulation, and providing operational nuance to predictions. The Shapley framework for explainability attributes a model's predictions to its input features in a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Christopher Frye , Damien de Mijolla , Tom Begley , Laurence Cowton , Megan Stanley , Ilya Feige

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) quantifies the influence of uncertain variables in a mathematical model. The Sobol' indices, a commonly used tool in GSA, seek to do this by attributing to each variable its relative contribution to the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-19 Joseph Hart , Pierre Gremaud

The variance-based method of global sensitivity indices based on Sobol sensitivity indices became very popular among practitioners due to its easiness of interpretation. For complex practical problems computation of Sobol indices generally…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Sergei Kucherenko , Shufang Song

The global sensitivity analysis of a complex numerical model often calls for the estimation of variance-based importance measures, named Sobol' indices. Metamodel-based techniques have been developed in order to replace the cpu…

Computation · Statistics 2011-04-22 Amandine Marrel , Bertrand Iooss , Michel Jullien , Beatrice Laurent , Elena Volkova

Global sensitivity analysis is a powerful set of ideas and heuristics for understanding the importance and interplay between uncertain parameters in a computational model. Such a model is characterized by a set of input parameters and an…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-23 Chun Yui Wong , Pranay Seshadri , Geoffrey T. Parks

Sobol' indices measure the dependence of a high dimensional function on groups of variables defined on the unit cube $[0,1]^d$. They are based on the ANOVA decomposition of functions, which is an $L^2$ decomposition. In this paper we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-06-19 Art Owen , Josef Dick , Su Chen

Global sensitivity analysis is used to quantify the influence of uncertain input parameters on the response variability of a numerical model. The common quantitative methods are applicable to computer codes with scalar input variables. This…

Applications · Statistics 2008-06-09 Bertrand Iooss , Mathieu Ribatet

Shapley values, a game theoretic concept, has been one of the most popular tools for explaining Machine Learning (ML) models in recent years. Unfortunately, the two most common approaches, conditional and marginal, to calculating Shapley…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Ilya Rozenfeld

Shapley values have seen widespread use in machine learning as a way to explain model predictions and estimate the importance of covariates. Accurately explaining models is critical in real-world models to both aid in decision making and to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-19 Daniel de Marchi , Michael Kosorok , Scott de Marchi

A variety of indices aim to quantify the impact of input variables on a response, typically the output from a complex computer code or black-box model. Most commonly used, the Sobol' index typically measures the influence of some inputs…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Paul Rochet , Thi Mong Ngoc Nguyen

Variable importance in regression analyses is of considerable interest in a variety of fields. There is no unique method for assessing variable importance. However, a substantial share of the available literature employs Shapley values,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-05 Sinan Acemoglu , Christian Kleiber , Jörg Urban

Quantifying the inconsistency of a database is motivated by various goals including reliability estimation for new datasets and progress indication in data cleaning. Another goal is to attribute to individual tuples a level of…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Ester Livshits , Benny Kimelfeld

We introduce a new measure of interdependence among the components of a random vector along the main diagonal of the vector copula, i.e. along the line $u_{1}=\ldots=u_{J}$, for $\left(u_{1},\ldots,u_{J}\right)\in\left[0,1\right]^{J}$. Our…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-29 Jhan Rodríguez , András Bárdossy

This study compares the performances of two sampling-based strategies for the simultaneous estimation of the first-and total-orders variance-based sensitivity indices (a.k.a Sobol' indices). The first strategy was introduced by [8] and is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-16 Ivano Azzini , Thierry Mara , Rossana Rosati

Researchers in explainable artificial intelligence have developed numerous methods for helping users understand the predictions of complex supervised learning models. By contrast, explaining the $\textit{uncertainty}$ of model outputs has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 David S. Watson , Joshua O'Hara , Niek Tax , Richard Mudd , Ido Guy

We provide an inferential framework to assess variable importance for heterogeneous treatment effects. This assessment is especially useful in high-risk domains such as medicine, where decision makers hesitate to rely on black-box treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Pawel Morzywolek , Peter B. Gilbert , Alex Luedtke

A shortcoming of black-box supervised learning models is their lack of interpretability or transparency. To facilitate interpretation, post-hoc global variable importance measures (VIMs) are widely used to assign to each predictor or input…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-25 Jingyu Zhu , Daniel W. Apley

We propose probabilistic Shapley inference (PSI), a novel probabilistic framework to model and infer sufficient statistics of feature attributions in flexible predictive models, via latent random variables whose mean recovers Shapley…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Mert Ketenci , Iñigo Urteaga , Victor Alfonso Rodriguez , Noémie Elhadad , Adler Perotte

Shapley Values (SV) are widely used in explainable AI, but their estimation and interpretation can be challenging, leading to inaccurate inferences and explanations. As a starting point, we remind an invariance principle for SV and derive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Salim I. Amoukou , Nicolas J-B. Brunel , Tangi Salaün

The paper presents a new copula based method for measuring dependence between random variables. Our approach extends the Maximum Mean Discrepancy to the copula of the joint distribution. We prove that this approach has several advantageous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Barnabas Poczos , Zoubin Ghahramani , Jeff Schneider