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We find the asymptotic distribution of the multi-dimensional multi-scale and kernel estimators for high-frequency financial data with microstructure. Sampling times are allowed to be asynchronous and endogenous. In the process, we show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Markus Bibinger , Per A. Mykland

We introduce the technique of adaptive discretization to design an efficient model-based episodic reinforcement learning algorithm in large (potentially continuous) state-action spaces. Our algorithm is based on optimistic one-step value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-26 Sean R. Sinclair , Tianyu Wang , Gauri Jain , Siddhartha Banerjee , Christina Lee Yu

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

Offline reinforcement learning seeks to utilize offline (observational) data to guide the learning of (causal) sequential decision making strategies. The hope is that offline reinforcement learning coupled with function approximation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Ruosong Wang , Dean P. Foster , Sham M. Kakade

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

We present a general framework for studying regularized estimators; such estimators are pervasive in estimation problems wherein "plug-in" type estimators are either ill-defined or ill-behaved. Within this framework, we derive, under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Michael Jansson , Demian Pouzo

This work provides new results for the analysis of random sequences in terms of $\ell_p$-compressibility. The results characterize the degree in which a random sequence can be approximated by its best $k$-sparse version under different…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-09 Jorge F. Silva

The problem of linear modulation classification using likelihood based methods is considered. Asymptotic properties of most commonly used classifiers in the literature are derived. These classifiers are based on hybrid likelihood ratio test…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-11-29 Onur Ozdemir , Pramod K. Varshney , Wei Su , Andrew L. Drozd

We present a new methodology to analyze large classes of (classical and rough) stochastic volatility models, with special regard to short-time and small noise formulae for option prices. Our main tool is the theory of regularity structures,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Peter K. Friz , Paul Gassiat , Paolo Pigato

We present an extension of local sensitivity analysis, also referred to as the perturbation approach for uncertainty quantification, to Bayesian inverse problems. More precisely, we show how moments of random variables with respect to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-06 Jürgen Dölz , David Ebert

In this paper, we present a framework for online parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in the context of adaptive safety-critical control. The key insight enabling our approach is that the parameter estimate generated by the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-14 Max H. Cohen , Makai Mann , Kevin Leahy , Calin Belta

Diffusion models, which convert noise into new data instances by learning to reverse a Markov diffusion process, have become a cornerstone in contemporary generative modeling. While their practical power has now been widely recognized, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-08 Gen Li , Yuting Wei , Yuxin Chen , Yuejie Chi

We consider parametric estimation and tests for multi-dimensional diffusion processes with a small dispersion parameter $\varepsilon$ from discrete observations. For parametric estimation of diffusion processes, the main target is to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-20 Tetsuya Kawai , Masayuki Uchida

Isotonic regression provides a flexible, tuning-free approach to estimating monotonic functions without imposing global curvature constraints, yet the estimated regression function is inherently a step function. This paper addresses a key…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-19 Timo Kuosmanen , Juan F. Monge , José L. Ruiz , Xun Zhou

In this paper, we propose an incremental abstraction method for dynamically over-approximating nonlinear systems in a bounded domain by solving a sequence of linear programs, resulting in a sequence of affine upper and lower hyperplanes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-06 Syed M. Hassaan , Mohammad Khajenejad , Spencer Jensen , Qiang Shen , Sze Zheng Yong

Irregular functional data in which densely sampled curves are observed over different ranges pose a challenge for modeling and inference, and sensitivity to outlier curves is a concern in applications. Motivated by applications in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-14 Yeonjoo Park , Xiaohui Chen , Douglas G. Simpson

In this paper, we study the complexity of the approximation of nonadmissible curves for nonlinear control-affine systems satisfying the strong H{\"o}rmander condition. Focusing on tubular approximation complexities, we provide asymptotic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Michele Motta , Dario Prandi

Stationary processes have been extensively studied in the literature. Their applications include modeling and forecasting numerous real life phenomena such as natural disasters, sales and market movements. When stationary processes are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-10 Marko Voutilainen , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

A semilinear reaction-diffusion two-point boundary value problem, whose second-order derivative is multiplied by a small positive parameter $\eps^2$, is considered. It can have multiple solutions. An asymptotic expansion is constructed for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-03-20 Natalia Kopteva , Martin Stynes

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai