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One of the goals of climate science is to characterize the statistics of extreme and potentially dangerous events in the present and future climate. Extreme events like heat waves, droughts, or floods due to persisting rains are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Francesco Ragone , Freddy Bouchet

This paper presents a study of models for forecasting the electrical load for supermarket refrigeration. The data used for building the models consists of load measurements, local climate measurements and weather forecasts. The load…

In many scientific fields, such as agriculture, temperature time series are of interest both as explanatory variables and as objects of study in their own right. However, at the state level, incorporating information from all possible…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-20 Davi Oliveira Chaves , Chang Chiann , Pedro Alberto Morettin

Since the internal temperature is less accessible than surface temperature, there is an urgent need to develop accurate and real-time estimation algorithms for better thermal management and safety. This work presents a novel framework for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-15 Yusheng Zheng , Wenxue Liu , Yunhong Che , Ferdinand Grimm , Jingyuan Zhao , Xiaosong Hu , Simona Onori , Remus Teodorescu , Gregory J. Offer

Exceedance refers to instances where a dynamic process surpasses given thresholds, e.g., the occurrence of a heat wave. We propose a novel exceedance framework for functional data, where each observed random trajectory is transformed into…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-04 Poorbita Kundu , Hang Zhou , Hans-Georg Müller

Big spatio-temporal datasets, available through both open and administrative data sources, offer significant potential for social science research. The magnitude of the data allows for increased resolution and analysis at individual level.…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-27 Anastasia Ushakova , Slava J. Mikhaylov

This paper deals with two-sample tests for functional time series data, which have become widely available in conjunction with the advent of modern complex observation systems. Here, particular interest is in evaluating whether two sets of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-16 Alexander Aue , Holger Dette , Gregory Rice

When the study variable is functional and storage capacities are limited or transmission costs are high, selecting with survey sampling techniques a small fraction of the observations is an interesting alternative to signal compression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-15 Hervé Cardot , Camelia Goga , Pauline Lardin

Obtaining an accurate short-term forecasting for heat demand is an essential part of operating district heating networks cost-efficient and reliable. Heat consumption time series at the building level are highly dependent on exogenous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Marja Wahl , Daniel R. Bayer , Sven Rausch , Marco Pruckner

Thermal comfort inside buildings is a well-studied field where human judgment for thermal comfort is collected and may be used for automatic thermal comfort estimation. However, indoor scenarios are rather static in terms of thermal state…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Mark Colley , Sebastian Hartwig , Albin Zeqiri , Timo Ropinski , Enrico Rukzio

We present an evaluative study of some current methods utilized in the analysis of infrared (IR) observatinons of star-forming regions. A series of self-consistent radiative transfer models are constructed, with the outputs analysed using…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 S. D. Doty , M. L. Palotti

We consider inference for the mean and covariance functions of covariate adjusted functional data using Local Linear Kernel (LLK) estimators. By means of a double asymptotic, we differentiate between sparse and dense covariate adjusted…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-28 Dominik Liebl

The lack of signed random networks in standard balance studies has prompted us to extend the Hamiltonian of the standard balance model. Random networks with tunable parameters are suitable for better understanding the behavior of standard…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-21 R. Masoumi , F. Oloomi , S. Sajjadi , A. H. Shirazi , G. R. Jafari

The problem of estimating trend and seasonal variation in time-series data has been studied over several decades, although mostly using single time series. This paper studies the problem of estimating these components from functional data,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-25 Liang-Hsuan Tai , Anuj Srivastava , Kyle A. Gallivan

Generative models of complex systems often require post-hoc parameter adjustments to produce useful outputs. For example, energy-based models for protein design are sampled at an artificially low ''temperature'' to generate novel,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-12-11 Peter W Fields , Vudtiwat Ngampruetikorn , David J Schwab , Stephanie E Palmer

Thermal comfort is essential for well-being in urban spaces, especially as cities face increasing heat from urbanization and climate change. Existing thermal comfort models usually overlook temporal dynamics alongside spatial dependencies.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-19 Federico P. Cortese , Antonio Pievatolo

Long memory and circulation patterns are potential sources of subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions. Here, we infer one-dimensional nonlinear stochastic models of daily temperature which capture both long memory and external driving by the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-08 Johannes A. Kassel , Holger Kantz

Spatial models are used in a variety research areas, such as environmental sciences, epidemiology, or physics. A common phenomenon in many spatial regression models is spatial confounding. This phenomenon takes place when spatially indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Isa Marques , Thomas Kneib , Nadja Klein

Sensors are the key to environmental monitoring, which impart benefits to smart cities in many aspects, such as providing real-time air quality information to assist human decision-making. However, it is impractical to deploy massive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Junfeng Hu , Yuxuan Liang , Zhencheng Fan , Li Liu , Yifang Yin , Roger Zimmermann

We propose a Bayesian method to detect change points for functional data. We extract the features of a sequence of functional data by the discrete wavelet transform (DWT), and treat each sequence of feature independently. We believe there…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-06 Xiuqi Li , Subhashis Ghosal
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