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The Gaussian process state-space models (GPSSMs) represent a versatile class of data-driven nonlinear dynamical system models. However, the presence of numerous latent variables in GPSSM incurs unresolved issues for existing variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Zhidi Lin , Yiyong Sun , Feng Yin , Alexandre Hoang Thiéry

Data assimilation (DA) aims to optimally combine model forecasts and observations that are both partial and noisy. Multi-model DA generalizes the variational or Bayesian formulation of the Kalman filter, and we prove that it is also the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Eviatar Bach , Michael Ghil

One of the most common misconceptions made about the Kalman filter when applied to linear systems is that it requires an assumption that all error and noise processes are Gaussian. This misconception has frequently led to the Kalman filter…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-02 Jeffrey Uhlmann , Simon Julier

This paper addresses state estimation of linear systems with special attention on unknown process and measurement noise covariances, aiming to enhance estimation accuracy while preserving the stability guarantee of the Kalman filter. To…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-12 Xiangxiang Dong , Giorgio Battistelli , Luigi Chisci , Yunze Cai

Traditional statements of the celebrated Kalman filter algorithm focus on the estimation of state, but not the output. For any outputs, measured or auxiliary, it is usually assumed that the posterior state estimates and known inputs are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Ameet S. Deshpande

The problem of incorporating information from observations received serially in time is widespread in the field of uncertainty quantification. Within a probabilistic framework, such problems can be addressed using standard filtering…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-02 Chatchuea Kimchaiwong , Jeremie Houssineau , Adam M. Johansen

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a Monte Carlo approximation of the Kalman filter for high dimensional linear Gaussian state space models. EnKF methods have also been developed for parameter inference of static Bayesian models with a…

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a popular technique for performing inference in state-space models (SSMs), particularly when the dynamic process is high-dimensional. Unlike reweighting methods such as sequential Monte Carlo (SMC, i.e.…

The Kalman filter is ubiquitous for state space models because of its desirable statistical properties, ease of implementation, and generally good performance. However, it can perform poorly in the presence of outliers, or measurements with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-26 Michael J. Walsh

Satellite dynamics and tracking remain important challenges in the context of space exploration and communication systems. Accurate state estimation is essential to maintain reliable orbital motion and system performance. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-16 Moh Kamalul Wafi

Online joint estimation of unknown parameters and states in a dynamical system with uncertainty quantification is crucial in many applications. For example, digital twins dynamically update their knowledge of model parameters and states to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Liliang Wang , Alex Gorodetsky

Popular Bayes filters typically rely on linearization techniques such as Taylor series expansion and stochastic linear regression to use the structure of standard Kalman filter. These techniques may introduce large estimation errors in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Shengbo Eben Li

Nonlinear extensions of the Kalman filter (KF), such as the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and the unscented Kalman filter (UKF), are indispensable for state estimation in complex dynamical systems, yet the conditions for a nonlinear KF to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Shida Jiang , Jaewoong Lee , Shengyu Tao , Scott Moura

Filtering is concerned with online estimation of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. In applications where the state of the system is high dimensional, ensemble Kalman filters are often the method of choice.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-30 Omar Al Ghattas , Jiajun Bao , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

A square root approach is considered for the problem of accounting for model noise in the forecast step of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and related algorithms. The primary aim is to replace the method of simulated, pseudo-random,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-07-23 Patrick N. Raanes , Alberto Carrassi , Laurent Bertino

Filtering is concerned with online estimation of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. In applications where the state is high dimensional, ensemble Kalman filters are often the method of choice. This paper…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Nathan Waniorek

Kalman filters provide a straightforward and interpretable means to estimate hidden or latent variables, and have found numerous applications in control, robotics, signal processing, and machine learning. One such application is neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Josue Casco-Rodriguez , Caleb Kemere , Richard G. Baraniuk

Filtering - the task of estimating the conditional distribution for states of a dynamical system given partial and noisy observations - is important in many areas of science and engineering, including weather and climate prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Eviatar Bach , Ricardo Baptista , Enoch Luk , Andrew Stuart

The Kalman filter provides an optimal estimation for a linear system with Gaussian noise. However when the noises are non-Gaussian in nature, its performance deteriorates rapidly. For non-Gaussian noises, maximum correntropy Kalman filter…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Joydeb Saha , Shovan Bhaumik

Data assimilation combines information from models, measurements, and priors to estimate the state of a dynamical system such as the atmosphere. The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a family of ensemble-based data assimilation approaches…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-12-09 Ahmed Attia , Adrian Sandu