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Using Kalman techniques, it is possible to perform optimal estimation in linear Gaussian state-space models. We address here the case where the noise probability density functions are of unknown functional form. A flexible Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 François Caron , Manuel Davy , Arnaud Doucet , Emmanuel Duflos , Philippe Vanheeghe

This paper considers the problem of data-driven robust control design for nonlinear systems, for instance, obtained when discretizing nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). A robust learning control approach is developed for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Anant A. Joshi , Saviz Mowlavi , Mouhacine Benosman

In this article, the state estimation problems with unknown process noise and measurement noise covariances for both linear and nonlinear systems are considered. By formulating the joint estimation of system state and noise parameters into…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-18 Hua Lan , Shijie Zhao , Jinjie Hu , Zengfu Wang , Jing Fu

This paper extends the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for inverse problems to identify trending model coefficients. This is done by repeatedly inflating the ensemble while maintaining the mean of the particles. As a benchmark serves a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-30 M. Schwenzer , G. Visconti , M. Ay , T. Bergs , M. Herty , D. Abel

Conventional Bayesian estimation requires an accurate stochastic model of a system. However, this requirement is not always met in many practical cases where the system is not completely known or may differ from the assumed model. For such…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-05 Ranjeet Kumar Tiwari , Shovan Bhaumik

State-of-the-art ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF) algorithms require incorporating localization techniques to cope with the rank deficiency and the inherited spurious correlations in their error covariance matrices. Localization techniques…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 Boujemaa Ait-El-Fquih , Ibrahim Hoteit

Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in Earth system model parameterizations is essential to improving their reliability in decision-making. Forward uncertainty propagation is used to derive parameter sensitivity but requires physically…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ethan YoungIn Shin , Baris Kale , Michael F. Howland

It is well recognized that discontinuous analysis increments of sequential data assimilation systems, such as ensemble Kalman filters, might lead to spurious high frequency adjustment processes in the model dynamics. Various methods have…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-18 Kay Bergemann , Sebastian Reich

The Kalman Filter (KF) parameters are traditionally determined by noise estimation, since under the KF assumptions, the state prediction errors are minimized when the parameters correspond to the noise covariance. However, noise estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Ido Greenberg , Shie Mannor , Netanel Yannay

The Kalman filter (KF) is one of the most widely used tools for data assimilation and sequential estimation. In this work, we show that the state estimates from the KF in a standard linear dynamical system setting are equivalent to those…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-04 Maria Jahja , David C. Farrow , Roni Rosenfeld , Ryan J. Tibshirani

Driven by the filtering challenges in linear systems disturbed by non-Gaussian heavy-tailed noise, the robust Kalman filters (RKFs) leveraging diverse heavy-tailed distributions have been introduced. However, the RKFs rely on precise noise…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Pengcheng Hao , Oktay Karakus , Alin Achim

This work presents a distributionally robust Kalman filter to address uncertainties in noise covariance matrices and predicted covariance estimates. We adopt a distributionally robust formulation using bicausal optimal transport to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-18 Bingyan Han

Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is an important data assimilation method for high dimensional geophysical systems. Efficient implementation of EnKF in practice often involves the localization technique, which updates each component using only…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-04 Xin T. Tong

Covariance inflation and localization are two important techniques that are used to improve the performance of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) by (in effect) adjusting the sample covariances of the estimates in the state space. In this…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2012-10-05 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

This paper studies the distributed state estimation problem for a class of discrete time-varying systems over sensor networks. Firstly, it is shown that a networked Kalman filter with optimal gain parameter is actually a centralized filter,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-15 Xingkang He , Wenchao Xue , Haitao Fang

Data assimilation is an iterative approach to the problem of estimating the state of a dynamical system using both current and past observations of the system together with a model for the system's time evolution. Rather than solving the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Brian R. Hunt , Eric J. Kostelich , Istvan Szunyogh

Stability analysis of the Kalman filter under randomly lost measurements has been widely studied. We revisit this problem in a general continuous-time framework, where both the measurement matrix and noise covariance evolve as random…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Xinyi Wang , Devansh R. Agrawal , Dimitra Panagou

Many robotic sensor estimation problems can characterized in terms of nonlinear measurement systems. These systems are contaminated with noise and may be underdetermined from a single observation. In order to get reliable estimation…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Greg Hager , Max Mintz

Stochastic parameterizations are increasingly being used to represent the uncertainty associated with model errors in ensemble forecasting and data assimilation. One of the challenges associated with the use of these parameterizations is…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-23 Guillermo Scheffler , Juan Ruiz , Manuel Pulido

This work develops a new multifidelity ensemble Kalman filter (MFEnKF) algorithm based on linear control variate framework. The approach allows for rigorous multifidelity extensions of the EnKF, where the uncertainty in coarser fidelities…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-03 Andrey A Popov , Changhong Mou , Traian Iliescu , Adrian Sandu
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