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For the binary prevalence quantification problem under prior probability shift, we determine the asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimator. We find that it is a function of the Brier score for the regression of the class label…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-23 Dirk Tasche

Negative probabilities arise primarily in physics, statistical quantum mechanics and quantum computing. Negative probabilities arise as mixing distributions of unobserved latent variables in Bayesian modeling. Our goal is to provide a link…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-09-06 Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

We consider the non-parametric regression problem under Huber's $\epsilon$-contamination model, in which an $\epsilon$ fraction of observations are subject to arbitrary adversarial noise. We first show that a simple local binning median…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-29 Simon S. Du , Yining Wang , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Pradeep Ravikumar , Aarti Singh

Nonprobability (convenience) samples are increasingly sought to stabilize estimations for one or more population variables of interest that are performed using a randomized survey (reference) sample by increasing the effective sample size.…

Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Cheng Zeng , Eleni Dilma , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

We study two types of probability measures on the set of integer partitions of $n$ with at most $m$ parts. The first one chooses the random partition with a chance related to its largest part only. We then obtain the limiting distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-03 Tiefeng Jiang , Ke Wang

The Dirichlet distribution, also known as multivariate beta, is the most used to analyse frequencies or proportions data. Maximum likelihood is widespread for estimation of Dirichlet's parameters. However, for small sample sizes, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-04 Vincenzo Gioia , Euloge Clovis Kenne Pagui

The conditioning of the linear finite volume element discretization for general diffusion equations is studied on arbitrary simplicial meshes. The condition number is defined as the ratio of the maximal singular value of the stiffness…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-04-20 Xiang Wang , Weizhang Huang , Yonghai Li

We study the problem of estimating a $p$-dimensional $s$-sparse vector in a linear model with Gaussian design and additive noise. In the case where the labels are contaminated by at most $o$ adversarial outliers, we prove that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-20 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Philip Thompson

The paper is focused on the problem of estimating the probability $p$ of individual contaminated sample, under group testing. The precision of the estimator is given by the probability of proportional closeness, a concept defined in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-27 Yaakov Malinovsky , Shelemyahu Zacks

In this paper, we first consider the parameter estimation of a multivariate random process distribution using multivariate Gaussian mixture law. The labels of the mixture are allowed to have a general probability law which gives the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Hichem Snoussi , Ali Mohammad-Djafari

We investigate the behavior of the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator $\hat{f}_n$ for a decreasing density $f$ near the boundaries of the support of $f$. We establish the limiting distribution of $\hat{f}_n(n^{-\alpha})$, where we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Vladimir N. Kulikov , Hendrik P. Lopuhaä

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a sequence of independent observations is considered. It is assumed that the pre-change distribution is known (accurately estimated), while the only information about the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-29 Liyan Xie , Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We study the rates of convergence of the posterior distribution for Bayesian density estimation with Dirichlet mixtures of normal distributions as the prior. The true density is assumed to be twice continuously differentiable. The bandwidth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Aad van der Vaart

We consider scattering processes where a quantum system is comprised of an inner subsystem and of a boundary, and is subject to Haar-averaged random unitaries acting on the boundary-environment Hilbert space only. We show that, regardless…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-08-30 Michele Avalle , Alessio Serafini

Distributionally robust optimisation (DRO) minimises the worst-case expected loss over an ambiguity set that can capture distributional shifts in out-of-sample environments. While Huber (linear-vacuous) contamination is a classical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-30 Mengqi Chen , Thomas B. Berrett , Theodoros Damoulas , Michele Caprio

We consider structural equation modeling (SEM) with latent variables for diffusion processes based on high-frequency data. We derive the quasi-likelihood estimators for parameters in the SEM. The goodness-of-fit test based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-24 Shogo Kusano , Masayuki Uchida

Motivated by applications in genetic fields, we propose to estimate the heritability in high dimensional sparse linear mixed models. The heritability determines how the variance is shared between the different random components of a linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-07 Anna Bonnet , Elisabeth Gassiat , Céline Lévy-Leduc

Detecting associations between microbial compositions and sample characteristics is one of the most important tasks in microbiome studies. Most of the existing methods apply univariate models to single microbial species separately, with…

A method is proposed for generating compact fractal disordered media, by generalizing the random midpoint displacement algorithm. The obtained structures are invasive stochastic fractals, with the Hurst exponent varying as a continuous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-01-04 Christian Turk , Anna Carbone , Bernardino M. Chiaia
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