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In this work we consider the \emph{infinite color urn model} associated with a bounded increment random walk on $\Zbold^d$. This model was first introduced by Bandyopadhyay and Thacker (2013). We prove that the rate of convergence of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-23 Antar Bandyopadhyay , Debleena Thacker

We give bounds for (central) moments for balanced P\'olya urns under very general conditions. In some cases, these bounds imply that moment convergence holds in earlier known results on asymptotic distribution. The results overlap with…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-21 Svante Janson

We consider the urn setting with two different objects, ``good'' and ``bad'', and analyze the number of draws without replacement until a good object is picked. Although the expected number of draws for this setting is a standard textbook…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-07 John Ahlgren

This paper extends classical probabilistic results to the broader class of demimartingales and demisubmartingales. We establish variants of Doob's-type optional sampling theorem under minimal structural conditions on stopping times, relying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Milto Hadjikyriakou , B. L. S Prakasa Rao

The stochastic models investigated in this paper describe the evolution of a set of $F_N$ identical balls scattered into $N$ urns connected by an underlying symmetrical graph with constant degree $h_N$. After some random amount of time {\em…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-06 Wen Sun , Philippe Robert

We study a random partial covering model on the $(d-1)$-dimensional unit sphere, where $N$ spherical caps are placed independently and uniformly at random, each covering a surface fraction of $1/N$. This model provides a continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Steven Hoehner , Christoph Thäle

In this work, recent results on the moments of balanced P\'olya urns are generalized to unbalanced urns, with the condition that the expected change in total activity at each step is constant. We also provide applications of our results to…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-19 Colin Desmarais

A cyclic urn is an urn model for balls of types $0,\ldots,m-1$. The urn starts at time zero with an initial configuration. Then, in each time step, first a ball is drawn from the urn uniformly and independently from the past. If its type is…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-14 Noela Müller , Ralph Neininger

We introduce a class of reinforcement models where, at each time step $t$, one first chooses a random subset $A_t$ of colours (independent of the past) from $n$ colours of balls, and then chooses a colour $i$ from this subset with…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-03 Remco van der Hofstad , Mark Holmes , Alexey Kuznetsov , Wioletta Ruszel

Consider an urn filled with balls, each labeled with one of several possible collective decisions. Now, let a random voter draw two balls from the urn and pick her more preferred as the collective decision. Relabel the losing ball with the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-28 Florian Brandl , Felix Brandt

We consider a deposition model in which balls rain down at random towards a 2-dimensional surface, roll downwards over existing adsorbed balls, are adsorbed if they reach the surface, and discarded if not. We prove a spatial law of large…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Mathew D. Penrose

We show how a central limit theorem for Poisson model random polygons implies a central limit theorem for uniform model random polygons. To prove this implication, it suffices to show that in the two models, the variables in question have…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-14 John Pardon

This paper extends the link between stochastic approximation (SA) theory and randomized urn models developed in Laruelle, Pag{\`e}s (2013), and their applications to clinical trials introduced in Bai, HU (1999,2005) and Bai, Hu, Shen…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-16 Sophie Laruelle , Gilles Pagès

In this article we prove three fundamental types of limit theorems for the $q$-norm of random vectors chosen at random in an $\ell_p^n$-ball in high dimensions. We obtain a central limit theorem, a moderate deviations as well as a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-11 Zakhar Kabluchko , Joscha Prochno , Christoph Thaele

We consider a class of random billiards in a tube, where reflection angles at collisions with the boundary of the tube are random variables rather than deterministic (and elastic) quantities. We obtain a (non-standard) Central Limit Theorem…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-21 Henk Bruin , Niels Kolenbrander , Dalia Terhesiu

We consider a generalized two-color Polya urn (black and withe balls) first introduced by Hill, Lane, Sudderth where the urn composition evolves as follows: let $\pi:\left[0,1\right]\rightarrow\left[0,1\right]$, and denote by $x_{n}$ the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Simone Franchini

A Central Limit Theorem is proved for linear random fields when sums are taken over finite disjoint union of rectangles. The approach does not rely upon the use of Beveridge Nelson decomposition and the conditions needed are similar to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-14 Atul Mallik , Michael Woodroofe

Adaptive randomly reinforced urn (ARRU) is a two-color urn model where the updating process is defined by a sequence of non-negative random vectors $\{(D_{1,n}, D_{2,n});n\geq1\}$ and randomly evolving thresholds which utilize accruing…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-27 Giacomo Aletti , Andrea Ghiglietti , Anand Vidyashankar

This paper presents DiffSum, a simple post-election risk-limiting ballot-polling audit for two-candidate plurality elections. DiffSum sequentially draws ballots (without replacement) until the numbers $a$, $b$, of votes for candidates $A$,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-09-02 Ronald L. Rivest

We study a system of interacting reinforced random walks defined on polygons. At each stage, each particle chooses an edge to traverse which is incident to its position. We allow the probability of choosing a given edge to depend on the sum…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-04-07 Jiro Akahori , Andrea Collevecchio , Timothy Garoni , Kais Hamza
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