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We present a sample-based Learning Model Predictive Controller (LMPC) for constrained uncertain linear systems subject to bounded additive disturbances. The proposed controller builds on earlier work on LMPC for deterministic systems.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Ugo Rosolia , Francesco Borrelli

State space models (SSMs) are a flexible approach to modeling complex time series. However, inference in SSMs is often computationally prohibitive for long time series. Stochastic gradient MCMC (SGMCMC) is a popular method for scalable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-11 Christopher Aicher , Yi-An Ma , Nicholas J. Foti , Emily B. Fox

We present a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for central heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) plants. The framework uses real data to forecast and quantify uncertainty of disturbances affecting the system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Ranjeet Kumar , Michael J. Wenzel , Mohammad N. ElBsat , Michael J. Risbeck , Kirk H. Drees , Victor M. Zavala

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a successful control methodology, which is applied to increasingly complex systems. However, real-time feasibility of MPC can be challenging for complex systems, certainly when an (extremely) large number…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-25 S. A. N. Nouwens , B. de Jager , M. M. Paulides , W. P. M. H. Heemels

Optimal control under uncertainty is a prevailing challenge for many reasons. One of the critical difficulties lies in producing tractable solutions for the underlying stochastic optimization problem. We show how advanced approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Joe Watson , Hany Abdulsamad , Rolf Findeisen , Jan Peters

Model predictive control (MPC) has been successful in applications involving the control of complex physical systems. This class of controllers leverages the information provided by an approximate model of the system's dynamics to simulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-09 Rel Guzman , Rafael Oliveira , Fabio Ramos

This study addresses the stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) problem for linear time-invariant systems subjected to unknown disturbance distributions. By leveraging the most recent disturbance data, we construct a set of distributions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-15 Xu Chen , Lorenz Dörschel

We present a stochastic constrained output-feedback data-driven predictive control scheme for linear time-invariant systems subject to bounded additive disturbances. The approach uses data-driven predictors based on an extension of Willems'…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-07 Johannes Teutsch , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

This paper studies an optimal control problem for continuous-time stochastic systems subject to reachability objectives specified in a subclass of metric interval temporal logic specifications, a temporal logic with real-time constraints.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-04-21 Jie Fu , Ufuk Topcu

This paper is about a class of distributionally robust model predictive controllers (MPC) for nonlinear stochastic processes that evaluate risk and control performance measures by propagating ambiguity sets in the space of state probability…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-22 Fan Wu , Mario E. Villanueva , Boris Houska

In this paper, we propose a model predictive control (MPC) method for real-time intervention of spreading processes, such as epidemics and wildfire, over large-scale networks. The goal is to allocate budgeted resources each time step to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Ruigang Wang , Armaghan Zafar , Ian R. Manchester

Controllers for autonomous systems that operate in safety-critical settings must account for stochastic disturbances. Such disturbances are often modelled as process noise, and common assumptions are that the underlying distributions are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-08 Thom S. Badings , Alessandro Abate , Nils Jansen , David Parker , Hasan A. Poonawala , Marielle Stoelinga

In this paper, we address the problem of designing stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) schemes for linear systems affected by unbounded disturbances. The contribution of the paper is rooted in a measured-state initialization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Mirko Fiacchini , Martina Mammarella , Fabrizio Dabbene

In this paper, we present a distributed model predictive control (DMPC) scheme for dynamically decoupled systems which are subject to state constraints, coupling state constraints and input constraints. In the proposed control scheme,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-17 Adrian Wiltz , Fei Chen , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

Statistical model checking (SMC) is a technique for analysis of probabilistic systems that may be (partially) unknown. We present an SMC algorithm for (unbounded) reachability yielding probably approximately correct (PAC) guarantees on the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Pranav Ashok , Jan Křetínský , Maximilian Weininger

We propose a Model Predictive Control (MPC) with a single-step prediction horizon to approximate the solution of infinite horizon optimal control problems with the expected sum of convex stage costs for constrained linear uncertain systems.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-24 Eunhyek Joa , Francesco Borrelli

To analyze high-dimensional systems, many fields in science and engineering rely on high-level descriptions, sometimes called "macrostates," "coarse-grainings," or "effective theories". Examples of such descriptions include the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-19 David H. Wolpert , Joshua A. Grochow , Eric Libby , Simon DeDeo

Direct data-driven control methods are known to be vulnerable to uncertainty in stochastic systems. In this paper, we propose a new robust data-driven predictive control (DDPC) framework. By analyzing non-unique solutions to behavioral…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Yibo Wang , Qingyuan Liu , Chao Shang

This paper considers linear discrete-time systems with additive disturbances, and designs a Model Predictive Control (MPC) law to minimise a quadratic cost function subject to a chance constraint. The chance constraint is defined as a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Shuhao Yan , Paul Goulart , Mark Cannon

This work introduces a stochastic model predictive control scheme for dynamic chance constraints. We consider linear discrete-time systems affected by unbounded additive stochastic disturbance. To synthesize an optimal controller, we solve…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-26 Maico Hendrikus Wilhelmus Engelaar , Sofie Haesaert , Mircea Lazar