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In this paper we wish to tackle stochastic programs affected by ambiguity about the probability law that governs their uncertain parameters. Using optimal transport theory, we construct an ambiguity set that exploits the knowledge about the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Adrián Esteban-Pérez , Juan M. Morales

Uncertain dynamic obstacles, such as pedestrians or vehicles, pose a major challenge for optimal robot navigation with safety guarantees. Previous work on motion planning has followed two main strategies to provide a safe bound on an…

As autonomous systems become more complex and integral in our society, the need to accurately model and safely control these systems has increased significantly. In the past decade, there has been tremendous success in using deep learning…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Hao Wang , Javier Borquez , Somil Bansal

Many decision problems in science, engineering and economics are affected by uncertain parameters whose distribution is only indirectly observable through samples. The goal of data-driven decision-making is to learn a decision from finitely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh

In the realm of maritime transportation, autonomous vessel navigation in natural inland waterways faces persistent challenges due to unpredictable natural factors. Existing scheduling algorithms fall short in handling these uncertainties,…

A key challenge in off-road navigation is that even visually similar terrains or ones from the same semantic class may have substantially different traction properties. Existing work typically assumes no wheel slip or uses the expected…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Xiaoyi Cai , Michael Everett , Lakshay Sharma , Philip R. Osteen , Jonathan P. How

Density of the reachable states can help understand the risk of safety-critical systems, especially in situations when worst-case reachability is too conservative. Recent work provides a data-driven approach to compute the density…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-09-19 Yue Meng , Zeng Qiu , Md Tawhid Bin Waez , Chuchu Fan

Sampling based methods are widely used for robotic motion planning. Traditionally, these samples are drawn from probabilistic ( or deterministic ) distributions to cover the state space uniformly. Despite being probabilistically complete,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Rajat Kumar Jenamani , Rahul Kumar , Parth Mall , Kushal Kedia

We present a method for feedback motion planning of systems with unknown dynamics which provides probabilistic guarantees on safety, reachability, and goal stability. To find a domain in which a learned control-affine approximation of the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-10-22 Craig Knuth , Glen Chou , Necmiye Ozay , Dmitry Berenson

Designing provably safe control is a core problem in trustworthy autonomy. However, most prior work in this regard assumes either that the system dynamics are known or deterministic, or that the state and action space are finite,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Xinhang Ma , Junlin Wu , Yiannis Kantaros , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

We consider distributionally robust optimization problems where the uncertainty is modeled via a structured Wasserstein ambiguity set. Specifically, the ambiguity is restricted to product measures $P^{\otimes N}$, where $P$ lies within a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Andrey Kharitenko , Marta Fochesato , Anastasios Tsiamis , Niklas Schmid , John Lygeros

This paper investigates the robust optimal control of sampled-data stochastic systems with multiplicative noise and distributional ambiguity. We consider a class of discrete-time optimal control problems where the controller \emph{jointly}…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Chung-Han Hsieh

Planning robust robot manipulation requires good forward models that enable robust plans to be found. This work shows how to achieve this using a forward model learned from robot data to plan push manipulations. We explore learning methods…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-07-03 Ermano Arruda , Michael J Mathew , Marek Kopicki , Michael Mistry , Morteza Azad , Jeremy L Wyatt

Recent trends envisage robots being deployed in areas deemed dangerous to humans, such as buildings with gas and radiation leaks. In such situations, the model of the underlying hazardous process might be unknown to the agent a priori,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Fernando S. Barbosa , Bruno Lacerda , Paul Duckworth , Jana Tumova , Nick Hawes

The Wasserstein distance has emerged as a key metric to quantify distances between probability distributions, with applications in various fields, including machine learning, control theory, decision theory, and biological systems.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Eduardo Figueiredo , Steven Adams , Luca Laurenti

We present a novel $Q$-learning algorithm tailored to solve distributionally robust Markov decision problems where the corresponding ambiguity set of transition probabilities for the underlying Markov decision process is a Wasserstein ball…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

We investigate the autonomous navigation of a mobile robot in the presence of other moving vehicles under time-varying uncertain environmental disturbances. We first predict the future state distributions of other vehicles to account for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-09-09 Junhong Xu , Kai Yin , Lantao Liu

Safe operation of autonomous systems requires robustness to both model uncertainty and uncertainty in the environment. We propose DRP-$\mathcal{L}_1$AC, a hierarchical framework for stochastic nonlinear systems that integrates…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-24 Astghik Hakobyan , Amaras Nazarians , Aditya Gahlawat , Naira Hovakimyan , Ilya Kolmanovsky

Achieving safe control under uncertainty is a key problem that needs to be tackled for enabling real-world autonomous robots and cyber-physical systems. This paper introduces Probabilistic Safety Programs (PSP) that embed both the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-10-19 Ashish Kapoor , Debadeepta Dey , Shital Shah

Uncertainty-aware robot motion prediction is crucial for downstream traversability estimation and safe autonomous navigation in unstructured, off-road environments, where terrain is heterogeneous and perceptual uncertainty is high. Most…