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We establish the asymptotic theory in quantile autoregression when the model parameter is specified with respect to moderate deviations from the unit boundary of the form (1 + c / k) with a convergence sequence that diverges at a rate…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-22 Christis Katsouris

A celebrated result of Pollard proves asymptotic consistency for $k$-means clustering when the population distribution has finite variance. In this work, we point out that the population-level $k$-means clustering problem is, in fact,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Moïse Blanchard , Adam Quinn Jaffe , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

We establish central and non-central limit theorems for sequences of functionals of the Gaussian output of an infinitely-wide random neural network on the d-dimensional sphere . We show that the asymptotic behaviour of these functionals as…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-24 Simmaco Di Lillo , Leonardo Maini , Domenico Marinucci

Mark Kac gave one of the first results analyzing random polynomial zeros. He considered the case of independent standard normal coefficients and was able to show that the expected number of real zeros for a degree n polynomial is on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-20 Jeffrey Matayoshi

Let $f$ be a Rademacher or Steinhaus random multiplicative function. For various arithmetically interesting subsets $\mathcal A\subseteq [1, N]\cap\mathbb N$ such that the distribution of $\sum_{n\in \mathcal A} f(n)$ is approximately…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-04 Besfort Shala

We study the fluctuation behavior of individual eigenvalues of kernel matrices arising from dense graphon-based random graphs. Under minimal integrability and boundedness assumptions on the graphon, we establish distributional limits for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Behzad Aalipur

We consider a system of random autonomous ODEs introduced by Cugliandolo et al. [22], which serves as a non-relaxational analog of the gradient flow for the spherical p-spin model. The asymptotics for the expected number of equilibria in…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-15 Pax Kivimae

Consider the class of Ensemble Square Root filtering algorithms for the numerical approximation of the posterior distribution of nonlinear Markovian signals partially observed with linear observations corrupted with independent measurement…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-01 Theresa Lange , Wilhelm Stannat

We present a general approach to the problem of determining the asymptotic order of the variance of the optimal score between two independent random sequences defined over an arbitrary finite alphabet. Our general approach is based on…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-22 Jüri Lember , Heinrich Matzinger , Felipe Torres

We study sufficient conditions for the belonging of random process to certain Besov space and for the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) in these spaces. We investigate also the non-asymptotic tail behavior of normed sums of centered random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-03 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We introduce two probabilistic models of random log-concave polynomials, the uniform model and the beta model, and study the asymptotic distribution of their zeros in the complex plane. In the uniform model, we show that the empirical root…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-10 Ohad Noy Feldheim , Arnab Sen

We investigate the probability that a random polynomial with independent, mean-zero and finite variance coefficients has no real zeros. Specifically, we consider a random polynomial of degree $2n$ with coefficients given by an i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Promit Ghosal , Sumit Mukherjee

The aim of this paper is to study the fluctuations of a general class of supercritical branching Markov processes with non-local branching mechanisms. We show the existence of three regimes according to the size of the spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Christopher B. C. Dean , Emma Horton

In this article, we study the fluctuations of the random variable: $$ {\mathcal I}_n(\rho) = \frac 1N \log\det(\Sigma_n \Sigma_n^* + \rho I_N),\quad (\rho>0) $$ where $\Sigma_n= n^{-1/2} D_n^{1/2} X_n\tilde D_n^{1/2} +A_n$, as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-04 Walid Hachem , Malika Kharouf , Jamal Najim , Jack W. Silverstein

We characterize compatible families of real-rooted polynomials, allowing both positive and negative leading coefficients. Our characterization naturally generalizes the same-sign characterization used by Chudnovsky and Seymour in their…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-08-06 Jonathan Leake , Nick Ryder

We study asymptotic behaviour of stochastic approximation procedures with three main characteristics: truncations with random moving bounds, a matrix valued random step-size sequence, and a dynamically changing random regression function.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Teo Sharia , Lei Zhong

We prove matching asymptotic lower and upper bounds on the variances of the intrinsic volumes and the number of $k$-faces of $d$-dimensional random beta-polytopes. Using Stein's methods, we establish central limit theorems for the intrinsic…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2025-12-04 Ferenc Fodor , Balázs Grünfelder

We state the Central Limit Theorem, as the degree goes to infinity, for the normalized volume of the zero set of a rectangular Kostlan-Shub-Smale random polynomial system. This paper is a continuation of {\it Central Limit Theorem for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-27 Jean-Marc Azaïs , Diego Armentano , Federico Dalmao , José R. León

The paper establishes the central limit theorems and proposes how to perform valid inference in factor models. We consider a setting where many counties/regions/assets are observed for many time periods, and when estimation of a global…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-22 Stanislav Anatolyev , Anna Mikusheva

We study the probability distribution of the area and the number of vertices of random polygons in a convex set $K\subset\mathbb{R}^2$. The novel aspect of our approach is that it yields uniform estimates for all convex sets…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 John Pardon