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Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with latent variables are probabilistic models which can automatically identify complex stochastic patterns in the data. We describe and study in these models a decomposition of predictive uncertainty into…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-15 Stefan Depeweg , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Finale Doshi-Velez , Steffen Udluft

Current attempts of Reinforcement Learning for Autonomous Controller are data-demanding while the results are under-performed, unstable, and unable to grasp and anchor on the concept of safety, and over-concentrating on noise features due…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Tran Tien Dat , Nguyen Hai An , Nguyen Khanh Viet Dung , Nguyen Duy Duc

We perform approximate inference in state-space models with nonlinear state transitions. Without parameterizing a generative model, we apply Bayesian update formulas using a local linearity approximation parameterized by neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 David Ruhe , Patrick Forré

Non-contrastive self-supervised learning (SSL) is an effective framework for predictive representation learning, but popular (and in practice effective) methods such as SimSiam, BYOL, I-JEPA or DINO, which rely on a form of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Michael Arbel , Basile Terver , Jean Ponce

Embeddings play a pivotal role across various disciplines, offering compact representations of complex data structures. Randomized methods like Johnson-Lindenstrauss (JL) provide state-of-the-art and essentially unimprovable theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-11 Nikos Tsikouras , Constantine Caramanis , Christos Tzamos

We consider the problem of structure recovery in a graphical model of a tree where some variables are latent. Specifically, we focus on the Gaussian case, which can be reformulated as a well-studied problem: recovering a semi-labeled tree…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Luc Devroye , Gabor Lugosi , Piotr Zwiernik

One's ability to learn a generative model of the world without supervision depends on the extent to which one can construct abstract knowledge representations that generalize across experiences. To this end, capturing an accurate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Zahra Sheikhbahaee , Dongshu Luo , Blake VanBerlo , S. Alex Yun , Adam Safron , Jesse Hoey

A long-standing challenge in AI is to develop agents capable of solving a wide range of physical tasks and generalizing to new, unseen tasks and environments. A popular recent approach involves training a world model from state-action…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Basile Terver , Tsung-Yen Yang , Jean Ponce , Adrien Bardes , Yann LeCun

We propose a generalized debiased Lasso estimator based on a stability principle. When a single column of the design matrix is perturbed, the estimator admits a simple update formula that can be computed from the original solution. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Jingbo Liu

Recent advances in quantized compressed sensing and high-dimensional estimation have shown that signal recovery is even feasible under strong non-linear distortions in the observation process. An important characteristic of associated…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-08 Martin Genzel , Alexander Stollenwerk

Complex networked systems driven by latent inputs are common in fields like neuroscience, finance, and engineering. A key inference problem here is to learn edge connectivity from node outputs (potentials). We focus on systems governed by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-30 Anirudh Rayas , Jiajun Cheng , Rajasekhar Anguluri , Deepjyoti Deka , Gautam Dasarathy

Various world model frameworks are being developed today based on autoregressive frameworks that rely on discrete representations of actions and observations, and these frameworks are succeeding in constructing interactive generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Kohei Hayashi , Masanori Koyama , Julian Jorge Andrade Guerreiro

The large scale structure (LSS) of the universe is generated by the linear density gaussian modes, which are evolved into the observed nonlinear LSS. The posterior surface of the modes is convex in the linear regime, leading to a unique…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-08 Yu Feng , Uros Seljak , Matias Zaldarriaga

Data assimilation (DA) integrates observations with model forecasts to produce optimized atmospheric states, whose physical consistency is critical for stable weather forecasting and reliable climate research. Traditional Bayesian DA…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 Hang Fan , Lei Bai , Ben Fei , Yi Xiao , Kun Chen , Yubao Liu , Yongquan Qu , Fenghua Ling , Pierre Gentine

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) minimizes the reconstruction error given a class of linear models of fixed component dimensionality. Probabilistic PCA adds a probabilistic structure by learning the probability distribution of the PCA…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Vanessa Böhm , Uroš Seljak

Machine Learning is becoming more prevalent in science and engineering, but many approaches do not provide meaningful uncertainty estimates and predictions may also violate known physical knowledge. We propose a Bayesian framework to embed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Matthew Marsh , Benoît Chachuat , Antonio del Rio Chanona

The chain graph model admits both undirected and directed edges in one graph, where symmetric conditional dependencies are encoded via undirected edges and asymmetric causal relations are encoded via directed edges. Though frequently…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-29 Ruixuan Zhao , Haoran Zhang , Junhui Wang

In Gaussian graphical model selection, noise-corrupted samples present significant challenges. It is known that even minimal amounts of noise can obscure the underlying structure, leading to fundamental identifiability issues. A recent line…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-09 Abrar Zahin , Rajasekhar Anguluri , Lalitha Sankar , Oliver Kosut , Gautam Dasarathy

Linear regression studies the problem of estimating a model parameter $\beta^* \in \mathbb{R}^p$, from $n$ observations $\{(y_i,\mathbf{x}_i)\}_{i=1}^n$ from linear model $y_i = \langle \mathbf{x}_i,\beta^* \rangle + \epsilon_i$. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-14 Xinyang Yi , Zhaoran Wang , Constantine Caramanis , Han Liu

We study sparse linear regression over a network of agents, modeled as an undirected graph and no server node. The estimation of the $s$-sparse parameter is formulated as a constrained LASSO problem wherein each agent owns a subset of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Marie Maros , Gesualdo Scutari , Ying Sun , Guang Cheng