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We employ both random forests and LSTM networks (more precisely CuDNNLSTM) as training methodologies to analyze their effectiveness in forecasting out-of-sample directional movements of constituent stocks of the S&P 500 from January 1993…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Pushpendu Ghosh , Ariel Neufeld , Jajati Keshari Sahoo

Forecasting crude oil prices remains challenging because market-relevant information is embedded in large volumes of unstructured news and is not fully captured by traditional polarity-based sentiment measures. This paper examines whether…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-18 Dehao Dai , Ding Ma , Dou Liu , Kerui Geng , Yiqing Wang

Time series prediction with deep learning methods, especially long short-term memory neural networks (LSTMs), have scored significant achievements in recent years. Despite the fact that the LSTMs can help to capture long-term dependencies,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-12 Youru Li , Zhenfeng Zhu , Deqiang Kong , Hua Han , Yao Zhao

The stock market has been a popular topic of interest in the recent past. The growth in the inflation rate has compelled people to invest in the stock and commodity markets and other areas rather than saving. Further, the ability of Deep…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-21 Priyank Sonkiya , Vikas Bajpai , Anukriti Bansal

Stock price prediction can be made more efficient by considering the price fluctuations and understanding the sentiments of people. A limited number of models understand financial jargon or have labelled datasets concerning stock price…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-31 Mukul Jaggi , Priyanka Mandal , Shreya Narang , Usman Naseem , Matloob Khushi

Accurate stock price prediction is crucial for investors and financial institutions, yet the complexity of the stock market makes it highly challenging. This study aims to construct an effective model to enhance the prediction ability of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Zi-xi Hu , Bao Shen , Yiwen Hu , Chen Zhao

This paper will analyze and implement a time series dynamic neural network to predict daily closing stock prices. Neural networks possess unsurpassed abilities in identifying underlying patterns in chaotic, non-linear, and seemingly random…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-23 David Noel

The aim of this paper is the analysis and selection of stock trading systems that combine different models with data of different nature, such as financial and microeconomic information. Specifically, based on previous work by the authors…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-03 Juan C. King , Jose M. Amigo

This study introduces a novel approach for EUR/USD exchange rate forecasting that integrates deep learning, textual analysis, and particle swarm optimization (PSO). By incorporating online news and analysis texts as qualitative data, the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Hongcheng Ding , Xiangyu Shi , Ruiting Deng , Salaar Faroog , Deshinta Arrova Dewi , Shamsul Nahar Abdullah , Bahiah A Malek

There has been growing interest in applying NLP techniques in the financial domain, however, resources are extremely limited. This paper introduces StockEmotions, a new dataset for detecting emotions in the stock market that consists of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-11-29 Jean Lee , Hoyoul Luis Youn , Josiah Poon , Soyeon Caren Han

This research aims to leverage machine learning to improve stock price prediction and support informed investment decisions related to buying, selling, and holding assets. Specifically, this work investigates transformer-based models for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-26 Marie Soehl Coolsaet , Roberto Gallardo , Zhen Gao

Financial prediction is a complex and challenging task of time series analysis and signal processing, expected to model both short-term fluctuations and long-term temporal dependencies. Transformers have remarkable success mostly in natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-17 Nguyen Kim Hai Bui , Nguyen Duy Chien , Péter Kovács , Gergő Bognár

Forecasting central bank policy decisions remains a persistent challenge for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers due to the wide-reaching impact of monetary actions. In particular, anticipating shifts in the U.S. federal…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-01 Fiona Xiao Jingyi , Lili Liu

Financial time series prediction, especially with machine learning techniques, is an extensive field of study. In recent times, deep learning methods (especially time series analysis) have performed outstandingly for various industrial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Sangyeon Kim , Myungjoo Kang

The innovation of the study is that the deep learning method and sentiment analysis are integrated in traditional business model analysis and forecasting, and the research subject is TSMC for industry trend prediction of semiconductor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Wei-hsiang Yen , Lyn Chao-ling Chen

Oil companies are among the largest companies in the world whose economic indicators in the global stock market have a great impact on the world economy\cite{ec00} and market due to their relation to gold\cite{ec01}, crude oil\cite{ec02},…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-21 Javad T. Firouzjaee , Pouriya Khaliliyan

This paper proposes an algorithm based on a staged sliding window Transformer architecture to detect abnormal behaviors in the microstructure of the foreign exchange market, focusing on high-frequency EUR/USD trading data. The method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Qiuliuyang Bao , Jiawei Wang , Hao Gong , Yiwei Zhang , Xiaojun Guo , Hanrui Feng

There has been much interest in accurate cryptocurrency price forecast models by investors and researchers. Deep Learning models are prominent machine learning techniques that have transformed various fields and have shown potential for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Jingyang Wu , Xinyi Zhang , Fangyixuan Huang , Haochen Zhou , Rohtiash Chandra

A study on power market price forecasting by deep learning is presented. As one of the most successful deep learning frameworks, the LSTM (Long short-term memory) neural network is utilized. The hourly prices data from the New England and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Yongli Zhu , Songtao Lu , Renchang Dai , Guangyi Liu , Zhiwei Wang

Accurate exchange rate prediction is fundamental to financial stability and international trade, positioning it as a critical focus in economic and financial research. Traditional forecasting models often falter when addressing the inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-30 Shuchen Meng , Andi Chen , Chihang Wang , Mengyao Zheng , Fangyu Wu , Xupeng Chen , Haowei Ni , Panfeng Li