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Time series data is ubiquitous, with forecasting applications spanning from finance to healthcare. Beyond popular deterministic methods, generative models are gaining attention due to advancements in areas like image synthesis and video…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Jiawen Wei , Lan Jiang , Pengbo Wei , Ziwen Ye , Teng Song , Chen Chen , Guangrui Ma

Thompson sampling (TS) has emerged as a robust technique for contextual bandit problems. However, TS requires posterior inference and optimization for action generation, prohibiting its use in many online platforms where latency and ease of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-23 Hongseok Namkoong , Samuel Daulton , Eytan Bakshy

Humans and many animals exhibit a robust capability to manipulate diverse objects, often directly with their bodies and sometimes indirectly with tools. Such flexibility is likely enabled by the fundamental consistency in underlying physics…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Yuki Noguchi , Tatsuya Matsushima , Yutaka Matsuo , Shixiang Shane Gu

Generative modeling has recently shown remarkable promise for visuomotor policy learning, enabling flexible and expressive control across diverse embodied AI tasks. However, existing generative policies often struggle with data…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Jianlei Chang , Ruofeng Mei , Wei Ke , Xiangyu Xu

Diffusion-based policies have recently achieved remarkable success in robotics by formulating action prediction as a conditional denoising process. However, the standard practice of sampling from random Gaussian noise often requires…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Jindou Jia , Gen Li , Xiangyu Chen , Tuo An , Yuxuan Hu , Jingliang Li , Xinying Guo , Jianfei Yang

This paper introduces a new sparse spatio-temporal structured Gaussian process regression framework for online and offline Bayesian inference. This is the first framework that gives a time-evolving representation of the interdependencies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Model Predictive Control evolved as the state of the art paradigm for safety critical control tasks. Control-as-Inference approaches thereof model the constrained optimization problem as a probabilistic inference problem. The constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Jörn Tebbe , Andreas Besginow , Markus Lange-Hegermann

Learning-based methods have improved locomotion skills of quadruped robots through deep reinforcement learning. However, the sim-to-real gap and low sample efficiency still limit the skill transfer. To address this issue, we propose an…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Haojie Shi , Tingguang Li , Qingxu Zhu , Jiapeng Sheng , Lei Han , Max Q. -H. Meng

While modern policy optimization methods can do complex manipulation from sensory data, they struggle on problems with extended time horizons and multiple sub-goals. On the other hand, task and motion planning (TAMP) methods scale to long…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Michael James McDonald , Dylan Hadfield-Menell

Acquiring a multi-task imitation policy in 3D manipulation poses challenges in terms of scene understanding and action prediction. Current methods employ both 3D representation and multi-view 2D representation to predict the poses of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Junjie Zhang , Chenjia Bai , Haoran He , Wenke Xia , Zhigang Wang , Bin Zhao , Xiu Li , Xuelong Li

While inference-time scaling has significantly enhanced generative quality in large language and diffusion models, its application to vector-quantized (VQ) visual autoregressive modeling (VAR) remains unexplored. We introduce VAR-Scaling,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Weidong Tang , Xinyan Wan , Siyu Li , Xiumei Wang

Contact-rich manipulation depends on applying the correct grasp forces throughout the manipulation task, especially when handling fragile or deformable objects. Most existing imitation learning approaches often treat visuotactile feedback…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Erik Helmut , Niklas Funk , Tim Schneider , Cristiana de Farias , Jan Peters

Inference models are a key component in scaling variational inference to deep latent variable models, most notably as encoder networks in variational auto-encoders (VAEs). By replacing conventional optimization-based inference with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-26 Joseph Marino , Yisong Yue , Stephan Mandt

This article develops a continuous-time asymptotic framework for analyzing adaptive experiments -- settings in which data collection and treatment assignment evolve dynamically in response to incoming information. A key challenge in…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-26 Karun Adusumilli

Recent advances in generative AI offer promising solutions for synthetic data generation but often rely on large datasets for effective training. To address this limitation, we propose a novel generative model that learns from limited data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-27 Michail Spitieris , Massimiliano Ruocco , Abdulmajid Murad , Alessandro Nocente

In this paper, we investigate time-varying nonlinear time series regression for a broad class of locally stationary time series. First, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions that achieve uniform…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

Task and motion planning (TAMP) frameworks address long and complex planning problems by integrating high-level task planners with low-level motion planners. However, existing TAMP methods rely heavily on the manual design of planning…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Jinbang Huang , Allen Tao , Rozilyn Marco , Miroslav Bogdanovic , Jonathan Kelly , Florian Shkurti

Reinforcement learning provides a framework for learning to control which actions to take towards completing a task through trial-and-error. In many applications observing interactions is costly, necessitating sample-efficient learning. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Charles Gadd , Markus Heinonen , Harri Lähdesmäki , Samuel Kaski

This paper analyzes the benefits of sampling intraday returns in intrinsic time for the realized variance (RV) estimator. We theoretically show in finite samples that depending on the permitted sampling information, the RV estimator is most…

End-to-end learning is emerging as a powerful paradigm for robotic manipulation, but its effectiveness is limited by data scarcity and the heterogeneity of action spaces across robot embodiments. In particular, diverse action spaces across…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-23 Erik Bauer , Elvis Nava , Robert K. Katzschmann