Related papers: From Coefficients to Distributions: De~Moivre and …
November 27, 2004, marked the 250th anniversary of the death of Abraham De Moivre, best known in statistical circles for his famous large-sample approximation to the binomial distribution, whose generalization is now referred to as the…
The projected normal distribution, also known as the angular Gaussian distribution, is obtained by dividing a multivariate normal random variable $\mathbf{x}$ by its norm $\sqrt{\mathbf{x}^T \mathbf{x}}$. The resulting random variable…
The asymptotic form of the average probability to count $N$ indistinguishable identical particles in a small number $r \ll N$ of binned-together output ports of a $M$-port Haar-random unitary network, proposed recently in \textit{Scientific…
Stable distributions is an interesting and important class of probability distributions. They were discovered explicitly by Paul L\'{e}vy in 1925 \cite{lk}. They possess many interesting properties, most importantly they are by definiton…
This paper generalises inference functions (Godambe, 1960) to distributional statistical models, in which each probability measure is represented by a distribution--kernel pair $(T_\theta, \varphi) \in \mathcal S'(\mathbb R) \times \mathcal…
We revisit the proof of the de Moivre--Laplace theorem, which is the ancestor of the central limit theorem for the binomial distribution. Our goal is to provide a proof that can be reasonably presented to undergraduate students within a…
Doubly intractable distributions arise in many settings, for example in Markov models for point processes and exponential random graph models for networks. Bayesian inference for these models is challenging because they involve intractable…
The Large Deviation Principle (LDP) and the Central Limit Theorem (CLT) are central pillars of probability theory. While their formulations are established under the i.i.d. assumption, the probabilistic foundation for power-law…
Using the intuition that out-of-distribution data have lower likelihoods, a common approach for out-of-distribution detection involves estimating the underlying data distribution. Normalizing flows are likelihood-based generative models…
A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…
Choosing the Fisher information as the metric tensor for a Riemannian manifold provides a powerful yet fundamental way to understand statistical distribution families. Distances along this manifold become a compelling measure of statistical…
Commonly observed patterns typically follow a few distinct families of probability distributions. Over one hundred years ago, Karl Pearson provided a systematic derivation and classification of the common continuous distributions. His…
The G-Wishart distribution is an essential component for the Bayesian analysis of Gaussian graphical models as the conjugate prior for the precision matrix. Evaluating the marginal likelihood of such models usually requires computing…
A new distribution named intensive natural distribution is introduced with the intent of consolidating statistics and empirical data. Based on the probability derived from the Bernoulli distribution, this method extended also Poisson…
In a memoir published in 1936 in the Annales de Institut Poincare, M. de Mises demonstrates that under certain conditions, the distribution (law of probability) of the so-called statistical functions tends towards the Gaussian, the…
Conventional statistics begins with a model, and assigns a likelihood of obtaining any particular set of data. The opposite approach, beginning with the data and assigning a likelihood to any particular model, is explored here for the case…
In this work, we define a family of probability densities involving the generalized trigonometric functions defined by Dr\'abek and Man\'asevich [1], which we name Generalized Trigonometric Densities. We show their relationship with the…
Four new probability models are derived which generalize the common univariate continuous distributions. Classical distributional measures are derived from Hoel, et al., Introduction to Probability Theory, 1971. Measures include probability…
The prominent Bernstein -- von Mises (BvM) result claims that the posterior distribution after centering by the efficient estimator and standardizing by the square root of the total Fisher information is nearly standard normal. In…
This thesis takes inspiration from quantum physics to investigate mathematical structure that lies at the interface of algebra and statistics. The starting point is a passage from classical probability theory to quantum probability theory.…