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We consider the dynamics of a population spatially structured in colonies that are vulnerable to catastrophic events occurring at random times, which randomly reduce their population size and compel survivors to disperse to neighboring…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Valdivino V. Junior , Fábio P. Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

Our paper computationally explores the extinction dynamics of an animal species effected by a sudden spike in mortality due to an extreme event. In our study, the animal species has a 2-year life cycle and is endowed with a high survival…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Sukanto Bhattacharya , Sreepurna Malakar

This paper proceeds an approximate calculation of ultimate time survival probability for bi-seasonal discrete time risk model when premium rate equals two. The same model with income rate equal to one was investigated in 2014 by Damarackas…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Alina Alencenovič , Andrius Grigutis

A two-type two-sex branching process is introduced with the aim of describing the interaction of predator and prey populations with sexual reproduction and promiscuous mating. In each generation and in each species the total number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-29 Cristina Gutierrez , Carmen Minuesa

Knowing and modelling the migration phenomena and especially the social and economic consequences have a theoretical and practical importance, being related to their consequences for development, economic progress (or as appropriate,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-02-07 Anca Gheorghiu , Ion Spanulescu

We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

Near critical catalyst-reactant branching processes with controlled immigration are studied. The reactant population evolves according to a branching process whose branching rate is proportional to the total mass of the catalyst. The bulk…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-06 Amarjit Budhiraja , Dominik Reinhold

Analytical solutions for time-inhomogeneous linear birth-death processes with immigration are derived. While time-inhomogeneous linear birth-death processes without immigration have been studied by using a generating function approach, the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-09-05 Jun Ohkubo

Spatial birth-and-death processes with time dependent rates are obtained as solutions to certain stochastic equations. The existence, uniqueness, uniqueness in law and the strong Markov property of unique solutions are proven when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-22 Viktor Bezborodov , Luca Di Persio

For a branching process in random environment it is assumed that the offspring distribution of the individuals varies in a random fashion, independently from one generation to the other. Interestingly there is the possibility that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-09-07 V. I. Afanasyev , C. Boeinghoff , G. Kersting , V. A. Vatutin

The study of crossing probabilities - i.e. probabilities of existence of paths crossing rectangles - has been at the heart of the theory of two-dimensional percolation since its beginning. They may be used to prove a number of results on…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-25 Hugo Duminil-Copin , Vincent Tassion

Predicting competitive outcomes typically requires fitting dynamical models to data, from which interaction strengths and coexistence indicators such as invasion criteria can be produced. Methods that allow to propagate parameter…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-10 Matthieu Paquet , Frédéric Barraquand

This paper demonstrates a new regeneration processes technology making use of positive stable distributions. We study the asymptotic behavior of branching processes with a randomly controlled migration component. Using the new method, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 George P. Yanev , Kosto V. Mitov , Nickolay M. Yanev

We study the biodiversity problem for resource competition systems with extinctions and self-limitation effects. Our main result establishes estimates of biodiversity in terms of the fundamental parameters of the model. We also prove the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-09-12 Vladimir Kozlov , Sergey Vakulenko , Uno Wennergren , Vladimir G. Tkachev

Let $(Z_n)$ be a supercritical branching process with immigration in a random environment. The small positive values and some lower deviation inequalities for $Z$ are investigated. Based on these results, the central limit theorem of $\log…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-28 Yinxuan Zhao , Mei Zhang

This article presents a comprehensive study of the continuous McKendrick model, which serves as a foundational framework in population dynamics and epidemiology. The model is formulated through partial differential equations that describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-23 Dragos-Patru Covei

We propose that catastrophic events are "outliers" with statistically different properties than the rest of the population and result from mechanisms involving amplifying critical cascades. Applications and the potential for prediction are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 D. Sornette

This paper introduces new effect parameters for factorial survival designs with possibly right-censored time-to-event data. In the special case of a two-sample design it coincides with the concordance or Wilcoxon parameter in survival…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Dennis Dobler , Markus Pauly

A model is proposed and studied describing an infinite population of point migrants arriving in and departing from $X\subseteq \mathbf{R}^d$, $d\geq 1$. Both these acts occur at random with state-dependent rates. That is, depending on their…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-03-23 Yuri Kozitsky

The constant rate birth--death process is a popular null model for speciation and extinction. If one removes extinct and non-sampled lineages, this process induces `reconstructed trees' which describe the relationship between extant…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-01 Tanja Stadler , Mike Steel