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Using historical data to predict future events has many applications in the real world, such as stock price prediction; the robot localization. In the past decades, the Convolutional long short-term memory (LSTM) networks have achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Dexun Li

State estimation remains a fundamental challenge across numerous domains, from autonomous driving, aircraft tracking to quantum system control. Although Bayesian filtering has been the cornerstone solution, its classical model-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Yangguang He , Wenhao Li , Minzhe Li , Juan Zhang , Xiangfeng Wang , Bo Jin

In this study, we develop a deterministic nonlinear filtering algorithm based on a high-dimensional version of Kitagawa (1987) to evaluate the likelihood function of models that allow for stochastic volatility and jumps whose arrival…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-02 Jean-François Bégin , Mathieu Boudreault

We present a novel probabilistic deep learning approach, the 'Stochastic Latent Transformer' (SLT), designed for the efficient reduced-order modelling of stochastic partial differential equations. Stochastically driven flow models are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Ira J. S. Shokar , Rich R. Kerswell , Peter H. Haynes

This paper addresses the sensitivity analysis for hybrid systems with discontinuous (jumping) state trajectories. We consider state-triggered jumps in the state evolution, potentially accompanied by mode switching in the control vector…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-06-12 Alessandro Saccon , Nathan van de Wouw , Henk Nijmeijer

We introduce nested diffusion models, an efficient and powerful hierarchical generative framework that substantially enhances the generation quality of diffusion models, particularly for images of complex scenes. Our approach employs a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Xiao Zhang , Ruoxi Jiang , Rebecca Willett , Michael Maire

Speculative decoding accelerates LLM inference by drafting future tokens with a small model, but drafter models degrade sharply under template perturbation and long-context inputs. We identify a previously-unreported phenomenon we call…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Doğaç Eldenk , Payal Mohapatra , Yigitcan Comlek , Kaan Oktay , Hongyang Zhang , Stephen Xia

We introduce DeepFHT, a survival-analysis framework that couples deep neural networks with first hitting time (FHT) distributions from stochastic process theory. Time to event is represented as the first passage of a latent diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Alessio Cristofoletto , Cesare Rollo , Giovanni Birolo , Piero Fariselli

We introduce a new class of time-continuous recurrent neural network models. Instead of declaring a learning system's dynamics by implicit nonlinearities, we construct networks of linear first-order dynamical systems modulated via nonlinear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Ramin Hasani , Mathias Lechner , Alexander Amini , Daniela Rus , Radu Grosu

Diffusion models have been widely adopted in image generation, producing higher-quality and more diverse samples than generative adversarial networks (GANs). We introduce a latent diffusion model (LDM) for precipitation nowcasting -…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-26 Jussi Leinonen , Ulrich Hamann , Daniele Nerini , Urs Germann , Gabriele Franch

Time series generation is a crucial research topic in the area of decision-making systems, which can be particularly important in domains like autonomous driving, healthcare, and, notably, robotics. Recent approaches focus on learning in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Jian Qian , Bingyu Xie , Biao Wan , Minhao Li , Miao Sun , Patrick Yin Chiang

High-dimensional data must be highly structured to be learnable. Although the compositional and hierarchical nature of data is often put forward to explain learnability, quantitative measurements establishing these properties are scarce.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-04 Antonio Sclocchi , Alessandro Favero , Noam Itzhak Levi , Matthieu Wyart

Recent advances have introduced diffusion models for probabilistic streamflow forecasting, demonstrating strong early flood-warning skill. However, current implementations rely on recurrent Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) backbones and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Yihan Wang , Annan Yu , Lujun Zhang , Charuleka Varadharajan , N. Benjamin Erichson

Physical quantum systems are generically coupled to an environment, resulting in open system dynamics. A typical approach to simulating this dynamics is to propagate the density matrix of the system via the Lindblad master equation. This…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 Marcus Meschede , Ludwig Mathey

Combinations of neural ODEs with recurrent neural networks (RNN), like GRU-ODE-Bayes or ODE-RNN are well suited to model irregularly observed time series. While those models outperform existing discrete-time approaches, no theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-11 Calypso Herrera , Florian Krach , Josef Teichmann

Diffusion models have emerged as powerful generative frameworks by progressively adding noise to data through a forward process and then reversing this process to generate realistic samples. While these models have achieved strong…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Xingzhuo Guo , Yu Zhang , Baixu Chen , Haoran Xu , Jianmin Wang , Mingsheng Long

We propose a method for learning dynamical systems from high-dimensional empirical data that combines variational autoencoders and (spatio-)temporal attention within a framework designed to enforce certain scientifically-motivated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Sach Mukherjee

Continuous diffusion and flow models are attractive for non-autoregressive text generation because they can update all positions in parallel. A major difficulty is the interface between continuous latent states and discrete tokens. This…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-18 De Shuai Zhang

Physical systems whose dynamics are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) find applications in numerous fields, from engineering design to weather forecasting. The process of obtaining the solution from such PDEs may be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Pratyush Bhatt , Yash Kumar , Azzeddine Soulaimani

Chain-of-thought and more broadly test-time compute are known to augment the expressive capabilities of language models and have led to major innovations in reasoning. Motivated by this success, this paper explores latent chain-of-thought…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Carson Dudley , Samet Oymak