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We propose an algorithm for simultaneously detecting and locating changepoints in a time series, and a framework for predicting the distribution of the next point in the series. The kernel of the algorithm is a system of equations that…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-09 Allen B. Downey

We consider signal source localization from range-difference measurements. First, we give some readily-checked conditions on measurement noises and sensor deployment to guarantee the asymptotic identifiability of the model and show the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-26 Guangyang Zeng , Biqiang Mu , Ling Shi , Jiming Chen , Junfeng Wu

This paper addresses the problem of approximating an unknown probability distribution with density $f$ -- which can only be evaluated up to an unknown scaling factor -- with the help of a sequential algorithm that produces at each iteration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Pascal Bianchi , Bernard Delyon , Victor Priser , François Portier

A finite horizon variant of the quickest change detection problem is studied, in which the goal is to minimize a delay threshold (latency), under constraints on the probability of false alarm and the probability that the latency is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Yu-Han Huang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We consider numerical schemes for computing the linear response of steady-state averages of stochastic dynamics with respect to a perturbation of the drift part of the stochastic differential equation. The schemes are based on Girsanov's…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-12-18 Petr Plechac , Gabriel Stoltz , Ting Wang

For the most popular sequential change detection rules such as CUSUM, EWMA, and the Shiryaev-Roberts test, we develop integral equations and a concise numerical method to compute a number of performance metrics, including average detection…

Computation · Statistics 2011-09-15 George V. Moustakides , Aleksey S. Polunchenko , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

This paper addresses the problem of robust fault detection filtering for linear time-varying (LTV) systems with non-Gaussian noise and additive faults. The conventional generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) method utilizes the Kalman filter,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-25 Zhemeng Zhang , Yifei Nie , Le Yin

We develop a stochastic approximation-type algorithm to solve finite state/action, infinite-horizon, risk-aware Markov decision processes. Our algorithm has two loops. The inner loop computes the risk by solving a stochastic saddle-point…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-05 Wenjie Huang , William B. Haskell

We provide a new convergence analysis of stochastic gradient Langevin dynamics (SGLD) for sampling from a class of distributions that can be non-log-concave. At the core of our approach is a novel conductance analysis of SGLD using an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-24 Difan Zou , Pan Xu , Quanquan Gu

It is commonly required to detect change points in sequences of random variables. In the most difficult setting of this problem, change detection must be performed sequentially with new observations being constantly received over time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-08 Gordon J Ross

In the context of statistical supervised learning, the noiseless linear model assumes that there exists a deterministic linear relation $Y = \langle \theta_*, X \rangle$ between the random output $Y$ and the random feature vector $\Phi(U)$,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Raphaël Berthier , Francis Bach , Pierre Gaillard

This article considers stochastic algorithms for efficiently solving a class of large scale non-linear least squares (NLS) problems which frequently arise in applications. We propose eight variants of a practical randomized algorithm where…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-01-27 Farbod Roosta-Khorasani , Gábor J. Székely , Uri Ascher

We introduce a novel distribution-based estimator for the Hurst parameter of log-volatility, leveraging the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic to assess the scaling behavior of entire distributions rather than individual moments. To address the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-04 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini

Distribution alignment has many applications in deep learning, including domain adaptation and unsupervised image-to-image translation. Most prior work on unsupervised distribution alignment relies either on minimizing simple non-parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Ben Usman , Avneesh Sud , Nick Dufour , Kate Saenko

An estimation problem of fundamental interest is that of phase synchronization, in which the goal is to recover a collection of phases using noisy measurements of relative phases. It is known that in the Gaussian noise setting, the maximum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-02 Huikang Liu , Man-Chung Yue , Anthony Man-Cho So

The problem of quickest detection of a change in the distribution of a sequence of independent observations is considered. It is assumed that the pre-change distribution is known (accurately estimated), while the only information about the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-29 Liyan Xie , Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Log-logistic distribution is a flexible distribution that can model a wide range of failure patterns in the field of electrical, electronic and mechanical engineering and is often used in reliability inference. However, the inference of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Bowen Liu , Malwane M. A. Ananda , Sam Weerahandi

We propose a distributed Bayesian quickest change detection algorithm for sensor networks, based on a random gossip inter-sensor communication structure. Without a control or fusion center, each sensor executes its local change detection…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-12-09 Di Li , Soummya Kar , Fuad E. Alsaadi , Shuguang Cui

We undertake a precise study of the asymptotic and non-asymptotic properties of stochastic approximation procedures with Polyak-Ruppert averaging for solving a linear system $\bar{A} \theta = \bar{b}$. When the matrix $\bar{A}$ is Hurwitz,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-10 Wenlong Mou , Chris Junchi Li , Martin J. Wainwright , Peter L. Bartlett , Michael I. Jordan

Capturing aleatoric uncertainty is a critical part of many machine learning systems. In deep learning, a common approach to this end is to train a neural network to estimate the parameters of a heteroscedastic Gaussian distribution by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-04 Maximilian Seitzer , Arash Tavakoli , Dimitrije Antic , Georg Martius