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Weather, technological and regulatory uncertainties expose actors in highly renewable electricity markets to substantial price and volume risks. Two-way Contracts for Difference (CfDs) can mitigate these risks. They stipulate payments…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-22 Silke Johanndeiter , Jonas Finke , Justus Heuer

Cost optimal scenarios derived from models of a highly renewable electricity system depend on the specific input data, cost assumptions and system constraints. Here this influence is studied using a techno-economic optimisation model for a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-21 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Mirko Schäfer , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

Offshore wind energy is rapidly expanding, facilitated largely through auctions run by governments. We provide a detailed quantified overview of applied auction schemes, including geographical spread, volumes, results, and design…

Contracts for Difference (CfDs) are forwards on the spread between an area price and the system price. Together with the system price forwards, these products are used to hedge the area price risk in the Nordic electricity market. The CfDs…

Applications · Statistics 2014-06-27 Egil Ferkingstad , Anders Løland

The increasing penetration of renewable energy poses significant challenges to power grid reliability. There have been increasing interests in utilizing financial tools, such as insurance, to help end-users hedge the potential risk of lost…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-22 Dongwei Zhao , Hao Wang , Jianwei Huang , Xiaojun Lin

Long-duration energy storage (LDES) faces significant revenue volatility that impedes investment. This paper evaluates four contract-based support mechanisms using an equilibrium model with risk-averse investors and incomplete risk markets.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-19 Adam Suski , Elina Spyrou , Jacob Mays , Richard Green

Integrating renewable energy production into the electricity grid is an important policy goal to address climate change. However, such an integration faces economic and technological challenges. As power generation by renewable sources…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-15 Nayara Aguiar , Indraneel Chakraborty , Vijay Gupta

The interplay between risk aversion and financial derivatives has received increasing attention since the advent of electricity market liberalization. One important challenge in this context is how to develop economically efficient and…

General Economics · Economics 2022-06-06 Arega Getaneh Abate , Rossana Riccardi , Carlos Ruiz

Mobilising private capital is a critical bottleneck of the energy transition, yet recent crisis-driven windfall profits for fossil power firms suggest that market signals may still favour carbon-intensive assets. Here we analyse a panel of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-02 Robin Fischer , Anton Pichler

As variable renewable energy increases and more demand is electrified, we expect price formation in wholesale electricity markets to transition from being dominated by fossil fuel generators to being dominated by the opportunity costs of…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-01 Julian Geis , Fabian Neumann , Michael Lindner , Philipp Härtel , Tom Brown

Offshore wind farms (OWFs) are set to significantly contribute to global decarbonization efforts. Developers often use a sequential approach to optimize design variables and market participation for grid-integrated offshore wind farms.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-14 Himanshu Sharma , Wei Wang , Bowen Huang , Buxin She , Thiagarajan Ramachandaran

We propose a multi-factor polynomial framework to model and hedge long-term electricity contracts with delivery period. This framework has several advantages: the computation of forwards, risk premium and correlation between different…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-11 Xi Kleisinger-Yu , Vlatka Komaric , Martin Larsson , Markus Regez

We consider the construction of renewable portfolios targeting specified carbon-free (CFE) hourly performance scores. We work in a probabilistic framework that uses a collection of simulation scenarios and imposes probability constraints on…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-14 Mike Ludkovski , Saad Mouti , Glen Swindle

Many governments are considering constructing new nuclear power plants to support the decarbonization of the energy system. On the one hand, dispatchable nuclear plants can complement fluctuating generation from wind and PV. On the other…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-24 Leonard Göke , Alexander Wimmers , Christian von Hirschhausen

Previous work has resulted in the development of an energy model able to calculate wind and solar fleet efficiencies. However, for investment planning purposes, it is necessary to calculate from the lowest economically acceptable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-15 Anthony D Stephens , David R Walwyn

In this paper, we propose a high-level Stochastic steady-state model to analyze the value of co-located energy storage systems for wind power producers that participate in an electricity market through Forward or Day Ahead contracts. In…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-27 Tomas Valencia Zuluaga , Shmuel S. Oren

To reach ambitious European CO$_2$ emission reduction targets, most scenarios of future European electricity systems rely on large shares of wind and solar photovoltaic power generation. We interpolate between two concepts for balancing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-19 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

In this paper, we explore centralized and more decentral approaches to succeed the energiewende in Germany, in the European context. We use the AnyMOD framework to model a future renewable-based European energy system, based on a…

General Economics · Economics 2022-12-21 Mario Kendziorski , Leonard Göke , Christian von Hirschhausen , Claudia Kemfert , Elmar Zozmann

The output of renewable energy fluctuates significantly depending on weather conditions. We develop a unit commitment model to analyze requirements of the forecast output and its error for renewable energies. Our model obtains the time…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Yuichi Ikeda , Takashi Ikegami , Kazuto Kataoka , Kazuhiko Ogimoto

During the life of a wind farm, various types of costs arise. A large share of the operational cost for a wind farm is due to maintenance of the wind turbine equipment; these costs are especially pronounced for offshore wind farms and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-17 Quanjiang Yu , Ann-Brith Strömberg
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