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This paper introduces a general framework for analyzing recurrent event data by modeling the conditional mean function of the recurrent event process as the solution to an Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE). This approach not only…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Bo Meng , Weijing Tang , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

This work derives and validates a noise model that encapsulates deadtime of non-paralyzable detectors with random photon arrivals to enable advanced processing, like maximum-likelihood estimation, of high resolution atmospheric lidar…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-12 Grant J. Kirchhoff , Matthew Hayman , Willem J. Marais , Jeffrey P. Thayer , Rory A. Barton-Grimley

Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs) have recently gained a lot of attention in machine learning. However, the theoretical aspects, e.g., identifiability and asymptotic properties of statistical estimation are still obscure. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-04 Yuanyuan Wang , Wei Huang , Mingming Gong , Xi Geng , Tongliang Liu , Kun Zhang , Dacheng Tao

Maximum Likelihood Estimators (MLE) has many good properties. For example, the asymptotic variance of MLE solution attains equality of the asymptotic Cram{\'e}r-Rao lower bound (efficiency bound), which is the minimum possible variance for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Song Liu , Takafumi Kanamori , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Yu Chen

Hierarchical statistical models are widely employed in information science and data engineering. The models consist of two types of variables: observable variables that represent the given data and latent variables for the unobservable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-02-21 Keisuke Yamazaki

Estimates on the asymptotic behaviour of solution to linear integro-differential equations are fundamental in understanding the dynamics occuring in many nonlocal evolution problems. They are usually derived by using precise decay estimates…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-03-02 Emeric Bouin , Jérôme Coville , Guillaume Legendre

The Difference-in-Differences (DiD) method is a fundamental tool for causal inference, yet its application is often complicated by missing data. Although recent work has developed robust DiD estimators for complex settings like staggered…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Lorenzo Testa , Edward H. Kennedy , Matthew Reimherr

Understanding rare events is critical across domains ranging from signal processing to reliability and structural safety, extreme-weather forecasting, and insurance. The analysis of rare events is a computationally challenging problem,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Anya Katsevich , Alexander Katsevich

We consider efficient estimation of the Euclidean parameters in a generalized partially linear additive models for longitudinal/clustered data when multiple covariates need to be modeled nonparametrically, and propose an estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-05 Guang Cheng , Lan Zhou , Jianhua Z. Huang

State-of-the-art machine-learning methods for event cameras treat events as dense representations and process them with conventional deep neural networks. Thus, they fail to maintain the sparsity and asynchronous nature of event data,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Daniel Gehrig , Davide Scaramuzza

We study maximum-likelihood-type estimation for diffusion processes when the coefficients are nonrandom and observation occurs in nonsynchronous manner. The problem of nonsynchronous observations is important when we consider the analysis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-04 Teppei Ogihara

We consider the problem of estimating parameters of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with discrete-time observations that are either completely or partially observed. The transition density between two observations is generally…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-09 Libo Sun , Chihoon Lee , Jennifer A. Hoeting

Right censored survival data collected on a cohort of prevalent cases with constant incidence are length-biased, and may be used to estimate the length-biased (i.e., prevalent-case) survival function. When the incidence rate is constant,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Masoud Asgharian , David B. Wolfson

Certain radiation detectors are 'paralyzed' with high input count rates. When applied to count rates close to the event discriminator working rate the one-parameter dead time model fails. Here we present a corrected paralyzable detector…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2026-03-27 Yueyun Chen , Matthew Mecklenburg

Rapid detection of spatial events that propagate across a sensor network is of wide interest in many modern applications. In particular, in communications, radar, IoT, environmental monitoring, and biosurveillance, we may observe…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Topi Halme , Eyal Nitzan , Visa Koivunen

We propose a general approach to construct weighted likelihood estimating equations with the aim of obtaining robust parameter estimates. We modify the standard likelihood equations by incorporating a weight that reflects the statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-24 Claudio Agostinelli , Ayanendranath Basu , Giulia Bertagnolli , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

In this paper, we revisit the fault diagnosis problem of discrete-event systems (DES) under non-deterministic observations. Non-deterministic observation is a general observation model that includes the case of intermittent loss of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-07 Weijie Dong , Shang Gao , Xiang Yin , Shaoyuan Li

A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

This paper studies binary logistic regression for rare events data, or imbalanced data, where the number of events (observations in one class, often called cases) is significantly smaller than the number of nonevents (observations in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-02 HaiYing Wang

We introduce a generic class of dynamic nonlinear heterogeneous parameter models that incorporate individual and time fixed effects in both the intercept and slope. These models are subject to the incidental parameter problem, in that the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-27 Xuan Leng , Jiaming Mao , Yutao Sun