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We study the problem of bounding path-dependent expectations (within any finite time horizon $d$) over the class of discrete-time martingales whose marginal distributions lie within a prescribed tolerance of a given collection of benchmark…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Zhengqing Zhou , Jose Blanchet , Peter W. Glynn

In its most general form, the optimal transport problem is an infinite-dimensional optimization problem, yet certain notable instances admit closed-form solutions. We identify the common source of this tractability as \textit{symmetry} and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Bahar Taskesen

We formulate and solve a class of finite-time transport and mixing problems in the set-oriented framework. The aim is to obtain optimal discrete-time perturbations in nonlinear dynamical systems to transport a specified initial measure on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Piyush Grover , Karthik Elamvazhuthi

In this paper, we address the trajectory planning problem in uncertain nonconvex static and dynamic environments that contain obstacles with probabilistic location, size, and geometry. To address this problem, we provide a risk bounded…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-06-11 Ashkan Jasour , Weiqiao Han , Brian Williams

We consider the problem of defining and fitting models of autoregressive time series of probability distributions on a compact interval of $\mathbb{R}$. An order-$1$ autoregressive model in this context is to be understood as a Markov…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

A wide array of machine learning problems are formulated as the minimization of the expectation of a convex loss function on some parameter space. Since the probability distribution of the data of interest is usually unknown, it is is often…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-27 Emilie Chouzenoux , Henri Gérard , Jean-Christophe Pesquet

A new data-enabled control technique for uncertain linear time-invariant systems, recently conceived by Coulson et\ al., builds upon the direct optimization of controllers over input/output pairs drawn from a large dataset. We adopt an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-29 Filippo Fabiani , Paul J. Goulart

Safety assurance is uncompromisable for safety-critical environments with the presence of drastic model uncertainties (e.g., distributional shift), especially with humans in the loop. However, incorporating uncertainty in safe learning will…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Alaa Eddine Chriat , Chuangchuang Sun

Motivated by applications in model-free finance and quantitative risk management, we consider Fr\'echet classes of multivariate distribution functions where additional information on the joint distribution is assumed, while uncertainty in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Daniel Bartl , Michael Kupper , Thibaut Lux , Antonis Papapantoleon , Stephan Eckstein

We study a finite-horizon stochastic control criterion for non-convex optimization in which Brownian exploration is balanced against a quadratic control cost. Rather than emphasizing the classical Hopf--Cole representation, we isolate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Qin Li , Sixu Li , Eitan Tadmor , Emmanuel Trélat

The basic problem of optimal transportation consists in minimizing the expected costs $\mathbb {E}[c(X_1,X_2)]$ by varying the joint distribution $(X_1,X_2)$ where the marginal distributions of the random variables $X_1$ and $X_2$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Mathias Beiglböck , Nicolas Juillet

In this paper we introduce a novel approach to distributionally robust optimal control that supports online learning of the ambiguity set, while guaranteeing recursive feasibility. We introduce conic representable risk, which is useful to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-13 Peter Coppens , Panagiotis Patrinos

Multi-marginal optimal transport enables one to compare multiple probability measures, which increasingly finds application in multi-task learning problems. One practical limitation of multi-marginal transport is computational scalability…

In this paper we present a dynamic programing approach to stochastic optimal control problems with dynamic, time-consistent risk constraints. Constrained stochastic optimal control problems, which naturally arise when one has to consider…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-11-24 Yin-Lam Chow , Marco Pavone

The classical problem of optimal transportation can be formulated as a linear optimization problem on a convex domain: among all joint measures with fixed marginals find the optimal one, where optimality is measured against a cost function.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-11-29 Jonathan Korman , Robert J. McCann

This paper studies distributionally robust optimization for a rich class of risk measures with ambiguity sets defined by $\phi$-divergences. The risk measures are allowed to be non-linear in probabilities, are represented by Choquet…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Guanyu Jin , Roger J. A. Laeven , Dick den Hertog

We develop an approach to risk minimization and stochastic optimization that provides a convex surrogate for variance, allowing near-optimal and computationally efficient trading between approximation and estimation error. Our approach…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-15 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

We consider settings in which the distribution of a multivariate random variable is partly ambiguous. We assume the ambiguity lies on the level of the dependence structure, and that the marginal distributions are known. Furthermore, a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-27 Stephan Eckstein , Michael Kupper , Mathias Pohl

In this paper, we consider continuous-time stochastic optimal control problems where the cost is evaluated through a coherent risk measure. We provide an explicit gradient descent-ascent algorithm which applies to problems subject to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Gabriel Velho , Jean Auriol , Riccardo Bonalli

This paper approaches the definition and properties of dynamic convex risk measures through the notion of a family of concave valuation operators satisfying certain simple and credible axioms. Exploring these in the simplest context of a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 A. Jobert , L. C. G. Rogers