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Standard MCMC methods can scale poorly to big data settings due to the need to evaluate the likelihood at each iteration. There have been a number of approximate MCMC algorithms that use sub-sampling ideas to reduce this computational…

Computation · Statistics 2020-09-29 Joris Bierkens , Paul Fearnhead , Gareth Roberts

This paper proposes a novel metric for Human Motion Prediction (HMP). Since a single past sequence can lead to multiple possible futures, a probabilistic HMP method predicts such multiple motions. While a single motion predicted by a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-20 Kyotaro Tokoro , Hiromu Taketsugu , Norimichi Ukita

Stochastic model-predictive control (SMPC) has evolved to a powerful framework for the control of stochastic dynamical systems. SMPC utilizes a probabilistic uncertainty description to provide a systematic trade-off between the control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-27 Bendegúz Györök , Roland Tóth , Maarten Schoukens , Tamás Péni

The analysis of large scale medical claims data has the potential to improve quality of care by generating insights which can be used to create tailored medical programs. In particular, the multivariate probit model can be used to…

The MM principle is a device for creating optimization algorithms satisfying the ascent or descent property. The current survey emphasizes the role of the MM principle in nonlinear programming. For smooth functions, one can construct an…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Kenneth Lange , Kevin L. Keys

This paper proposes a novel robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) scheme for linear discrete-time systems affected by model uncertainty described by interval matrices. The key feature of the proposed method is a bound on the uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-20 Renato Quartullo , Andrea Garulli , Mirko Leomanni

We exhibit examples of high-dimensional unimodal posterior distributions arising in non-linear regression models with Gaussian process priors for which MCMC methods can take an exponential run-time to enter the regions where the bulk of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Afonso S. Bandeira , Antoine Maillard , Richard Nickl , Sven Wang

We consider the problem of drawing samples from posterior distributions formed under a Dirichlet prior and a truncated multinomial likelihood, by which we mean a Multinomial likelihood function where we condition on one or more counts being…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-04 Matthew James Johnson , Alan S. Willsky

Many problems arising in applications result in the need to probe a probability distribution for functions. Examples include Bayesian nonparametric statistics and conditioned diffusion processes. Standard MCMC algorithms typically become…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-20 S. L. Cotter , G. O. Roberts , A. M. Stuart , D. White

We consider the problem of sampling from a posterior distribution arising in Bayesian inverse problems in science, engineering, and imaging. Our method belongs to the family of independence Metropolis-Hastings (IMH) sampling algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Youguang Chen , George Biros

Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) is a popular algorithm for distributed learning, where a network of nodes collaboratively solve a regularized empirical risk minimization by iterative local computation associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Zonghao Huang , Yanmin Gong

In this paper, we demonstrate a data-driven methodology for modelling the local similarity measures of various attributes in a dataset. We analyse the spread in the numerical attributes and estimate their distribution using polynomial…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-05-22 Deepika Verma , Kerstin Bach , Paul Jarle Mork

One of the major challenges in the Bayesian solution of inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) is the computational cost of repeatedly evaluating numerical PDE models, as required by Markov chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-03 Tiangang Cui , Youssef M. Marzouk , Karen E. Willcox

In many real-world applications, from robotics to pedestrian trajectory prediction, there is a need to predict multiple real-valued outputs to represent several potential scenarios. Current deep learning techniques to address…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-20 David D. Nguyen , David Liebowitz , Surya Nepal , Salil S. Kanhere

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling of posterior distributions arising in Bayesian inverse problems is challenging when evaluations of the forward model are computationally expensive. Replacing the forward model with a low-cost,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-29 Benjamin Peherstorfer , Youssef Marzouk

Fitted probabilities from widely used Bayesian multinomial probit models can depend strongly on the choice of a base category, which is used to uniquely identify the parameters of the model. This paper proposes a novel identification…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-19 Lane F. Burgette , David Puelz , P. Richard Hahn

Independently trained machine learning models tend to learn similar features. Given an ensemble of independently trained models, this results in correlated predictions and common failure modes. Previous attempts focusing on decorrelation of…

Dirichlet process mixture models (DPMM) play a central role in Bayesian nonparametrics, with applications throughout statistics and machine learning. DPMMs are generally used in clustering problems where the number of clusters is not known…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-20 Chiao-Yu Yang , Eric Xia , Nhat Ho , Michael I. Jordan

Developing efficient Bayesian computation algorithms for imaging inverse problems is challenging due to the dimensionality involved and because Bayesian imaging models are often not smooth. Current state-of-the-art methods often address…

Computation · Statistics 2023-05-04 Marcelo Pereyra , Luis A. Vargas-Mieles , Konstantinos C. Zygalakis

State-of-the-art methods for Bayesian inference in state-space models are (a) conditional sequential Monte Carlo (CSMC) algorithms; (b) sophisticated 'classical' MCMC algorithms like MALA, or mGRAD from Titsias and Papaspiliopoulos (2018,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-29 Adrien Corenflos , Axel Finke
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