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Related papers: Calibration, Uncertainty Communication, and Deploy…

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Machine learning driven medical image segmentation has become standard in medical image analysis. However, deep learning models are prone to overconfident predictions. This has led to a renewed focus on calibrated predictions in the medical…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-12-24 Teodora Popordanoska , Jeroen Bertels , Dirk Vandermeulen , Frederik Maes , Matthew B. Blaschko

Ultra-wideband (UWB) indoor localization provides centimeter-level accuracy and low latency, but its measurement reliability degrades severely under Non-Line-of-Sight (NLOS) conditions, leading to meter-scale ranging errors and inconsistent…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-20 Kyeonghyun Yoo , Wooyong Jung , Namkyung Yoon , Sangmin Lee , Sanghong Kim , Hwangnam Kim

In the field of deep learning based computer vision, the development of deep object detection has led to unique paradigms (e.g., two-stage or set-based) and architectures (e.g., Faster-RCNN or DETR) which enable outstanding performance on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Denis Huseljic , Marek Herde , Mehmet Muejde , Bernhard Sick

Prediction uncertainty estimation has clinical significance as it can potentially quantify prediction reliability. Clinicians may trust 'blackbox' models more if robust reliability information is available, which may lead to more models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Michael Dohopolski , Kai Wang , Biling Wang , Ti Bai , Dan Nguyen , David Sher , Steve Jiang , Jing Wang

Sepsis is a severe condition that causes the body to respond incorrectly to an infection. This reaction can subsequently cause organ failure, a major one being acute kidney injury (AKI). For septic patients, approximately 50% develop AKI,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Aleyeh Roknaldin , Zehao Zhang , Jiayuan Xu , Kamiar Alaei , Maryam Pishgar

Chronic diseases are long-lasting conditions that require lifelong medical attention. Using big EMR data, we have developed early disease risk prediction models for five common chronic diseases: diabetes, hypertension, CKD, COPD, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Shaheer Ahmad Khan , Muhammad Usamah Shahid , Muddassar Farooq

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are the gold standard for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, yet they are often underpowered for detecting effect heterogeneity. Large observational studies (OS) can supplement RCTs for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Amir Asiaee , Samhita Pal

Optimal decision making requires that classifiers produce uncertainty estimates consistent with their empirical accuracy. However, deep neural networks are often under- or over-confident in their predictions. Consequently, methods have been…

Calibration is crucial in deep learning applications, especially in fields like healthcare and autonomous driving, where accurate confidence estimates are vital for decision-making. However, deep neural networks often suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Linwei Tao , Haolan Guo , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

Autonomous robots that rely on deep neural network controllers pose critical challenges for safety prediction, especially under partial observability and distribution shift. Traditional model-based verification techniques are limited in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Zhenjiang Mao , Mrinall Eashaan Umasudhan , Ivan Ruchkin

Accurate uncertainty quantification is crucial for the safe deployment of machine learning models, and prior research has demonstrated improvements in the calibration of modern language models (LMs). We study in-context learning (ICL), a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-03-29 Hanlin Zhang , Yi-Fan Zhang , Yaodong Yu , Dhruv Madeka , Dean Foster , Eric Xing , Himabindu Lakkaraju , Sham Kakade

Process capability indices such as $C_{pk}$ are widely used for manufacturing decisions, yet are typically applied via deterministic thresholding of finite-sample estimates, ignoring uncertainty and leading to unstable outcomes near the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-16 Fei Jiang , Lei Yang

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across diverse tasks, yet their ability to accurately assess their own confidence remains poorly understood. We present an empirical study investigating whether LLMs…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Sudipta Ghosh , Mrityunjoy Panday

Since neural classifiers are known to be sensitive to adversarial perturbations that alter their accuracy, \textit{certification methods} have been developed to provide provable guarantees on the insensitivity of their predictions to such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-26 Cornelius Emde , Francesco Pinto , Thomas Lukasiewicz , Philip H. S. Torr , Adel Bibi

Analyzing classification model performance is a crucial task for machine learning practitioners. While practitioners often use count-based metrics derived from confusion matrices, like accuracy, many applications, such as weather…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Peter Xenopoulos , Joao Rulff , Luis Gustavo Nonato , Brian Barr , Claudio Silva

Federated learning has attracted considerable interest for collaborative machine learning in healthcare to leverage separate institutional datasets while maintaining patient privacy. However, additional challenges such as poor calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Charles Lu , Jayasheree Kalpathy-Cramer

Background: Vancomycin, a key antibiotic for severe Gram-positive infections in ICUs, poses a high nephrotoxicity risk. Early prediction of kidney injury in critically ill patients is challenging. This study aimed to develop a machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Junyi Fan , Li Sun , Shuheng Chen , Yong Si , Minoo Ahmadi , Greg Placencia , Elham Pishgar , Kamiar Alaei , Maryam Pishgar

Medical events of interest, such as mortality, often happen at a low rate in electronic medical records, as most admitted patients survive. Training models with this imbalance rate (class density discrepancy) may lead to suboptimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Zepeng Huo , Xiaoning Qian , Shuai Huang , Zhangyang Wang , Bobak J. Mortazavi

Since the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, worldwide research efforts have focused on using artificial intelligence (AI) technologies on various medical data of COVID-19-positive patients in order to identify or classify various aspects…

Medical Physics · Physics 2021-02-22 Dan Nguyen , Fernando Kay , Jun Tan , Yulong Yan , Yee Seng Ng , Puneeth Iyengar , Ron Peshock , Steve Jiang