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This paper proposes a novel test for simultaneous jumps in a bivariate It\^o semimartingale when observation times are asynchronous and irregular. Inference is built on a realized correlation coefficient for the jumps of the two processes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-24 Ole Martin , Mathias Vetter

We propose a new test to determine whether jumps are present in asset returns or other discretely sampled processes. As the sampling interval tends to 0, our test statistic converges to 1 if there are jumps, and to another deterministic and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-03-03 Yacine Aït-Sahalia , Jean Jacod

This paper introduces test and estimation procedures for abrupt and gradual changes in the entire jump behaviour of a discretely observed Ito semimartingale. In contrast to existing work we analyse jumps of arbitrary size which are not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-08 Michael Hoffmann , Holger Dette

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than two decades. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems has been the estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-23 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

This paper derives the asymptotic behavior of realized power variation of pure-jump It\^{o} semimartingales as the sampling frequency within a fixed interval increases to infinity. We prove convergence in probability and an associated…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-07 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

This paper proposes novel tests for the absence of jumps in a univariate semimartingale and for the absence of common jumps in a bivariate semimartingale. Our methods rely on ratio statistics of power variations based on irregular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-21 Ole Martin , Mathias Vetter

Testing high-dimensional quantile regression coefficients is crucial, as tail quantiles often reveal more than the mean in many practical applications. Nevertheless, the sparsity pattern of the alternative hypothesis is typically unknown in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Ping Zhao , Zhenyu Liu , Dan Zhuang

We propose methods to infer jumps of a semi-martingale, which describes long-term price dynamics, based on discrete, noisy, high-frequency observations. Different to the classical model of additive, centered market microstructure noise, we…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-18 Markus Bibinger , Nikolaus Hautsch , Alexander Ristig

We consider estimation of the quadratic (co)variation of a semimartingale from discrete observations which are irregularly spaced under high-frequency asymptotics. In the univariate setting, results by Jacod (2008) are generalized to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-15 Markus Bibinger , Mathias Vetter

In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as semimartingales, with drift, diffusion and jump components. The jump activity index measures the strength of the jumps at high frequencies, and is of interest both in model selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Adam D. Bull

We propose new nonparametric estimators of the integrated volatility of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at discrete times on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to zero. The proposed estimators achieve the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-30 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

We develop a unified $L$-statistic testing framework for high-dimensional regression coefficients that adapts to unknown sparsity. The proposed statistics rank coordinate-wise evidence measures and aggregate the top $k$ signals, bridging…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-10 Ping Zhao , Fengyi Song , Huifang Ma

The jump behavior of an infinitely active It\^o semimartingale can be conveniently characterized by a jump activity index of Blumenthal-Getoor type, typically assumed to be constant in time. We study Markovian semimartingales with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-06-29 Fabian Mies

We derive a nonparametric estimator of the jump-activity index $\beta$ of a "locally-stable" pure-jump It\^{o} semimartingale from discrete observations of the process on a fixed time interval with mesh of the observation grid shrinking to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-19 Viktor Todorov

In applications the properties of a stochastic feature often change gradually rather than abruptly, that is: after a constant phase for some time they slowly start to vary. In this paper we discuss statistical inference for the detection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-14 Michael Hoffmann , Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

Statistical inference for stochastic processes based on high-frequency observations has been an active research area for more than a decade. One of the most well-known and widely studied problems is that of estimation of the quadratic…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-03 B. Cooper Boniece , José E. Figueroa-López , Yuchen Han

In this paper, we consider a framework adapting the notion of cointegration when two asset prices are generated by a driftless It\^{o}-semimartingale featuring jumps with infinite activity, observed regularly and synchronously at high…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-24 Simon Clinet , Yoann Potiron

We develop adaptive time-stepping strategies for It\^o-type stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with jump perturbations. Our approach builds on adaptive strategies for SDEs. Adaptive methods can ensure strong convergence of nonlinear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Cónall Kelly , Gabriel Lord , Fandi Sun

We derive limit theorems for the empirical distribution function of "devolatilized" increments of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at high frequencies. These "devolatilized" increments are formed by suitably rescaling and truncating the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

We develop and investigate a test for jumps based on high-frequency observations of a fractional process with an additive jump component. The Hurst exponent of the fractional process is unknown. The asymptotic theory under infill…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger , Michael Sonntag
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