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Related papers: Revisiting the Misspecified Cram\'er-Rao Bound

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In this article, we introduce the concept of model confidence bounds (MCB) for variable selection in the context of nested models. Similarly to the endpoints in the familiar confidence interval for parameter estimation, the MCB identifies…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-27 Yang Li , Yuetian Luo , Davide Ferrari , Xiaonan Hu , Yichen Qin

We study optimal estimation when the likelihood may be misspecified. Building on tools from the theory of decision-making under uncertainty, we analyze a class of axiomatically grounded optimality criteria which nests several existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-28 Isaiah Andrews , Ricky Li , Yucheng Shang

The spatial linear mixed model (SLMM) consists of fixed and spatial random effects that may be linearly dependent. Partially motivated as a means to address potential issues with confounding, the Restricted spatial regression (RSR) model…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Jonathan R. Bradley

We derive a Cram\'er-Rao lower bound for the variance of Floquet multiplier estimates that have been constructed from stable limit cycles perturbed by noise. To do so, we consider perturbed periodic orbits in the plane. We use a periodic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-11-30 Aurya Javeed

In modern radar systems, precise target localization using azimuth and velocity estimation is paramount. Traditional unbiased estimation methods have utilized gradient descent algorithms to reach the theoretical limits of the Cramer Rao…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-24 Shyam Venkatasubramanian , Sandeep Gogineni , Bosung Kang , Muralidhar Rangaswamy

Several current ultra-wide band applications, such as millimeter wave radar and communication systems, require high sampling rates and therefore expensive and energy-hungry analogto-digital converters (ADCs). In applications where cost and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-28 Petre Stoica , Xiaolei Shang , Yuanbo Cheng

Small area estimators that ignore the sampling design lack design consistency when the sampling mechanism is complex and may be severely biased under informative designs. Existing procedures that account for the survey weights under…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 William Acero , Domingo Morales , Isabel Molina

We study probabilistic prediction games when the underlying model is misspecified, investigating the consequences of predicting using an incorrect parametric model. We show that for a broad class of loss functions and parametric families of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-02 Annie Marsden , John Duchi , Gregory Valiant

The Cram\'er-Rao bound serves as a crucial lower limit for the mean squared error of an estimator in frequentist parameter estimation. Paradoxically, it requires highly accurate prior knowledge of the estimated parameter for constructing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-21 Javier Navarro , Ricard Ravell Rodríguez , Mikel Sanz

Advanced super-resolution imaging techniques require specific approaches for accurate and consistent estimation of the achievable spatial resolution. Fisher information supplied to Cramer-Rao bound (CRB) has proved to be a powerful and…

The purpose of this article is to develop a general parametric estimation theory that allows the derivation of the limit distribution of estimators in non-regular models where the true parameter value may lie on the boundary of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-28 Junichiro Yoshida , Nakahiro Yoshida

This paper considers the Cram\`er-Rao lower Bound (CRB) for the source localization problem in the near field. More specifically, we use the exact expression of the delay parameter for the CRB derivation and show how this exact CRB can be…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-03-11 Youcef Begriche , Messaoud Thameri , Karim Abed-Meraim

To achieve the joint active and passive beamforming gains in the reconfigurable intelligent surface assisted millimeter wave system, the reflected cascade channel needs to be accurately estimated. Many strategies have been proposed in the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Yiming Liu , Erwu Liu , Rui Wang , Zhu Han , Binyu Lu

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

Assessing the quality of parameter estimates for models describing the motion of single molecules in cellular environments is an important problem in fluorescence microscopy. We consider the fundamental data model, where molecules emit…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-15 A. Marie d'Avigneau , S. S. Singh , R. J. Ober

When randomized ensembles such as bagging or random forests are used for binary classification, the prediction error of the ensemble tends to decrease and stabilize as the number of classifiers increases. However, the precise relationship…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Miles E. Lopes

In this paper the problem of assessing bounds on the accuracy of pilot-based estimation of a bandlimited frequency selective communication channel is tackled. Mean square error is taken as a figure of merit in channel estimation and a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2012-03-14 Francesco Montorsi , Giorgio M. Vitetta

The minimum mean-square error (MMSE) achievable by optimal estimation of a random variable $Y\in\mathbb{R}$ given another random variable $X\in\mathbb{R}^{d}$ is of much interest in a variety of statistical settings. In the context of…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Mario Diaz , Peter Kairouz , Lalitha Sankar

Sensitivity analysis is important to assess the impact of unmeasured confounding in causal inference from observational studies. The marginal sensitivity model (MSM) provides a useful approach in quantifying the influence of unmeasured…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Yi Zhang , Wenfu Xu , Zhiqiang Tan

We study in this paper lower bounds for the generalization error of models derived from multi-layer neural networks, in the regime where the size of the layers is commensurate with the number of samples in the training data. We show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-08 Inbar Seroussi , Ofer Zeitouni