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We explore the limit of stochastic differential equations driven by some random processes satisfying singularly perturbed second order stochastic differential equations. The main tool we employ is the universal limit theorem in rough path…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Qingming Zhao , Xueru Liu , Wei Wang

This paper addresses the estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter matrix for a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in a multi-dimensional setting. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel approach based on rough path theory that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Zhongmin Qian , Xingcheng Xu

We are studying stationary random processes with conditional polynomial moments that allow a continuous path modification. Processes with continuous path modification, are important because they are relatively easy to simulate. One does not…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-21 Paweł J. Szabłowski

Stochastic approximation is a foundation for many algorithms found in machine learning and optimization. It is in general slow to converge: the mean square error vanishes as $O(n^{-1})$. A deterministic counterpart known as quasi-stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Caio Kalil Lauand , Sean Meyn

We study the problem of parameter estimation for the homogenization limit of multiscale systems involving fractional dynamics. In the case of stochastic multiscale systems driven by Brownian motion, it has been shown that in order for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Pablo Ramses Alonso-Martin , Horatio Boedihardjo , Anastasia Papavasiliou

In this paper we prove the strong averaging principle for a slow-fast system of rough differential equations. The slow and the fast component of the system are driven by a rather general random rough path and Brownian rough path,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Yuzuru Inahama

Surface roughness is an important quantity to many engineering and precision manufacturing disciplines. In this paper we investigate the problem of estimating the root-mean-square roughness of a sample by passive linear optical methods. By…

We discuss stochastic calculus for large classes of Gaussian processes, based on rough path analysis. Our key condition is a covariance measure structure combined with a classical criterion due to Jain and Monrad [Ann. Probab. 11 (1983)…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-11 Peter K. Friz , Benjamin Gess , Archil Gulisashvili , Sebastian Riedel

We propose a novel framework for analyzing convergence rates of stochastic optimization algorithms with adaptive step sizes. This framework is based on analyzing properties of an underlying generic stochastic process, in particular by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-23 Jose Blanchet , Coralia Cartis , Matt Menickelly , Katya Scheinberg

Randomized algorithms, such as randomized sketching or stochastic optimization, are a promising approach to ease the computational burden in analyzing large datasets. However, randomized algorithms also produce non-deterministic outputs,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-13 Zhixiang Zhang , Sokbae Lee , Edgar Dobriban

We examine a mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process that perturbs an unknown Lipschitz-continuous drift and aim to estimate the drift's value at a predetermined time horizon by sampling the path of the process. Due to the time varying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Enrico Bernardi , Alberto Lanconelli , Christopher S. A. Lauria , Berk Tan Perçin

Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-08-28 Sven Buhl , Claudia Klüppelberg

We show how averages of exponential functions of path dependent quantities, such as those of Work Fluctuation Theorems, detect phase transitions in deterministic and stochastic systems. State space truncation -- the restriction of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-08 Matteo Colangeli , Antonio Di Francesco , Lamberto Rondoni

The signature of a path, as a fundamental object in Rough path theory, serves as a generating function for non-commutative monomials on path space. It transforms the path into a grouplike element in the tensor algebra space, summarising the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-04 Terry Lyons , Hao Ni , Jiajie Tao

We consider anticipative Stratonovich stochastic differential equations driven by some stochastic process (not necessarily a semi-martingale). No adaptedness of initial point or vector fields is assumed. Under a simple condition on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Laure Coutin , Peter Friz , Nicolas Victoir

Local dependence random graph models are a class of block models for network data which allow for dependence among edges under a local dependence assumption defined around the block structure of the network. Since being introduced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-06 Jonathan R. Stewart

Motivated by empirical evidence from the joint behavior of realized volatility time series, we propose to model the joint dynamics of log-volatilities using a multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. This model is a multivariate…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Ranieri Dugo , Giacomo Giorgio , Paolo Pigato

We study the implicit regularization of mini-batch stochastic gradient descent, when applied to the fundamental problem of least squares regression. We leverage a continuous-time stochastic differential equation having the same moments as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-23 Alnur Ali , Edgar Dobriban , Ryan J. Tibshirani

We extend the theoretical results for any FOU(p) processes for the case in which the Hurst parameter is less than 1/2 and we show theoretically and by simulations that under some conditions on T and the sample size n it is possible to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-10 Juan Kalemkerian

In this paper, in a multivariate setting we derive near optimal rates of convergence in the minimax sense for estimating partial derivatives of the mean function for functional data observed under a fixed synchronous design over H\"older…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Max Berger , Hajo Holzmann