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We propose a new scientific application of unsupervised learning techniques to boost our ability to search for new phenomena in data, by detecting discrepancies between two datasets. These could be, for example, a simulated standard-model…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-04-11 Andrea De Simone , Thomas Jacques

This paper presents a novel approach to estimate the Standard Model backgrounds based on modifying Monte Carlo predictions within their systematic uncertainties. The improved background model is obtained by altering the original predictions…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-11-23 S. Caron , G. Cowan , E. Gross , S. Horner , J. E. Sundermann

We study the application of a Bayesian method to extract relevant information from data for the case of a signal consisting of two or more decaying particles and its background. The method takes advantage of the dependence that exists in…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-06-06 Ezequiel Alvarez

In many signal processing applications, including communications, sonar, radar, and localization, a fundamental problem is the detection of a signal of interest in background noise, known as signal detection [1] [2]. A simple version of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-16 Tom Anders , Hiten Prakash Kothari , R. Michael Buehrer

Accurately estimating the proportion of true signals among a large number of variables is crucial for enhancing the precision and reliability of scientific research. Traditional signal proportion estimators often assume independence among…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Jingtian Bai , Xinge Jessie Jeng

The incorporation of uncertainties to calculations of signal significance in planned experiments is an actual task. Several approaches to this problem are discussed. We present a procedure for taking into account the systematic uncertainty…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-07 S. I. Bityukov

This paper describes computationally efficient approaches and associated theoretical performance guarantees for the detection of known targets and anomalies from few projection measurements of the underlying signals. The proposed approaches…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-03 Kalyani Krishnamurthy , Rebecca Willett , Maxim Raginsky

For decades researchers have studied the On/Off counting problem, where a measured rate consists of two parts. One due to a signal process and another due to a background process, of which both magnitudes are unknown. While most frequentist…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-01-24 Max L. Knoetig

A frequentist definition of sensitivity of a search for new phenomena is discussed, that has several useful properties. It is based on completely standard concepts, is generally applicable, and has a very clear interpretation. It is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Giovanni Punzi

With the growing number of gravitational-wave detections, particularly from binary black hole mergers, there is increasing anticipation that an astrophysical background, formed by an ensemble of faint, high-redshift events, will be observed…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2026-01-16 Xiaolin Liu , Sachiko Kuroyanagi

Spectrum sensing is of critical importance in any cognitive radio system. When the primary user's signal has uncertain parameters, the likelihood ratio test, which is the theoretically optimal detector, generally has no closed-form…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-07 Ziyu Ye , Qihang Peng , Kelly Levick , Hui Rong , Andrew Gilman , Pamela Cosman , Larry Milstein

A new method of background subtraction is presented which uses the concept of a signal estimator to construct a confidence level which is always conservative and which is never better than e^-s. The new method yields stronger exclusions…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 S. Jin , P. McNamara

The best possible precision is one of the key figures in metrology, but this is established by the exact response of the detection apparatus, which is often unknown. There exist techniques for detector characterisation, that have been…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Matteo Altorio , Marco G. Genoni , Fabrizia Somma , Marco Barbieri

Searches for signals of new physics in particle physics are usually done by training a supervised classifier to separate a signal model from the known Standard Model physics (also called the background model). However, even when the signal…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-04 Purvasha Chakravarti , Lucas Kania , Olaf Behnke , Mikael Kuusela , Larry Wasserman

Background modelling is one of the main challenges in particle physics data analysis. Commonly employed strategies include the use of simulated events of the background processes, and the fitting of parametric background models to the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2022-10-19 A. Chisholm , T. Neep , K. Nikolopoulos , R. Owen , E. Reynolds , J. Silva

Most classification algorithms used in high energy physics fall under the category of supervised machine learning. Such methods require a training set containing both signal and background events and are prone to classification errors…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-03 Mikael Kuusela , Tommi Vatanen , Eric Malmi , Tapani Raiko , Timo Aaltonen , Yoshikazu Nagai

This paper examines the accuracy of the PROSPECTOR model for uncertain reasoning. PROSPECTOR's solutions for a large number of computer-generated inference networks were compared to those obtained from probability theory and minimum…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Robert M. Yadrick , Bruce M. Perrin , David S. Vaughan , Peter D. Holden , Karl G. Kempf

Complete anomaly detection strategies that are both signal sensitive and compatible with background estimation have largely focused on resonant signals. Non-resonant new physics scenarios are relatively under-explored and may arise from…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-05-08 Kehang Bai , Radha Mastandrea , Benjamin Nachman

Improving the understanding of signal and background distributions in signal-region is a valuable key to enhance any analysis in collider physics. This is usually a difficult task because -- among others -- signal and backgrounds are hard…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2025-11-26 Ezequiel Alvarez , Manuel Szewc , Alejandro Szynkman , Santiago Tanco , Tatiana Tarutina

The problem of fast point-to-point MIMO channel mutual information estimation is addressed, in the situation where the receiver undergoes unknown colored interference, whereas the channel with the transmitter is perfectly known. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-14 Abla Kammoun , Romain Couillet , Jamal Najim , Merouane Debbah