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The degradation of sewer pipes poses significant economical, environmental and health concerns. The maintenance of such assets requires structured plans to perform inspections, which are more efficient when structural and environmental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Fidae El Morer , Stefan Wittek , Andreas Rausch

Estimating how a treatment affects different individuals, known as heterogeneous treatment effect estimation, is an important problem in empirical sciences. In the last few years, there has been a considerable interest in adapting machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 Christopher Tran , Keith Burghardt , Kristina Lerman , Elena Zheleva

Transit operators need vulnerability measures to understand the level of service degradation under disruptions. This paper contributes to the literature with a novel causal inference approach for estimating station-level vulnerability in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-24 Nan Zhang , Daniel J. Graham , Daniel Hörcher , Prateek Bansal

We develop a hybrid approach to estimate spatial coordination mechanisms in structural dynamic discrete choice models by combining nested fixed-point (NFXP) dynamic programming with method of simulated moments (MSM), achieving computational…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-06 L Kaili Diamond , Benjamin Gilbert

Finding proper collective variables for complex systems and processes is one of the most challenging tasks in simulations, which limits the interpretation of experimental and simulated data and the application of enhanced sampling…

Bearings are one of the vital components of rotating machines that are prone to unexpected faults. Therefore, bearing fault diagnosis and condition monitoring is essential for reducing operational costs and downtime in numerous industries.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-09 Maryam Ahang , Masoud Jalayer , Ardeshir Shojaeinasab , Oluwaseyi Ogunfowora , Todd Charter , Homayoun Najjaran

The interaction between extreme weather events and interdependent critical infrastructure systems involves complex spatiotemporal dynamics. Multi-type emergency decisions within energy-transportation infrastructures significantly influence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Jiawei Wang , Qinglai Guo , Haotian Zhao , Bin Wang , Hongbin Sun

In generalized regression models the effect of continuous covariates is commonly assumed to be linear. This assumption, however, may be too restrictive in applications and may lead to biased effect estimates and decreased predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Nikolai Spuck , Matthias Schmid , Moritz Berger

This paper addresses the problem of estimating causal directed acyclic graphs in linear non-Gaussian acyclic models with latent confounders (LvLiNGAM). Existing methods assume mutually independent latent confounders or cannot properly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Ming Cai , Penggang Gao , Hisayuki Hara

We propose an approach for learning the causal structure in stochastic dynamical systems with a $1$-step functional dependency in the presence of latent variables. We propose an information-theoretic approach that allows us to recover the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Saber Salehkaleybar , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash

Logs enable the monitoring of infrastructure status and the performance of associated applications. Logs are also invaluable for diagnosing the root causes of any problems that may arise. Log Anomaly Detection (LAD) pipelines automate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Dipak Wani , Samuel Ackerman , Eitan Farchi , Xiaotong Liu , Hau-wen Chang , Sarasi Lalithsena

Neutron irradiation produces, within a few picoseconds, displacement cascades that are sequences of atomic collisions generating point and extended defects which subsequently affects the long-term evolution of materials. The diversity of…

The problem of sequentially detecting an abrupt change in a sequence of independent and identically distributed (IID) random variables is addressed. Whereas previous approaches assume a known probability density function (PDF) at the start…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-11 James Falt , Steven D. Blostein

We consider linear non-Gaussian structural equation models that involve latent confounding. In this setting, the causal structure is identifiable, but, in general, it is not possible to identify the specific causal effects. Instead, a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-12 Daniela Schkoda , Elina Robeva , Mathias Drton

We introduce and test a general machine-learning-based technique for the inference of short term causal dependence between state variables of an unknown dynamical system from time series measurements of its state variables. Our technique…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-12-18 Amitava Banerjee , Jaideep Pathak , Rajarshi Roy , Juan G. Restrepo , Edward Ott

Causal discovery between collections of time-series data can help diagnose causes of symptoms and hopefully prevent faults before they occur. However, reliable causal discovery can be very challenging, especially when the data acquisition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Haonan Chen , Bo Yuan Chang , Mohamed A. Naiel , Georges Younes , Steven Wardell , Stan Kleinikkink , John S. Zelek

Practitioners making decisions based on causal effects typically ignore structural uncertainty. We analyze when this uncertainty is consequential enough to warrant methodological solutions (Bayesian model averaging over competing causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Maurits Kaptein

Down-sampling training data has long been shown to improve the generalization performance of a wide range of machine learning systems. Recently, down-sampling has proved effective in genetic programming (GP) runs that utilize the lexicase…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-06-01 Ryan Boldi , Thomas Helmuth , Lee Spector

Instant payment infrastructures have stringent performance requirements, processing millions of transactions daily with zero-downtime expectations. Traditional monitoring approaches fail to bridge the gap between technical infrastructure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Lorenzo Porcelli

Structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables. The causal structure underlying each such model is naturally represented by a directed graph whose edges indicate for each variable which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-15 David Strieder , Tobias Freidling , Stefan Haffner , Mathias Drton