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We present TabPFN, a trained Transformer that can do supervised classification for small tabular datasets in less than a second, needs no hyperparameter tuning and is competitive with state-of-the-art classification methods. TabPFN performs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Noah Hollmann , Samuel Müller , Katharina Eggensperger , Frank Hutter

Modern neural networks have proven to be powerful function approximators, providing state-of-the-art performance in a multitude of applications. They however fall short in their ability to quantify confidence in their predictions - this is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Alex J. Chan , Ahmed M. Alaa , Zhaozhi Qian , Mihaela van der Schaar

State-of-the-art data stream mining has long drawn from ensembles of the Very Fast Decision Tree, a seminal algorithm honored with the 2015 KDD Test-of-Time Award. However, the emergence of large tabular models, i.e., transformers designed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Afonso Lourenço , João Gama , Eric P. Xing , Goreti Marreiros

Recently, the incorporation of both temporal features and the correlation across time series has become an effective approach in time series prediction. Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks (STGNNs) demonstrate good performance on many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Wenbo Yan , Ying Tan

The vast majority of time-series forecasting approaches require a substantial training dataset. However, many real-life forecasting applications have very little initial observations, sometimes just 40 or fewer. Thus, the applicability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-06 Samuel Dooley , Gurnoor Singh Khurana , Chirag Mohapatra , Siddartha Naidu , Colin White

There is growing interest in neural network architectures for tabular data. Many general-purpose tabular deep learning models have been introduced recently, with performance sometimes rivaling gradient boosted decision trees (GBDTs). These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-10 James Fiedler

Real-world model deployments demand strong performance on narrow domains where data is often scarce. Typically, practitioners finetune models to specialize them, but this risks overfitting to the domain and forgetting general knowledge. We…

Large language models (LLMs) perform remarkably well on tabular datasets in zero- and few-shot settings, since they can extract meaning from natural language column headers that describe features and labels. Similarly, TabPFN, a recent…

Tabular foundation models are pre-trained on one of three classes of corpus: curated datasets drawn from benchmark repositories, tables harvested at scale from the web, or synthetic tables sampled from a parametric generative prior. Despite…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Alex O. Davies , Telmo de Menezes e Silva Filho , Nirav Ajmeri

Effectively modeling non-stationary dynamics in probabilistic multivariate time series(MTS) forecasting requires balancing expressiveness with robustness. Existing parametric approaches benefit from strong inductive biases but lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Jinglin Li , Jun Tan , QI Fang , Ning Gui

Table foundation models bring high hopes to data science: pre-trained on tabular data to embark knowledge or priors, they should facilitate downstream tasks on tables. One specific challenge is that of data semantics: numerical entries take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Myung Jun Kim , Félix Lefebvre , Gaëtan Brison , Alexandre Perez-Lebel , Gaël Varoquaux

One of the most challenging problems in graph machine learning is generalizing across graphs with diverse properties. Graph neural networks (GNNs) face a fundamental limitation: they require separate training for each new graph, preventing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Jeongwhan Choi , Jongwoo Kim , Woosung Kang , Noseong Park

Foundation models have made rapid advances in many domains including Earth observation, where Geospatial Foundation Models (GFMs) can help address global challenges such as climate change, agriculture, and disaster response. Previous work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Mirali Purohit , Gedeon Muhawenayo , Esther Rolf , Hannah Kerner

Tabular data is one of the most commonly used types of data in machine learning. Despite recent advances in neural nets (NNs) for tabular data, there is still an active discussion on whether or not NNs generally outperform gradient-boosted…

Shapley values have become a cornerstone of explainable AI, but they are computationally expensive to use, especially when features are dependent. Evaluating them requires approximating a large number of conditional expectations, either via…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Lars Henry Berge Olsen , Dennis Christensen

Tabular datasets play a crucial role in various applications. Thus, developing efficient, effective, and widely compatible prediction algorithms for tabular data is important. Currently, two prominent model types, Gradient Boosted Decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Jiahuan Yan , Jintai Chen , Qianxing Wang , Danny Z. Chen , Jian Wu

While deep learning has achieved remarkable success across many domains, it has historically underperformed on tabular learning tasks, which remain dominated by gradient boosting decision trees. However, recent advancements are paving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Alan Arazi , Eilam Shapira , Roi Reichart

Performance of model-based feedforward controllers is typically limited by the accuracy of the inverse system dynamics model. Physics-guided neural networks (PGNN), where a known physical model cooperates in parallel with a neural network,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-31 Max Bolderman , Mircea Lazar , Hans Butler

We present an application of a foundation model for small- to medium-sized tabular data (TabPFN), to sub-national yield forecasting task in South Africa. TabPFN has recently demonstrated superior performance compared to traditional machine…

Spatio-temporal deep learning models aims to utilize useful patterns in such data to support tasks like prediction. However, previous deep learning models designed for specific tasks typically require separate training for each use case,…

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