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Propensity score methods are widely used for estimating treatment effects from observational studies. A popular approach is to estimate propensity scores by maximum likelihood based on logistic regression, and then apply inverse probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-24 Zhiqiang Tan

As data shift or new data become available, updating clinical machine learning models may be necessary to maintain or improve performance over time. However, updating a model can introduce compatibility issues when the behavior of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-11 Erkin Ötleş , Brian T. Denton , Jenna Wiens

Machine learning-based decision support systems are increasingly deployed in clinical settings, where probabilistic scoring functions are used to inform and prioritize patient management decisions. However, widely used scoring rules, such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Gerardo A. Flores , Alyssa H. Smith , Julia A. Fukuyama , Ashia C. Wilson

To promote precision medicine, individualized treatment regimes (ITRs) are crucial for optimizing the expected clinical outcome based on patient-specific characteristics. However, existing ITR research has primarily focused on scenarios…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-20 Chang Wang , Lu Wang

Incremental Learning is well known machine learning approach wherein the weights of the learned model are dynamically and gradually updated to generalize on new unseen data without forgetting the existing knowledge. Incremental learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-07-25 Pratyush Kumar , Muktabh Mayank Srivastava

We present an iterative inverse reinforcement learning algorithm to infer optimal cost functions in continuous spaces. Based on a popular maximum entropy criteria, our approach iteratively finds a weight improvement step and proposes a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Sarmad Mehrdad , Avadesh Meduri , Ludovic Righetti

Unbiased assessment of the predictivity of models learnt by supervised machine-learning methods requires knowledge of the learned function over a reserved test set (not used by the learning algorithm). The quality of the assessment depends,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Elias Fekhari , Bertrand Iooss , Joseph Muré , Luc Pronzato , Maria-João Rendas

Objective: To combine medical knowledge and medical data to interpretably predict the risk of disease. Methods: We formulated the disease prediction task as a random walk along a knowledge graph (KG). Specifically, we build a KG to record…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-09 Zhoujian Sun , Wei Dong , Jinlong Shi , Zhengxing Huang

Individualized treatment effect lies at the heart of precision medicine. Interpretable individualized treatment rules (ITRs) are desirable for clinicians or policymakers due to their intuitive appeal and transparency. The gold-standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-20 Lili Wu , Shu Yang

Scoring systems are classification models that only require users to add, subtract and multiply a few meaningful numbers to make a prediction. These models are often used because they are practical and interpretable. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-14 Berk Ustun , Stefano Tracà , Cynthia Rudin

Composite endpoints are commonly used with an anticipation that clinically relevant endpoints as a whole would yield meaningful treatment benefits. The win ratio is a rank-based statistic to summarize composite endpoints, allowing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Di Zhang , Stephen R. Wisniewski , Jong-Hyeon Jeong

We aim to produce predictive models that are not only accurate, but are also interpretable to human experts. Our models are decision lists, which consist of a series of if...then... statements (e.g., if high blood pressure, then stroke)…

Applications · Statistics 2015-11-06 Benjamin Letham , Cynthia Rudin , Tyler H. McCormick , David Madigan

The utilization of Electronic Health Records (EHRs) for clinical risk prediction is on the rise. However, strict privacy regulations limit access to comprehensive health records, making it challenging to apply standard machine learning…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Angeela Acharya , Sulabh Shrestha , Anyi Chen , Joseph Conte , Sanja Avramovic , Siddhartha Sikdar , Antonios Anastasopoulos , Sanmay Das

Sparse decision trees are one of the most common forms of interpretable models. While recent advances have produced algorithms that fully optimize sparse decision trees for prediction, that work does not address policy design, because the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-27 Ali Behrouz , Mathias Lecuyer , Cynthia Rudin , Margo Seltzer

Predicting risks of chronic diseases has become increasingly important in clinical practice. When a prediction model is developed in a given source cohort, there is often a great interest to apply the model to other cohorts. However, due to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-05 Zheng Jiayin , Zheng Yingye , Hsu Li

Indirect experiments provide a valuable framework for estimating treatment effects in situations where conducting randomized control trials (RCTs) is impractical or unethical. Unlike RCTs, indirect experiments estimate treatment effects by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-06 Yash Chandak , Shiv Shankar , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Emma Brunskill

The forecasting of the credit default risk has been an important research field for several decades. Traditionally, logistic regression has been widely recognized as a solution due to its accuracy and interpretability. As a recent trend,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-22 Dangxing Chen , Weicheng Ye , Jiahui Ye

In this study, we present a novel clinical decision support system and discuss its interpretability-related properties. It combines a decision set of rules with a machine learning scheme to offer global and local interpretability. More…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-16 Francisco Valente , Simão Paredes , Jorge Henriques

Missing data is frequently encountered in many areas of statistics. Propensity score weighting is a popular method for handling missing data. The propensity score method employs a response propensity model, but correct specification of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-28 Hengfang Wang , Jae Kwang Kim , Jeongseop Han , Youngjo Lee

Risk-adjusted quality measures are used to evaluate healthcare providers while controlling for factors beyond their control. Existing healthcare provider profiling approaches typically assume that the risk adjustment is perfect and the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-26 Nicholas Hartman , Joseph M. Messana , Jian Kang , Abhijit S. Naik , Tempie H. Shearon , Kevin He