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Since early 2020, the world has been dealing with a raging pandemic outbreak: COVID-19. A year later, vaccines have become accessible, but in limited quantities, so that governments needed to devise a strategy to decide which part of the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-13 Sander Tonkens , Paul de Klaver , Mauro Salazar

Real-time vaccination following an outbreak can effectively mitigate the damage caused by an infectious disease. However, in many cases, available resources are insufficient to vaccinate the entire at-risk population, logistics result in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-29 Chantal Nguyen , Jean M. Carlson

In this paper, we study the optimal control for an SEIR model adapted to the vaccination strategy of susceptible individuals. There are factors associated with a vaccination campaign that make this strategy not only a public health issue…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-08 Nelson L. Santos Junior , João A. M. Gondim

We consider a SIR model with vaccination strategy on a sparse configuration model random graph. We show the convergence of the system when the number of nodes grows and characterize the scaling limits. Then, we prove the existence of…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Emanuel Javier Ferreyra , Matthieu Jonckheere , Juan Pablo Pinasco

Developing robust, quantitative methods to optimize resource allocations in response to epidemics has the potential to save lives and minimize health care costs. In this paper, we develop and apply a computationally efficient algorithm that…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Edwin C. Yuan , David L. Alderson , Sean Stromberg , Jean M. Carlson

We analyze an optimal control version of a simple SIR epidemiology model that includes a partially specified vaccination policy and takes into account fatigue from protracted application of social distancing measures. The model assumes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-17 Evangelos F. Magirou

This paper studies an optimal control problem for a class of SIR epidemic models, in scenarios in which the infected population is constrained to be lower than a critical threshold imposed by the ICU (intensive care unit) capacity. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Matteo Della Rossa , Lorenzo Freddi , Dan Goreac

We consider a susceptible, infected, and recovered infectious disease model which incorporates a vaccination rate. In particular, we study the problem of choosing the vaccination rate in order to reduce the number of infected individuals to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Ryan Hynd , Dennis Ikpe , Terrance Pendleton

We analyze a class of general nonlinear epidemic models with age and space structure, including a nonlocal infection term depending on age and space. After establishing the well-posedness of the state partial differential equation, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Behzad Azmi , Nicolas Schlosser

In the context of SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, mathematical modelling has played a fundamental role for making forecasts, simulating scenarios and evaluating the impact of preventive political, social and pharmaceutical measures. Optimal control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-01 Giovanni Ziarelli , Luca Dede' , Nicola Parolini , Marco Verani , Alfio Quarteroni

We study an optimal control problem for a non-autonomous SEIRS model with incidence given by a general function of the infective, the susceptible and the total population, and with vaccination and treatment as control variables. We prove…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-13 Joaquim P. Mateus , Paulo Rebelo , Silvério Rosa , César M. Silva , Delfim F. M. Torres

We consider the problem of controlling the propagation of an epidemic outbreak in an arbitrary contact network by distributing vaccination resources throughout the network. We analyze a networked version of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-03-19 Victor M. Preciado , Michael Zargham , Chinwendu Enyioha , Ali Jadbabaie , George Pappas

How to allocate vaccines over heterogeneous individuals is one of the important policy decisions in pandemic times. This paper develops a procedure to estimate an individualized vaccine allocation policy under limited supply, exploiting…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-25 Toru Kitagawa , Guanyi Wang

We consider the problem of the optimal allocation of vaccination and protection measures for the Susceptible-Infected-Recovered-Infected (SIRI) epidemiological model, which generalizes the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-09 Urmee Maitra , Ashish R. Hota , Rohit Gupta , Alfred O. Hero

SIR models, also with age structure, can be used to describe the evolution of an infective disease. A vaccination campaign influences this dynamics immunizing part of the susceptible individuals, essentially turning them into recovered…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Rinaldo M. Colombo , Mauro Garavello

In this paper, an SIR epidemic model with variable size of population is considered. We study optimal control problem for an SIR model with "vaccination" and "treatment" as controls. It is shown that an optimal control exists. We have…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Olga Klimenkova

The paper considers the problems of optimal vaccination control in the classical SIR model under constraints on the resource capabilities of the insurance medical system, in particular under constraints on the possible absolute rate of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Bogdan Norkin , Vladimir Norkin

How to strategically allocate the available vaccines is a crucial issue for pandemic control. In this work, we propose a mathematical framework for optimal stabilizing vaccine allocation, where our goal is to send the infections to zero as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Qianqian Ma , Yang-Yu Liu , Alex Olshevsky

Controlling and understanding epidemic outbreaks has recently drawn great interest in a large spectrum of research communities. Vaccination is one of the most well-established and effective strategies in order to contain an epidemic. In the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Sourin Chatterjee , Ahad N. Zehmakan

Recent Covid-19 pandemic has demonstrated the need of efficient epidemic outbreak management. We study the optimal control problem of minimizing the fraction of infected population by applying vaccination and treatment control strategies,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Jagtap Kalyani Devendra , Kundan Kandhway
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