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In statistical inference, uncertainty is unknown and all models are wrong. That is to say, a person who makes a statistical model and a prior distribution is simultaneously aware that both are fictional candidates. To study such cases,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Sumio Watanabe

It is well known that the traditional Jensen inequality is proved by lower bounding the given convex function, $f(x)$, by the tangential affine function that passes through the point $(E\{X\},f(E\{X\}))$, where $E\{X\}$ is the expectation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-05-17 Neri Merhav

Scientists need to compare the support for models based on observed phenomena. The main goal of the evidential paradigm is to quantify the strength of evidence in the data for a reference model relative to an alternative model. This is done…

Whereas confidence intervals are used to assess uncertainty due to unmeasured individuals, confounding intervals can be used to assess uncertainty due to unmeasured attributes. Previously, we have introduced a methodology for computing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Brian Knaeble , R Mitchell Hughes

Many studies in uncertainty quantification have been carried out under the assumption of an input random field in which a countable number of independent random variables are each uniformly distributed on an interval, with these random…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Vesa Kaarnioja , Frances Y. Kuo , Ian H. Sloan

The phenomenon in the essence of classical uncertainty principles is well known since the thirties of the last century. We introduce a new phenomenon which is in the essence of a new notion that we introduce: "Generalized Uncertainty…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-07-15 Ronny Machluf

For any pair of bounded observables $A$ and $B$ with pure point spectra, we construct an associated "joint observable" which gives rise to a notion of a joint (projective) measurement of $A$ and $B$, and which conforms to the intuition that…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-22 Richard DeJonghe , Kimberly Frey , Tom Imbo

Data-driven sequential decision has found a wide range of applications in modern operations management, such as dynamic pricing, inventory control, and assortment optimization. Most existing research on data-driven sequential decision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-01 Yining Wang , Xi Chen , Xiangyu Chang , Dongdong Ge

Heisenberg's uncertainty principle is formulated for a set of generalized measurements within the framework of majorization theory, resulting in a partial uncertainty order on probability vectors that is stronger than those based on…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-10-26 M. Hossein Partovi

As animals interact with their environments, they must infer properties of their surroundings. Some animals, including humans, can represent uncertainty about those properties. But when, if ever, do they use probability distributions to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-04-15 Samuel Lippl , Raphael Gerraty , John Morrison , Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

An agent often has a number of hypotheses, and must choose among them based on observations, or outcomes of experiments. Each of these observations can be viewed as providing evidence for or against various hypotheses. All the attempts to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Joseph Y. Halpern , Riccardo Pucella

As a foundation of modern physics, uncertainty relations describe an ultimate limit for the measurement uncertainty of incompatible observables. Traditionally, uncertain relations are formulated by mathematical bounds for a specific state.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-09-18 Jie Xie , Songtao Huang , Li Zhou , Aonan Zhang , Huichao Xu , Man-Hong Yung , Nengkun Yu , Lijian Zhang

Fundamental constants are a cornerstone of the physical laws. Any constant varying in space and/or time would signal a violation of local position invariance and be associated with a violation of the universality of free fall, and hence of…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-05-21 Jean-Philippe Uzan

We study the quantum-mechanical uncertainty relation originating from the successive measurement of two observables $\hat{A}$ and $\hat{B}$, with eigenvalues $a_n$ and $b_m$, respectively, performed on the same system. We use an extension…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-06-02 Ady Mann , Pier A. Mello , Michael Revzen

The uncertainty principle brings out intrinsic quantum bounds on the precision of measuring non-commuting observables. Statistical outcomes in the measurement of incompatible observables reveal a trade-off on the sum of corresponding…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-11-11 H. S. Karthik , A. R. Usha Devi , J. Prabhu Tej , A. K. Rajagopal

A fundamental functional in nonparametric statistics is the Mann-Whitney functional ${\theta} = P (X < Y )$ , which constitutes the basis for the most popular nonparametric procedures. The functional ${\theta}$ measures a location or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-30 Jonas Beck , Patrick B. Langthaler , Arne C. Bathke

We introduce a notion of weak convergence in arbitrary metric spaces. Metric functionals are key in our analysis: weak convergence of sequences in a given metric space is tested against all the metric functionals defined on said space. When…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-05 Armando W. Gutiérrez , Olavi Nevanlinna

The current study aims to examine uncertainty relations for measurements from generalized equiangular tight frames. Informationally overcomplete measurements are a valuable tool in quantum information processing, including tomography and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-09-24 Alexey E. Rastegin

The consensus problem -- achieving agreement among a network of agents -- is a central theme in both theory and applications. Recently, this problem has been extended from Euclidean spaces to the space of probability measures, where the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-01 Pilgyu Jung , Yoon Mo Jung

The use of emergent constraints to quantify uncertainty for key policy relevant quantities such as Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) has become increasingly widespread in recent years. Many researchers, however, claim that emergent…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-19 Daniel B. Williamson , Philip G. Sansom
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