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Nowadays, time series forecasting is predominantly approached through the end-to-end training of deep learning architectures using error-based objectives. While this is effective at minimizing average loss, it encourages the encoder to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Jiacheng Wang , Liang Fan , Baihua Li , Luyan Zhang

Graph Neural Networks struggle to capture long-range dependencies due to over-squashing, where information from exponentially growing neighborhoods must pass through a small number of structural bottlenecks. While recent rewiring methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Bertran Miquel-Oliver , Manel Gil-Sorribes , Victor Guallar , Alexis Molina

Time series forecasting is important in many fields that require accurate predictions for decision-making. Patching techniques, commonly used and effective in time series modeling, help capture temporal dependencies by dividing the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Xiangfei Qiu , Xvyuan Liu , Tianen Shen , Xingjian Wu , Hanyin Cheng , Bin Yang , Jilin Hu

Recurrent neural network based solutions are increasingly being used in the analysis of longitudinal Electronic Health Record data. However, most works focus on prediction accuracy and neglect prediction uncertainty. We propose Deep Kernel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Zhiliang Wu , Yinchong Yang , Peter A. Fasching , Volker Tresp

Deep learning methods achieve remarkable predictive performance in modeling complex, large-scale data. However, assessing the quality of derived models has become increasingly challenging, as more classical statistical assumptions may no…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-02 Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi

Prevailing spatiotemporal prediction models typically operate under a forward (unidirectional) learning paradigm, in which models extract spatiotemporal features from historical observation input and map them to target spatiotemporal space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Jiaming Ma , Binwu Wang , Pengkun Wang , Xu Wang , Zhengyang Zhou , Yang Wang

To have a superior generalization, a deep learning neural network often involves a large size of training sample. With increase of hidden layers in order to increase learning ability, neural network has potential degradation in accuracy.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-01 Lianfa Li , Ying Fang , Jun Wu , Jinfeng Wang

Existing Video Temporal Grounding (VTG) models excel in accuracy but often overlook open-world challenges posed by open-vocabulary queries and untrimmed videos. This leads to unreliable predictions for noisy, corrupted, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Kaijing Ma , Haojian Huang , Jin Chen , Haodong Chen , Pengliang Ji , Xianghao Zang , Han Fang , Chao Ban , Hao Sun , Mulin Chen , Xuelong Li

Predicting missing facts for temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) is a fundamental task, called temporal knowledge graph completion (TKGC). One key challenge in this task is the imbalance in data distribution, where facts are unevenly spread…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Jiasheng Zhang , Deqiang Ouyang , Shuang Liang , Jie Shao

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Yan Li , Xinjiang Lu , Haoyi Xiong , Jian Tang , Jiantao Su , Bo Jin , Dejing Dou

Time-series forecasting is one of the most active research topics in artificial intelligence. Applications in real-world time series should consider two factors for achieving reliable predictions: modeling dynamic dependencies among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-28 Gabriel Spadon , Shenda Hong , Bruno Brandoli , Stan Matwin , Jose F. Rodrigues-Jr , Jimeng Sun

Predicting traffic conditions is tremendously challenging since every road is highly dependent on each other, both spatially and temporally. Recently, to capture this spatial and temporal dependency, specially designed architectures such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Daejin Kim , Youngin Cho , Dongmin Kim , Cheonbok Park , Jaegul Choo

Cloud contamination severely degrades the usability of remote sensing imagery and poses a fundamental challenge for downstream Earth observation tasks. Recently, diffusion-based models have emerged as a dominant paradigm for remote sensing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Yifan Zhang , Qian Chen , Yi Liu , Wengen Li , Jihong Guan

Safe deployment of AI models requires proactive detection of failures to prevent costly errors. To this end, we study the important problem of detecting failures in deep regression models. Existing approaches rely on epistemic uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Vivek Narayanaswamy , Puja Trivedi , Rushil Anirudh

Predictive coding networks are neural models that perform inference through an iterative energy minimization process, whose operations are local in space and time. While effective in shallow architectures, they suffer significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Chang Qi , Matteo Forasassi , Thomas Lukasiewicz , Tommaso Salvatori

This paper introduces a geometric theory of model error, treating true and model dynamics as geodesic flows generated by distinct affine connections on a smooth manifold. When these connections differ, the resulting trajectory…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-15 Yuntao Dai

Analyzing both temporal and spatial patterns for an accurate forecasting model for financial time series forecasting is a challenge due to the complex nature of temporal-spatial dynamics: time series from different locations often have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Hu Yang , Yi Huang , Haijun Wang , Yu Chen

Fault diagnostics are extremely important to decide proper actions toward fault isolation and system restoration. The growing integration of inverter-based distributed energy resources imposes strong influences on fault detection using…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-28 Bang Nguyen , Tuyen Vu , Thai-Thanh Nguyen , Mayank Panwar , Rob Hovsapian

Online Surgical Phase Recognition (SPR) models can reach high frame-wise accuracy, yet their predictions often lack temporal stability, fragmenting workflow understanding and reducing the reliability of downstream assistance. We show that…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Yang Liu , Ning Zhu , Jingjing Peng , Xiwu Chen , Alejandro Granados , Guotai Wang , Sebastien Ourselin

Predictive learning uses a known state to generate a future state over a period of time. It is a challenging task to predict spatiotemporal sequence because the spatiotemporal sequence varies both in time and space. The mainstream method is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Haoyu Pan , Hao Wu , Tan Yang
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