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Can a recommendation model be self-aware? This paper investigates the recommender's self-awareness by quantifying its uncertainty, which provides a label-free estimation of its performance. Such self-assessment can enable more informed…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Jiayu Li , Ziyi Ye , Guohao Jian , Zhiqiang Guo , Weizhi Ma , Qingyao Ai , Min Zhang

We develop a systematic information-theoretic framework for quantification and mitigation of error in probabilistic Lagrangian (i.e., path-based) predictions which are obtained from dynamical systems generated by uncertain (Eulerian) vector…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-03 Michal Branicki , Kenneth Uda

Early-stage users in a new scenario intensify cold-start challenges, yet prior works often address only parts of the problem through model architecture. Launching a new user experience to replace an established product involves sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Wenhao Zheng , Wang Lu , Fangshuang Tang , Yiyang Lu , Jun Yang , Pengcheng Xiong , Yulan Yan

Uncertainty quantification is essential in human-machine collaboration, as human agents tend to adjust their decisions based on the confidence of the machine counterpart. Reliably calibrated model uncertainties, hence, enable more effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Teodor Chiaburu , Vipin Singh , Frank Haußer , Felix Bießmann

Deep neural networks are in the limelight of machine learning with their excellent performance in many data-driven applications. However, they can lead to inaccurate predictions when queried in out-of-distribution data points, which can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Yana Stoyanova , Soroush Ghandi , Maryam Tavakol

In order for reinforcement learning techniques to be useful in real-world decision making processes, they must be able to produce robust performance from limited data. Deep policy optimization methods have achieved impressive results on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-22 James Queeney , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis , Christos G. Cassandras

Reinforcement learning (RL) finetuning is crucial to aligning large language models (LLMs), but the process is notoriously unstable and exhibits high variance across model checkpoints. In practice, selecting the best checkpoint is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Manh Nguyen , Dung Nguyen , Dai Do , Svetha Venkatesh , Hung Le

Neural networks (NNs) lack measures of "reliability" estimation that would enable reasoning over their predictions. Despite the vital importance, especially in areas of human well-being and health, state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Lorena Qendro , Jagmohan Chauhan , Alberto Gil C. P. Ramos , Cecilia Mascolo

Multi-agent debate (MAD) systems improve LLM reasoning through iterative deliberation, but remain vulnerable to debate collapse, a failure type where final agent decisions are compromised on erroneous reasoning. Existing methods lack…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Luoxi Tang , Yuqiao Meng , Joseph Costa , Yingxue Zhang , Muchao Ye , Zhaohan Xi

One of the most crucial issues in data mining is to model human behaviour in order to provide personalisation, adaptation and recommendation. This usually involves implicit or explicit knowledge, either by observing user interactions, or by…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2017-08-21 Kevin Jasberg , Sergej Sizov

Large Language Models (LLMs) have become indispensable tools across various applications, making it more important than ever to ensure the quality and the trustworthiness of their outputs. This has led to growing interest in uncertainty…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Roman Vashurin , Maiya Goloburda , Preslav Nakov , Maxim Panov

Recommender systems aim to recommend new items to users by learning user and item representations. In practice, these representations are highly entangled as they consist of information about multiple factors, including user's interests,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-04-18 Paras Sheth , Ruocheng Guo , Lu Cheng , Huan Liu , K. Selçuk Candan

Uncertainty is a key feature of any machine learning model and is particularly important in neural networks, which tend to be overconfident. This overconfidence is worrying under distribution shifts, where the model performance silently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-18 Arthur Thuy , Dries F. Benoit

In any ranking system, the retrieval model outputs a single score for a document based on its belief on how relevant it is to a given search query. While retrieval models have continued to improve with the introduction of increasingly…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Daniel Cohen , Bhaskar Mitra , Oleg Lesota , Navid Rekabsaz , Carsten Eickhoff

Deep learning models frequently encounter feature uncertainty in diverse learning scenarios, significantly impacting their performance and reliability. This challenge is particularly complex in multi-modal scenarios, where models must…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Jiahao Qin , Bei Peng , Feng Liu , Guangliang Cheng , Lu Zong

Large Language Models (LLMs) are known to hallucinate and generate non-factual outputs which can undermine user trust. Traditional methods to directly mitigate hallucinations, such as representation editing and contrastive decoding, often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Prasenjit Dey , Srujana Merugu , Sivaramakrishnan Kaveri

Many real-world decision-making problems involve multiple decision-making stages and various objectives. Besides, most of the decisions need to be made before having complete knowledge about all aspects of the problem leaves some sort of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-06 Babooshka Shavazipour , Theodor J. Stewart

Safety assurance is critical in the planning and control of robotic systems. For robots operating in the real world, the safety-critical design often needs to explicitly address uncertainties and the pre-computed guarantees often rely on…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Hao Zhou , Yanze Zhang , Wenhao Luo

Evidence-based deep learning represents a burgeoning paradigm for uncertainty estimation, offering reliable predictions with negligible extra computational overheads. Existing methods usually adopt Kullback-Leibler divergence to estimate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Yan Zhang , Ming Li , Chun Li , Zhaoxia Liu , Ye Zhang , Fei Richard Yu

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods for Large Language Models (LLMs) encompass a variety of approaches, with two major types being particularly prominent: information-based, which focus on model confidence expressed as token…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Roman Vashurin , Maiya Goloburda , Albina Ilina , Aleksandr Rubashevskii , Preslav Nakov , Artem Shelmanov , Maxim Panov
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