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This paper tests whether intraday momentum signals derived from open-high-low-close-volume (OHLCV) data produce a statistically significant trading edge in Micro E-mini Nasdaq 100 futures (MNQ) under realistic execution constraints. Using…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-06 Mathias Mesfin

The stock market prediction has always been crucial for stakeholders, traders and investors. We developed an ensemble Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model that includes two-time frequencies (annual and daily parameters) in order to predict…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-13 Zineb Lanbouri , Saaid Achchab

Navigating the intricate landscape of financial markets requires adept forecasting of stock price movements. This paper delves into the potential of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for predicting stock dynamics, with a focus on…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-29 Nisarg Patel , Harmit Shah , Kishan Mewada

This paper constructs and validates a composite day-classification system for Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 100 futures (MNQ) using three pre-market observable conditions: first-30-minute return magnitude, overnight gap magnitude, and abnormal…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-13 Mathias Mesfin

This paper presents MIS-LSTM, a hybrid framework that joins CNN encoders with an LSTM sequence model for sleep quality and stress prediction at the day level from multimodal lifelog data. Continuous sensor streams are first partitioned into…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Seongwan Park , Jieun Woo , Siheon Yang

This paper proposes a hybrid framework combining LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) networks with LightGBM and CatBoost for stock price prediction. The framework processes time-series financial data and evaluates performance using seven models:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Chang Yu , Fang Liu , Jie Zhu , Shaobo Guo , Yifan Gao , Zhongheng Yang , Meiwei Liu , Qianwen Xing

Short Term Load Forecast (STLF) is necessary for effective scheduling, operation optimization trading, and decision-making for electricity consumers. Modern and efficient machine learning methods are recalled nowadays to manage complicated…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-20 Junjie Hu , Brenda López Cabrera , Awdesch Melzer

This work aims to implement Long Short-Term Memory mixture density networks (LSTM-MDNs) for Value-at-Risk forecasting and compare their performance with established models (historical simulation, CMM, and GARCH) using a defined backtesting…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-03 Nico Herrig

Trend-following strategies underpin many systematic trading approaches yet struggle under nonstationary and nonlinear market regimes. We propose an LSTM-based framework to forecast next-day trend differences ($\Delta_t$) for the top 30 S\&P…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-17 Harris Buchanan , Eric Benhamou

This paper demonstrates that deep learning models trained on raw OHLCV (open-high-low-close-volume) data can achieve comparable performance to traditional machine learning (ML) models using technical indicators for stock price prediction in…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-04-07 Sungwoo Kang

Long Short-Term Memory Networks (LSTMs) have been applied to daily discharge prediction with remarkable success. Many practical scenarios, however, require predictions at more granular timescales. For instance, accurate prediction of short…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Martin Gauch , Frederik Kratzert , Daniel Klotz , Grey Nearing , Jimmy Lin , Sepp Hochreiter

We employ both random forests and LSTM networks (more precisely CuDNNLSTM) as training methodologies to analyze their effectiveness in forecasting out-of-sample directional movements of constituent stocks of the S&P 500 from January 1993…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-02 Pushpendu Ghosh , Ariel Neufeld , Jajati Keshari Sahoo

Performance forecasting is an age-old problem in economics and finance. Recently, developments in machine learning and neural networks have given rise to non-linear time series models that provide modern and promising alternatives to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Carmina Fjellström

Accurate volatility forecasting is essential in banking, investment, and risk management, because expectations about future market movements directly influence current decisions. This study proposes a hybrid modelling framework that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-16 Anna Perekhodko , Robert Ślepaczuk

This paper introduces an open-source and reproducible implementation of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) Networks for time series forecasting. We evaluated LSTM and GRU networks because of their performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-28 Gissel Velarde , Pedro Branez , Alejandro Bueno , Rodrigo Heredia , Mateo Lopez-Ledezma

We present a deep long short-term memory (LSTM)-based neural network for predicting asset prices, together with a successful trading strategy for generating profits based on the model's predictions. Our work is motivated by the fact that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-09 Chariton Chalvatzis , Dimitrios Hristu-Varsakelis

Modern decision-making in fixed income asset management benefits from intelligent systems, which involve the use of state-of-the-art machine learning models and appropriate methodologies. We conduct the first study of bond yield forecasting…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-06 Manuel Nunes , Enrico Gerding , Frank McGroarty , Mahesan Niranjan

Time series data constitutes a distinct and growing problem in machine learning. As the corpus of time series data grows larger, deep models that simultaneously learn features and classify with these features can be intractable or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-25 Hugh Chen , Scott Lundberg , Su-In Lee

Ensuring sustainability demands more efficient energy management with minimized energy wastage. Therefore, the power grid of the future should provide an unprecedented level of flexibility in energy management. To that end, intelligent…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Daniel L. Marino , Kasun Amarasinghe , Milos Manic

We investigate regression for variable length sequential data containing missing samples and introduce a novel tree architecture based on the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. In our architecture, we employ a variable number of LSTM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 S. Onur Sahin , Suleyman S. Kozat
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