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Standard approaches to goal-conditioned reinforcement learning (GCRL) that rely on temporal-difference learning can be unstable and sample-inefficient due to bootstrapping. While recent work has explored contrastive and supervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Franki Nguimatsia Tiofack , Fabian Schramm , Théotime Le Hellard , Justin Carpentier

Over the last five decades, we have seen strong methodological advances in survival analysis, mainly in two separate strands: One strand is based on a parametric approach that assumes some response distribution. More prominent, however, is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Sandra Siegfried , Bálint Tamási , Torsten Hothorn

This work presents the first large-scale neutral benchmark experiment focused on single-event, right-censored, low-dimensional survival data. Benchmark experiments are essential in methodological research to scientifically compare new and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-24 Lukas Burk , John Zobolas , Bernd Bischl , Andreas Bender , Marvin N. Wright , Raphael Sonabend

Proportional mean residual life model is studied for analysing survival data from the case-cohort design. To simultaneously estimate the regression parameters and the baseline mean residual life function, weighted estimating equations based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-18 Huijuan Ma , Jianhua Shi , Yong Zhou

We explore whether survival model performance in underrepresented high- and low-risk subgroups - regions of the prognostic spectrum where clinical decisions are most consequential - can be improved through targeted restructuring of the…

Predictive Maintenance (PdM) is pivotal in Industry 4.0 and 5.0, proactively enhancing efficiency through accurate equipment Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction, thus optimizing maintenance scheduling and reducing unexpected failures and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Davide Frizzo , Francesco Borsatti , Gian Antonio Susto

We propose a Bayesian method for deriving the distribution of restricted mean survival time (RMST) using posterior samples, which accounts for covariates and heterogeneity among clusters based on a parametric model for survival time. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-12 Keisuke Hanada , Masahiro Kojima

Longitudinal passive sensing enables continuous health prediction, yet models often fail under cross-dataset distribution shifts. Traditional ML overfits cohort-specific artifacts, while Large Language Models (LLMs) struggle to reason…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Yuang Fan , Lilin Xu , Millie Wu , Jingping Nie , Qingyu Chen , Yuzhe Yang , Zhuo Zhang , Xin Liu , Subigya Nepal , Xiaofan Jiang , Xuhai "Orson" Xu

The restricted mean survival time (RMST) has become a popular measure to summarize event times in longitudinal studies. Defined as the area under the survival function up to a time horizon $\tau$ > 0, the RMST can be interpreted as the life…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-05 Alina Schenk , Vanessa Basten , Matthias Schmid

We propose an optimistic model-based algorithm, dubbed SMRL, for finite-horizon episodic reinforcement learning (RL) when the transition model is specified by exponential family distributions with $d$ parameters and the reward is bounded…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Gene Li , Junbo Li , Anmol Kabra , Nathan Srebro , Zhaoran Wang , Zhuoran Yang

Objective: Survival analysis is central to medical prediction, yet large language models (LLMs) are rarely used as end-to-end survival models because censoring prevents straightforward supervised fine-tuning. Here we present LLMSurvival, a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yishu Wei , Hexin Dong , Yi Lin , Jiahe Qian , Yi Liu , Yifan Peng

Popular parametric and semiparametric hazards regression models for clustered survival data are inappropriate and inadequate when the unknown effects of different covariates and clustering are complex. This calls for a flexible modeling…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-16 Piyali Basak , Antonio R. Linero , Debajyoti SInha , Stuart Lipsitz

A targeted learning (TL) framework is developed to estimate the difference in the restricted mean survival time (RMST) for a clinical trial with time-to-event outcomes. The approach starts by defining the target estimand as the RMST…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Man Jin , Yixin Fang

Restricted mean survival time (RMST) offers a compelling nonparametric alternative to hazard ratios for right-censored time-to-event data, particularly when the proportional hazards assumption is violated. By capturing the total event-free…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-28 Jinghao Sun , Douglas E. Schaubel , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Probabilistic survival predictions from models trained with Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) can have high, and sometimes unacceptably high variance. The field of meteorology, where the paradigm of maximizing sharpness subject to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-20 Anand Avati , Tony Duan , Sharon Zhou , Kenneth Jung , Nigam H. Shah , Andrew Ng

The spatial linear mixed model (SLMM) consists of fixed and spatial random effects that may be linearly dependent. Partially motivated as a means to address potential issues with confounding, the Restricted spatial regression (RSR) model…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Jonathan R. Bradley

Restricted mean survival time (RMST) is an intuitive summary statistic for time-to-event random variables, and can be used for measuring treatment effects. Compared to hazard ratio, its estimation procedure is robust against the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-25 Ruizhe Chen , Sanjib Basu , Qian Shi

We propose a new class of semiparametric regression models of mean residual life for censored outcome data. The models, which enable us to estimate the expected remaining survival time and generalize commonly used mean residual life models,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Ge Zhao , Yanyuan Ma , Huazhen Lin , Yi Li

Student dropout is a persistent concern in Learning Analytics, yet comparative studies frequently evaluate predictive models under heterogeneous protocols, prioritizing discrimination over temporal interpretability and calibration. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Rafael da Silva , Jeff Eicher , Gregory Longo

Survival analysis often relies on Cox models, assuming both linearity and proportional hazards (PH). This study evaluates machine and deep learning methods that relax these constraints, comparing their performance with penalized Cox models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ivan Rossi , Flavio Sartori , Cesare Rollo , Giovanni Birolo , Piero Fariselli , Tiziana Sanavia
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