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One of the central elements of any causal inference is an object called structural causal model (SCM), which represents a collection of mechanisms and exogenous sources of random variation of the system under investigation (Pearl, 2000). An…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Kevin Xia , Kai-Zhan Lee , Yoshua Bengio , Elias Bareinboim

The ability to predict future events or patterns based on previous experience is crucial for many applications such as traffic control, weather forecasting, or supply chain management. While modern supervised Machine Learning approaches…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-16 Florian Feiler , Emre Neftci , Younes Bouhadjar

Temporal networks consist of timestamped directed interactions that may appear continuously in time, yet few studies have directly tackled the continuous-time modeling of networks. Here, we introduce a maximum-entropy approach to temporal…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Paolo Barucca

In a wide variety of applications, humans interact with a complex environment by means of asynchronous stochastic discrete events in continuous time. Can we design online interventions that will help humans achieve certain goals in such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Utkarsh Upadhyay , Abir De , Manuel Gomez-Rodriguez

Temporal networks consisting of timestamped interactions between a set of nodes provide a useful representation for analyzing complex networked systems that evolve over time. Beyond pairwise interactions between nodes, temporal motifs…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Maxwell C. Lee , Kevin S. Xu

A temporal point process is a mathematical model for a time series of discrete events, which covers various applications. Recently, recurrent neural network (RNN) based models have been developed for point processes and have been found…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Takahiro Omi , Naonori Ueda , Kazuyuki Aihara

We investigate spatio-temporal event analysis using point processes. Inferring the dynamics of event sequences spatiotemporally has many practical applications including crime prediction, social media analysis, and traffic forecasting. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Fatih Ilhan , Suleyman Serdar Kozat

Self-exciting point processes are widely used to model the contagious effects of crime events living within continuous geographic space, using their occurrence time and locations. However, in urban environments, most events are naturally…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-01 Zheng Dong , Jorge Mateu , Yao Xie

A powerful and flexible approach to structured prediction consists in embedding the structured objects to be predicted into a feature space of possibly infinite dimension by means of output kernels, and then, solving a regression problem in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Luc Brogat-Motte , Alessandro Rudi , Céline Brouard , Juho Rousu , Florence d'Alché-Buc

We consider the problem of analyzing timestamped relational events between a set of entities, such as messages between users of an on-line social network. Such data are often analyzed using static or discrete-time network models, which…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Ruthwik R. Junuthula , Maysam Haghdan , Kevin S. Xu , Vijay K. Devabhaktuni

Computational modeling is becoming a widely used methodology in modern neuroscience. However, as the complexity of the phenomena under study increases, the analysis of the results emerging from the simulations concomitantly becomes more…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-16 Sergio E. Galindo , Pablo Toharia , Oscar D. Robles , Eduardo Ros , Luis Pastor , Jesús A. Garrido

Probabilistic graphical models are a central tool in AI; however, they are generally not as expressive as deep neural models, and inference is notoriously hard and slow. In contrast, deep probabilistic models such as sum-product networks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Xiaoting Shao , Alejandro Molina , Antonio Vergari , Karl Stelzner , Robert Peharz , Thomas Liebig , Kristian Kersting

Spiking neural networks (SNNs), as one of the brain-inspired models, has spatio-temporal information processing capability, low power feature, and high biological plausibility. The effective spatio-temporal feature makes it suitable for…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Changqing Xu , Yi Liu , Yintang Yang

Many real-world objects can be modeled as a stream of events on the nodes of a graph. In this paper, we propose a class of graphical event models named temporal point process graphical models for representing the temporal dependencies among…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-25 Yalong Lyu , Huiyuan Wang , Wei Lin

Spike timing dependent plasticity (STDP) is believed to play an important role in shaping the structure of neural circuits. Here we show that STDP generates effective interactions between synapses of different neurons, which were neglected…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-08-25 Neta Ravid Tannenbaum , Yoram Burak

Training a model to detect patterns of interrelated events that form situations of interest can be a complex problem: such situations tend to be uncommon, and only sparse data is available. We propose a hybrid neuro-symbolic architecture…

We adopt the interpretability offered by a parametric, Hawkes-process-inspired conditional probability mass function for the marks and apply variational inference techniques to derive a general and scalable inferential framework for marked…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Aristeidis Panos , Ioannis Kosmidis , Petros Dellaportas

A temporal point process (TPP) is a stochastic process where its realization is a sequence of discrete events in time. Recent work in TPPs model the process using a neural network in a supervised learning framework, where a training set is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Wonho Bae , Mohamed Osama Ahmed , Frederick Tung , Gabriel L. Oliveira

Imagine experiencing a crash as the passenger of an autonomous vehicle. Wouldn't you want to know why it happened? Current end-to-end optimizable deep neural networks (DNNs) in 3D detection, multi-object tracking, and motion forecasting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Benjamin Thérien , Krzysztof Czarnecki

Deep compositional models of meaning acting on distributional representations of words in order to produce vectors of larger text constituents are evolving to a popular area of NLP research. We detail a compositional distributional…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-08-14 Jianpeng Cheng , Dimitri Kartsaklis
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