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Recent interest in the external validity of prediction models (i.e., the problem of different train and test distributions, known as dataset shift) has produced many methods for finding predictive distributions that are invariant to dataset…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-20 Adarsh Subbaswamy , Bryant Chen , Suchi Saria

Deploying models on target domain data subject to distribution shift requires adaptation. Test-time training (TTT) emerges as a solution to this adaptation under a realistic scenario where access to full source domain data is not available…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Yongyi Su , Xun Xu , Kui Jia

The proposed stochastic model for pedestrian dynamics is based on existing approaches using cellular automata, combined with substantial extensions, to compensate the deficiencies resulting of the discrete grid structure. This agent motion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-01 Michael Schultz

Causal Optimal Transport (COT) results from imposing a temporal causality constraint on classic optimal transport problems, which naturally generates a new concept of distances between distributions on path spaces. The first application of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-31 Tianlin Xu , Beatrice Acciaio

A discrete-time batch service queue with batch renewal input and random serving capacity rule under the late arrival delayed access system (LAS-DA), has recently appeared in the literature [2]. In this paper, we consider the same model…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-24 U. C. Gupta , F. P. Barbhuiya , Arunava Maity

Biological systems perform complex multi-step processes in a reproducible way despite underlying stochasticity. The standard explanation is micromanagement by molecular machinery that recognizes and corrects specific errors. Here we study…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-14 Riccardo Ravasio , Kabir Husain , Constantine G. Evans , Rob Phillips , Marco Ribezzi-Crivellari , Jack W. Szostak , Arvind Murugan

Clustering is a fundamental problem, aiming to partition a set of elements, like agents or data points, into clusters such that elements in the same cluster are closer to each other than to those in other clusters. In this paper, we present…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Saar Cohen

Understanding causal relationships in multivariate time series is essential for predicting and controlling dynamic systems in fields like economics, neuroscience, and climate science. However, existing causal discovery methods often assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Abdellah Rahmani , Pascal Frossard

Forecast systems in science and technology are increasingly moving beyond point prediction toward methods that produce full predictive distributions of future outcomes y, conditional on high-dimensional and complex sequences of inputs x.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-13 Elizabeth Cucuzzella , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

Traffic time series imputation is crucial for the safety and reliability of intelligent transportation systems, while diverse types of missing data, including random, fiber, and block missing make the imputation task challenging. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Hanwen Hu , Zimo Wen , Shiyou Qian , Jian Co

A general class of dynamical systems which can be trained to operate in classification and generation modes are introduced. A procedure is proposed to plant asymptotic stationary attractors of the deterministic model. Optimizing the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-10-15 Stefano Gagliani , Feliciano Giuseppe Pacifico , Lorenzo Chicchi , Duccio Fanelli , Diego Febbe , Lorenzo Buffoni , Raffaele Marino

Distribution shifts between training and test data are inevitable over the lifecycle of a deployed model, leading to performance decay. Adapting a model on test samples can help mitigate this drop in performance. However, most test-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Mona Schirmer , Dan Zhang , Eric Nalisnick

Modeling non-stationary data is a challenging problem in the field of continual learning, and data distribution shifts may result in negative consequences on the performance of a machine learning model. Classic learning tools are often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Sebastián Basterrech , Line Clemmensen , Gerardo Rubino

Spatiotemporal traffic time series (e.g., traffic volume/speed) collected from sensing systems are often incomplete with considerable corruption and large amounts of missing values, preventing users from harnessing the full power of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Xinyu Chen , Mengying Lei , Nicolas Saunier , Lijun Sun

Proper management of resources whose arrival and consumption are subject to environmental randomness is an intrinsic process in both natural and artificial systems. This phenomenon can be modeled as a queuing process whose arrival…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-18 José Giral-Barajas , Paul C. Bressloff

Activation steering provides parameter-efficient control over large language models (LLMs) at inference time, but many methods rely on off-distribution supervision and discrete masking, leading to brittle interventions. We propose ROAST…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Xuanbo Su , Hao Luo , Yingfang Zhang , Lijun Zhang

We study a class of mass transport models where mass is transported in a preferred direction around a one-dimensional periodic lattice and is globally conserved. The model encompasses both discrete and continuous masses and parallel and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. R. Evans , Satya N. Majumdar , R. K. P. Zia

Platform trials allow treatment arms to enter and exit over time while maintaining a shared control arm, yielding concurrent and non-concurrent controls (NCC). Pooling NCC is often motivated as a strategy to improve statistical efficiency,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-12 Antonio D'Alessandro , Samrachana Adhikari , Michele Santacatterina

The asymmetric simple inclusion process (ASIP) --- a lattice-gas model for unidirectional transport with irreversible aggregation --- has been proposed as an inclusion counterpart of the asymmetric simple exclusion process and as a batch…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-10-16 Ofek Lauber Bonomo , Shlomi Reuveni

Sampling from unnormalized multimodal distributions with limited density evaluations remains a fundamental challenge in machine learning and natural sciences. Successful approaches construct a bridge between a tractable reference and the…