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We consider a general class of two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems where the ambiguity set is constrained by fixed marginal probability laws that are not necessarily discrete. We derive primal and dual formulations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Ariel Neufeld , Qikun Xiang

Uncertain optimization problems with decision dependent information discovery allow the decision maker to control the timing of information discovery, in contrast to the classic multistage setting where uncertain parameters are revealed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-09 Rosario Paradiso , Angelos Georghiou , Said Dabia , Denise Tönissen

Stochastic programming models can lead to very large-scale optimization problems for which it may be impossible to enumerate all possible scenarios. In such cases, one adopts a sampling-based solution methodology in which case the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-20 Shuotao Diao , Suvrajeet Sen

We consider the problem of model multiplicity in downstream decision-making, a setting where two predictive models of equivalent accuracy cannot agree on the best-response action for a downstream loss function. We show that even when the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-31 Ally Yalei Du , Dung Daniel Ngo , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Evaluations of generative AI models often collapse nuanced behaviour into a single number computed for a single decoding configuration. Such point estimates obscure tail risks, demographic disparities, and the existence of multiple…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Yanan Long

Process capability indices such as $C_{pk}$ are widely used in manufacturing to support supplier qualification, pilot-build release, and production approval. In practice, approval decisions are often based on deterministic threshold rules…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-14 Fei Jiang , Lei Yang

In many applications, especially those involving prediction, models may yield near-optimal performance yet significantly disagree on individual-level outcomes. This phenomenon, known as predictive multiplicity, has been formally defined in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Mustafa Cavus

Estimating hyperparameters has been a long-standing problem in machine learning. We consider the case where the task at hand is modeled as the solution to an optimization problem. Here the exact gradient with respect to the hyperparameters…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-16 Matthias J. Ehrhardt , Lindon Roberts

In this paper, we study the performance of affine policies for two-stage adjustable robust optimization problem with fixed recourse and uncertain right hand side belonging to a budgeted uncertainty set. This is an important class of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-04 Omar El Housni , Vineet Goyal

Constructing confidence intervals that are simultaneously valid across a class of estimates is central to tasks such as multiple mean estimation, generalization guarantees, and adaptive experimental design. We frame this as an ``error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy , Anna Lyubarskaja , Emma Brunskill , Susan Athey

This study develops and analyzes an optimization model of smart contract adoption under bounded risk, linking structural theory with simulation and real-world validation. We examine how adoption intensity alpha is structurally pinned at a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-09 Jinho Cha , Long Pham , Thi Le Hoa Vo , Jaeyoung Cho , Jaejin Lee

Optimal-Transport Distributionally Robust Optimization (OT-DRO) robustifies data-driven decision-making under uncertainty by capturing the sampling-induced statistical error via optimal transport ambiguity sets. The standard OT-DRO pipeline…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Jonas Ohnemus , Marta Fochesato , Riccardo Zuliani , John Lygeros

This paper investigates the optimization problem of an infinite stage discrete time Markov decision process (MDP) with a long-run average metric considering both mean and variance of rewards together. Such performance metric is important…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Li Xia

We study two-stage stochastic optimization problems with random recourse, where the adaptive decisions are multiplied with the uncertain parameters in both the objective function and the constraints. To mitigate the computational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Xiangyi Fan , Grani A. Hanasusanto

Alphabetic optimality criteria, such as the $D$, $A$, and $I$ criteria, require specifying a model to select optimal designs. They are not model free and the optimal designs selected by them are not robust to model uncertainty. Recently,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-14 Chang-Yun Lin

This paper is concerned with the two--phase obstacle problem, a type of a variational free boundary problem. We recall the basic estimates of Repin and Valdman (2015) and verify them numerically on two examples in two space dimensions. A…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-06-06 Farid Bozorgnia , Jan Valdman

Bilevel programming problems frequently arise in real-world applications across various fields, including transportation, economics, energy markets and healthcare. These problems have been proven to be NP-hard even in the simplest form with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-06 Sina Hajikazemi , Florian Steinke

Motivated by many application problems, we consider Markov decision processes (MDPs) with a general loss function and unknown parameters. To mitigate the epistemic uncertainty associated with unknown parameters, we take a Bayesian approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Xiaoshuang Wang , Yifan Lin , Enlu Zhou

Background Study individuals may face repeated events overtime. However, there is no consensus around learning approaches to use in a high-dimensional framework for survival data (when the number of variables exceeds the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-30 Juliette Murris , Anais Charles-Nelson , Audrey Lavenu , Sandrine Katsahian

Performative prediction is a recently proposed framework where predictions guide decision-making and hence influence future data distributions. Such performative phenomena are ubiquitous in various areas, such as transportation, finance,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Wenjing Yan , Xuanyu Cao
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