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Accurate weather forecasts are important for disaster prevention, agricultural planning, etc. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods offer physically interpretable high-accuracy predictions but are computationally expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Ruiqi Shu , Huanshuo Dong , Fan Xu , Rui Ray Chen , Yibo Yan , Qingsong Wen , Xuming Hu , Kun Wang , Jiahao Wu , Qing Li , Hui Xiong , Xiaomeng Huang

This study introduces a deep learning-based framework for forecasting weather-related traffic crash risk using heterogeneous spatiotemporal data. Given the complex, non-linear relationship between crash occurrence and factors such as road…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-06 Abimbola Ogungbire , Srinivas Pulugurtha

Multivariate time series forecasting involves two qualitatively distinct factors: (i) stable within-series autoregressive (AR) dynamics, and (ii) intermittent cross-dimension interactions that can become spurious over long horizons. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Zhihang Yuan , Zhiyuan Liu , Mahesh K. Marina

We introduce a framework to dynamically combine heterogeneous models called \texttt{DYCHEM}, which forecasts a set of time series that are related through an aggregation hierarchy. Different types of forecasting models can be employed as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Xing Han , Jing Hu , Joydeep Ghosh

Data-driven weather models have advanced global medium-range forecasting, yet high-resolution regional prediction remains challenging due to unresolved multiscale interactions between large-scale dynamics and small-scale processes such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Weiqi Chen , Wenwei Wang , Qilong Yuan , Lefei Shen , Bingqing Peng , Jiawei Chen , Bo Wu , Liang Sun

For visual tracking, most of the traditional correlation filters (CF) based methods suffer from the bottleneck of feature redundancy and lack of motion information. In this paper, we design a novel tracking framework, called…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-11-28 Shuai Bai , Zhiqun He , Ting-Bing Xu , Zheng Zhu , Yuan Dong , Hongliang Bai

Assessing the magnitude of fuel consumption of marine traffic is a challenging task. The consumption can be reduced by the ways the vessels are operated, to achieve both improved cost efficiency and reduced CO2 emissions. Mathematical…

Reliable short horizon forecasting of solar and wind generation is a structural prerequisite of any modern power system yet most published forecasters are tuned and evaluated on a single climatic regime and most algorithmic novelty has been…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Pavan Manjunath , Thomas Prufer

Understanding the world around us and making decisions about the future is a critical component to human intelligence. As autonomous systems continue to develop, their ability to reason about the future will be the key to their success.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-11-22 Adam M. Terwilliger , Garrick Brazil , Xiaoming Liu

Hierarchical forecasting with intermittent time series is a challenge in both research and empirical studies. Extensive research focuses on improving the accuracy of each hierarchy, especially the intermittent time series at bottom levels.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-22 Matthias Anderer , Feng Li

1. Analog forecasting has been successful at producing robust forecasts for a variety of ecological and physical processes. Analog forecasting is a mechanism-free nonlinear method that forecasts a system forward in time by examining how…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-18 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle , Joshua Millspaugh

Spatio-temporal forecasting is challenging attributing to the high nonlinearity in temporal dynamics as well as complex location-characterized patterns in spatial domains, especially in fields like weather forecasting. Graph convolutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Haitao Lin , Zhangyang Gao , Yongjie Xu , Lirong Wu , Ling Li , Stan. Z. Li

Atlantic Canada faces significant hurricane threats from damaging winds and coastal flooding that are projected to intensify under climate change. This study adopts a two-stage framework. First, the evolution of wind and coastal-flood…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-24 Saeed Saviz Naeini , Reda Snaiki , Alejandro Di Luca

Oceanographic forecasting impacts various sectors of society by supporting environmental conservation and economic activities. Based on global circulation models, traditional forecasting methods are computationally expensive and slow,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-09 Giovanny A. Cuervo-Londoño , Javier Sánchez , Ángel Rodríguez-Santana

The objective of this study is to predict the near-future flooding status of road segments based on their own and adjacent road segments current status through the use of deep learning framework on fine-grained traffic data. Predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-07 Faxi Yuan , Yuanchang Xu , Qingchun Li , Ali Mostafavi

We present a novel approach for long-term human trajectory prediction in indoor human-centric environments, which is essential for long-horizon robot planning in these environments. State-of-the-art human trajectory prediction methods are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Nicolas Gorlo , Lukas Schmid , Luca Carlone

A framework for probabilistic forecasting of vessel motion is developed and validated for a semisubmersible operating in long period swell. Bayesian statistical methods are applied to predictions of the heave response from a physics model…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-30 Ian Milne , Lachlan Astfalck , Matthew Zed , Jack Lee-Kopij , Edward Cripps

Rapid sampling from the environment to acquire available frontier points and timely incorporating them into subsequent planning to reduce fragmented regions are critical to improve the efficiency of autonomous exploration. We propose HPHS,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Shijun Long , Ying Li , Chenming Wu , Bin Xu , Wei Fan

Accurately and promptly predicting accidents among surrounding traffic agents from camera footage is crucial for the safety of autonomous vehicles (AVs). This task presents substantial challenges stemming from the unpredictable nature of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Haicheng Liao , Haoyu Sun , Huanming Shen , Chengyue Wang , Kahou Tam , Chunlin Tian , Li Li , Chengzhong Xu , Zhenning Li

The paper introduces a Data-driven Hierarchical Control (DHC) structure to improve performance of systems operating under the effect of system and/or environment uncertainty. The proposed hierarchical approach consists of two parts: 1) A…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-09-15 Lu Shi , Hanzhe Teng , Xinyue Kan , Konstantinos Karydis
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