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Related papers: Covert Bayesian Quickest Change Detection

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Recent attention in quickest change detection in the multi-sensor setting has been on the case where the densities of the observations change at the same instant at all the sensors due to the disruption. In this work, a more general…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Vasanthan Raghavan , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

In the multisensor sequential change detection problem, a disruption occurs in an environment monitored by multiple sensors. This disruption induces a change in the observations of an unknown subset of sensors. In the Byzantine version of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-08-25 Georgios Fellouris , Erhan Bayraktar , Lifeng Lai

Covert planning refers to a class of constrained planning problems where an agent aims to accomplish a task with minimal information leaked to a passive observer to avoid detection. However, existing methods of covert planning often…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Haoxiang Ma , Chongyang Shi , Shuo Han , Michael R. Dorothy , Jie Fu

We study best-arm identification (BAI) in the fixed-budget setting. Adaptive allocations based on upper confidence bounds (UCBs), such as UCBE, are known to work well in BAI. However, it is well-known that its optimal regret is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Rong J. B. Zhu , Yanqi Qiu

Oftentimes in practice, the observed process changes statistical properties at an unknown point in time and the duration of a change is substantially finite, in which case one says that the change is intermittent or transient. We provide an…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-11 Grigory Sokolov , Valentin S. Spivak , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

The problem of detecting changes in the statistical properties of a stochastic system and time series arises in various branches of science and engineering. It has a wide spectrum of important applications ranging from machine monitoring to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-19 Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Taposh Banerjee

Sequential change-point detection when the distribution parameters are unknown is a fundamental problem in statistics and machine learning. When the post-change parameters are unknown, we consider a set of detection procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-06 Yang Cao , Liyan Xie , Yao Xie , Huan Xu

This paper investigates the quickest change detection of quantum states in a universal setting: specifically, where the post-change quantum state is not known a priori. We establish the asymptotic optimality of a two-stage approach in terms…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-21 Arick Grootveld , Haodong Yang , Nandan Sriranga , Biao Chen , Venkata Gandikota , Jason Pollack

The problem of quickest growing dynamic anomaly detection in sensor networks is studied. Initially, the observations at the sensors, which are sampled sequentially by the decision maker, are generated according to a pre-change distribution.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Georgios Rovatsos , Venugopal V. Veeravalli , Don Towsley , Ananthram Swami

The problem of quickest change detection (QCD) in anonymous heterogeneous sensor networks is studied. There are $n$ heterogeneous sensors and a fusion center. The sensors are clustered into $K$ groups, and different groups follow different…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-23 Zhongchang Sun , Shaofeng Zou , Ruizhi Zhang , Qunwei Li

We study a monitoring system in which the distributions of sensors' observations change from a nominal distribution to an abnormal distribution in response to an adversary's presence. The system uses the quickest change detection procedure,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-08 Thirupathaiah Vasantam , Don Towsley , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We introduce and solve the problem of Byzantine fault tolerant distributed quickest change detection in both continuous and discrete time setups. In this problem, multiple sensors sequentially observe random signals from the environment and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-30 Erhan Bayraktar , Lifeng Lai

This paper presents a new derivation method of converse bounds on the non-asymptotic achievable rate of discrete weakly symmetric memoryless channels. It is based on the finite blocklength statistics of the channel, where with the use of an…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Ioannis Papoutsidakis , Robert J. Piechocki , Angela Doufexi

Uncertainty is ubiquitous in real-world data, and the assumptions underlying classical linear regression models are often violated in practice. Inspired by the theory of sublinear expectation, we consider a linear regression model where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Xifeng Li , Shuzhen Yang

We propose a novel method for closed-form predictive distribution modeling with neural nets. In quantifying prediction uncertainty, we build on Evidential Deep Learning, which has been impactful as being both simple to implement and giving…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-22 Manuel Haussmann , Sebastian Gerwinn , Melih Kandemir

We consider a sequential Bayesian changepoint detection problem for a general stochastic model, assuming that the observed data may be dependent and non-identically distributed and the prior distribution of the change point is arbitrary,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-15 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

The aim of this paper is to discuss both higher-order asymptotic expansions and skewed approximations for the Bayesian Discrepancy Measure for testing precise statistical hypotheses. In particular, we derive results on third-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-02 Elena Bortolato , Francesco Bertolino , Monica Musio , Laura Ventura

We study the problem of quickest detection of a change in the mean of an observation sequence, under the assumption that both the pre- and post-change distributions have bounded support. We first study the case where the pre-change…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-15 Yuchen Liang , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

We study the piecewise constant bandit problem where the expected reward is a piecewise constant function with one change point (discontinuity) across the action space $[0,1]$ and the learner's aim is to locate the change point. Under the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-23 Joseph Lazzaro , Ciara Pike-Burke

The quickest change detection problem is considered in the context of monitoring large-scale independent normal distributed data streams with possible changes in some of the means. It is assumed that for each individual local data stream,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-18 Yuan Wang , Yajun Mei