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For many novel applications, such as patient-specific computer-aided surgery, conventional solution techniques of the underlying nonlinear problems are usually computationally too expensive and are lacking information about how certain can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-18 Saurabh Deshpande , Jakub Lengiewicz , Stéphane P. A. Bordas

Crash simulations play an essential role in improving vehicle safety, design optimization, and injury risk estimation. Unfortunately, numerical solutions of such problems using state-of-the-art high-fidelity models require significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Jonas Kneifl , Jörg Fehr , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

Machine learning models play a vital role in time series forecasting. These models, however, often overlook an important element: point uncertainty estimates. Incorporating these estimates is crucial for effective risk management, informed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Leonid Erlygin , Vladimir Zholobov , Valeriia Baklanova , Evgeny Sokolovskiy , Alexey Zaytsev

Surrogate neural network-based models have been lately trained and used in a variety of science and engineering applications where the number of evaluations of a target function is limited by execution time. In cell phone camera systems,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-06-29 Shantanu Shahane , Erman Guleryuz , Diab W Abueidda , Allen Lee , Joe Liu , Xin Yu , Raymond Chiu , Seid Koric , Narayana R Aluru , Placid M Ferreira

In NeuroEvolution, the topologies of artificial neural networks are optimized with evolutionary algorithms to solve tasks in data regression, data classification, or reinforcement learning. One downside of NeuroEvolution is the large amount…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-02-12 Jörg Stork , Martin Zaefferer , Thomas Bartz-Beielstein

Mesh-based numerical solvers are an important part in many design tool chains. However, accurate simulations like computational fluid dynamics are time and resource consuming which is why surrogate models are employed to speed-up the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-27 Sebastian Strönisch , Maximilian Sander , Andreas Knüpfer , Marcus Meyer

Surrogate models are statistical or conceptual approximations for more complex simulation models. In this context, it is crucial to propagate the uncertainty induced by limited simulation budget and surrogate approximation error to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 Philipp Reiser , Javier Enrique Aguilar , Anneli Guthke , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Shallow water equations are the foundation of most models for flooding and river hydraulics analysis. These physics-based models are usually expensive and slow to run, thus not suitable for real-time prediction or parameter inversion. An…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-12-22 Yalan Song , Chaopeng Shen , Xiaofeng Liu

This study introduces a surrogate modeling framework merging proper orthogonal decomposition, long short-term memory networks, and multi-task learning, to accurately predict elastoplastic deformations in real-time. Superior to single-task…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Ruben Schmeitz , Joris Remmers , Olga Mula , Olaf van der Sluis

This paper describes novel algorithms for the identification of (almost-)resonant behavior in scattering problems. Our methods, relying on rational approximation, aim at building surrogate models of what we call "field amplification",…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Davide Pradovera , Ralf Hiptmair , Ilaria Perugia

Surrogate models are used to alleviate the computational burden in engineering tasks, which require the repeated evaluation of computationally demanding models of physical systems, such as the efficient propagation of uncertainties. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-28 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Gerhard Müller

Predicting the behavior of complex systems in engineering often involves significant uncertainty about operating conditions, such as external loads, environmental effects, and manufacturing variability. As a result, uncertainty…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-17 S. Marelli , S. Schär , B. Sudret

Accurate quantification of uncertainty in neural network predictions remains a central challenge for scientific applications involving high-dimensional, correlated data. While existing methods capture either aleatoric or epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Harrison J. Goldwyn , Mitchell Krock , Johann Rudi , Daniel Getter , Julie Bessac

Neural networks have become a powerful tool as surrogate models to provide numerical solutions for scientific problems with increased computational efficiency. This efficiency can be advantageous for numerically challenging problems where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Pelin Ersin , Emma Hayes , Peter Matthews , Paramjyoti Mohapatra , Elisa Negrini , Karl Schulz

We consider a class of stochastic programming problems where the implicitly decision-dependent random variable follows a nonparametric regression model with heteroscedastic error. The Clarke subdifferential and surrogate functions are not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Boyang Shen , Junyi Liu

The embedded ensemble propagation approach introduced in [49] has been demonstrated to be a powerful means of reducing the computational cost of sampling-based uncertainty quantification methods, particularly on emerging computational…

Computation · Statistics 2017-05-08 Marta D'Elia , Eric Phipps , Ahmad Rushdi , Mohamed Ebeida

High-fidelity models are essential for accurately capturing nonlinear system dynamics. However, simulation of these models is often computationally too expensive and, due to their complexity, they are not directly suitable for analysis,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 E. Javier Olucha , Rajiv Singh , Amritam Das , Roland Tóth

Operator-based neural network architectures such as DeepONets have emerged as a promising tool for the surrogate modeling of physical systems. In general, towards operator surrogate modeling, the training data is generated by solving the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Shivam Choubey , Birupaksha Pal , Manish Agrawal

This chapter deals with kernel methods as a special class of techniques for surrogate modeling. Kernel methods have proven to be efficient in machine learning, pattern recognition and signal analysis due to their flexibility, excellent…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Gabriele Santin , Bernard Haasdonk

Bayesian optimization is a highly efficient approach to optimizing objective functions which are expensive to query. These objectives are typically represented by Gaussian process (GP) surrogate models which are easy to optimize and support…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Yucen Lily Li , Tim G. J. Rudner , Andrew Gordon Wilson