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We prove a central limit type theorem for critical marked Hawkes processes. We study the case where the marks are i.i.d. with nonnegative values and their common distribution is either heavy tailed or has finite variance. The kernel…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Anna Talarczyk

Suppose that $X=(X_{t})_{t\ge 0}$ is either a general supercritical non-local branching Markov process, or a general supercritical non-local superprocess, on a Luzin space. Here, by ``supercritical" we mean that the mean semigroup of $X$…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-17 Haojie Hou , Ting Yang

We study the asymptotic shape of the trajectory of the stochastic gradient descent algorithm applied to a convex objective function. Under mild regularity assumptions, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the properly rescaled…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-18 Kessang Flamand , Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of a semi-linear slow-fast stochastic partial differential equation with singular coefficients. Using the Poisson equation in Hilbert space, we first establish the strong convergence in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Michael Röckner , Longjie Xie , Li Yang

It has been recently found that a number of systems displaying crackling noise also show a remarkable behavior regarding the temporal occurrence of successive events versus their size: a scaling law for the probability distributions of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Alvaro Corral

In this paper we introduce the \textit{multivariate} Brownian semistationary (BSS) processes and study the joint asymptotic behaviour of its realised covariation using in-fill asymptotics. First, we present a central limit theorem for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-12 Riccardo Passeggeri , Almut E. D. Veraart

In nature or societies, the power-law is present ubiquitously, and then it is important to investigate the mathematical characteristics of power-laws in the recent era of big data. In this paper we prove the superposition of non-identical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Masaru Shintani , Ken Umeno

Multivariate Bessel processes describe the stochastic dynamics of interacting particle systems of Calogero-Moser-Sutherland type and are related with $\beta$-Hermite and Laguerre ensembles. It was shown by Andraus, Katori, and Miyashita…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-20 Sergio Andraus , Michael Voit

In the present work we derive a Central Limit Theorem for sequences of Hilbert-valued Piecewise Deterministic Markov process models and their global fluctuations around their deterministic limit identified by the Law of Large Numbers. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-23 Martin G Riedler , Michele Thieullen

We derive limit theorems for the empirical distribution function of "devolatilized" increments of an It\^{o} semimartingale observed at high frequencies. These "devolatilized" increments are formed by suitably rescaling and truncating the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-03 Viktor Todorov , George Tauchen

We consider a two-dimensional Hamiltonian system perturbed by a small diffusion term, whose coefficient is state-dependent and non-degenerate. As a result, the process consists of the fast motion along the level curves and slow motion…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Shuo Yan

The accurate estimation of scaling exponents is central in the observational study of scale-invariant phenomena. Natural systems unavoidably provide observations over restricted intervals; consequently a stationary stochastic process (time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-03-17 K. H. Kiyani , S. C. Chapman , N. W. Watkins

This paper studies the effect of an overdispersed arrival process on the performance of an infinite-server system. In our setup, a random environment is modeled by drawing an arrival rate $\Lambda$ from a given distribution every $\Delta$…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Mariska Heemskerk , Johan van Leeuwaarden , Michel Mandjes

In the present paper, we characterize the behavior of supercritical branching processes in random environment with linear fractional offspring distributions, conditioned on having small, but positive values at some large generation. As it…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Christian Böinghoff

In this article we derive a self-normalized functional limit theorem for strictly stationary linear processes with i.i.d. heavy-tailed innovations and random coefficients under the condition that all partial sums of the series of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Danijel Krizmanic

We establish the central limit theorem for linear processes with dependent innovations including martingales and mixingale type of assumptions as defined in McLeish [Ann. Probab. 5 (1977) 616--621] and motivated by Gordin [Soviet Math.…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Magda Peligrad , Sergey Utev

A functional limit theorem is established for the partial-sum process of a class of stationary sequences which exhibit both heavy tails and long-range dependence. The stationary sequence is constructed using multiple stochastic integrals…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-09 Shuyang Bai , Takashi Owada , Yizao Wang

The work [8] established memory loss in the time-dependent (non-random) case of uniformly expanding maps of the interval. Here we find conditions under which we have convergence to the normal distribution of the appropriately scaled…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Peter Nandori , Domokos Szasz , Tamas Varju

We consider biased random walks in positive random conductances on the d-dimensional lattice in the zero-speed regime and study their scaling limits. We obtain a functional Law of Large Numbers for the position of the walker, properly…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Alexander Fribergh , Daniel Kious

In this article we will introduce the realised semicovariance for Brownian semistationary (BSS) processes, which is obtained from the decomposition of the realised covariance matrix into components based on the signs of the returns, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Yuan Li , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart